TopicalEconomics 0455The allocation of resourcesDemandPaper 2

Demand — Paper 2 · IGCSE Economics 0455

2.3· 49 questions · 1170 marks · 1404 min · 2017–2025· Structured questions

Every Cambridge IGCSE Economics Paper 2 question on demand, laid out as 20 A4 pages with the mark scheme below. Nothing is left out. Free to read, no account.

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Questions20 pages

Question 1: Low-cost airlines For several decades, low-cost airlines have been competing on short-distance flights not just with established airlines, …1 / 20
Question 1 (continued)Question 2: The New Suez Canal In August 2015 the Egyptian Government opened a second Suez Canal, alongside the original canal, to enable more and larg…2 / 20
Question 2 (continued)Question 3: In recent years there has been an increase in prices in Mexico. Indirect taxes have also been increased. Bus fares and food have become mor…Question 4: Between 2014 and 2015, Sao Paulo, a large city in Brazil, opened more than 120 km of cycle-only lanes alongside roads. The city has a car c…3 / 20
Question 5: Cigarette smoking in China China has recently experienced rapid economic growth and an improving Human Development Index (HDI) ranking. It …4 / 20
Question 5 (continued)Question 6: In 2015, Venezuela was facing a number of challenges. Despite government subsidies, increases in demand meant there were shortages of food.…Question 7: In Pakistan there is a limited choice of cars to buy. The country has a population of approximately 190 million but only about 120 000 cars…Question 8: In Saudi Arabia, output of cement has risen as a result of an increase in demand from the construction industry for building houses, school…5 / 20
Question 9: Crisis in the ice cream market Vanilla is used in the production of soft drinks, cakes and perfumes. Its main use, however, is in the produ…6 / 20
Question 9 (continued)Question 10: In the UK, bus journeys outside London have fallen by nearly 40% since 1980. This fall in demand has been largely due to a rise in bus fare…Question 11: In 2016, the world shortage of peanuts increased their price. China, which has traditionally been a net exporter of peanuts, was about to b…Question 12: Indian Railways is a state-owned enterprise, owned and operated by the Ministry of Railways. There is currently only one privately-owned ra…7 / 20
Question 13: In 2017, the UK included bicycle helmets for the first time in its calculation of the consumer prices index (CPI). Many bicycle retailers n…Question 14: Driverless cars and advances in technology It is predicted that driverless cars, powered by electricity, will be on the roads by 2030. Driv…8 / 20
Question 14 (continued)Question 15: In May 2017, the price of olive oil rose by more than 10%. This was caused by a drought in Greece, Italy, Spain and Tunisia, the major prod…Question 16: The food items people buy can be influenced by taxes, subsidies and health reports. A report published in 2017 outlined the health benefits…9 / 20
Question 17: In 2017, the Brazilian paper industry was booming. Its total revenue increased and it employed both more, and better quality, factors of pr…Question 18: There is a smaller proportion of large firms in Africa than in Asia. The two African countries with the largest firms are Nigeria and South…Question 19: There is a high level of division of labour in the United Kingdom (UK) energy industry. Cold weather in early 2018 caused very high demand …10 / 20
Question 20: (a) Calculate Turkey’s total output. [1] (b) Identify two factors that affect borrowing in an economy. [2] (c) Explain the relationship bet…Question 21: The population of Hungary is the most obese in Europe. Hungarians eat fewer vegetables than most Europeans and more food types that may be …Question 22: (a) Calculate the external cost per kilometre of driving a car in Manila in 2017. [1] (b) Identify two macroeconomic aims of the Philippine…11 / 20
Question 23: There is an area of rubbish, three times the size of France, floating in the Pacific Ocean called the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. It is ma…Question 24: Global spending on the health sector, by both the private and public sectors, is the highest compared with all other sectors including educ…Question 25: (a) Calculate the number of obese people in the UK in 2016. [1] (b) Identify two reasons why the demand for vegan food has increased in the…12 / 20
Question 26: Singapore is a high-income country with a shortage of land and labour. Singapore is often given as an example of a market economy. The Sing…Question 27: In 2019, France produced inside its production possibility curve (PPC). France exports a wide range of its products. It is the world’s top …Question 28: (a) Calculate Europe’s percentage contribution to the global total eSports revenue in 2019. [1] (b) Identify two conditions of demand for e…13 / 20
Question 29: (a) Calculate the total value of the tertiary sector in Mauritius in 2019. [1] (b) Explain the meaning of a change from an economy based on…Question 30: Poland is the world’s top exporter of toothpaste, a product that is in inelastic demand. In 2019, some Polish firms producing toothpaste co…Question 31: (a) Calculate the value of US imports from China in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two causes of the increase in the quantity of US factors of prod…14 / 20
Question 32: (a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. [1] (b) Identify two substitutes for coal. [2] (c) Explain one economy of scale that c…Question 33: Living standards, including education, have improved for most people in South Africa in recent years. Most households have more money and t…Question 34: (a) Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two causes of the decrease in the output …15 / 20
Question 35: (a) Calculate New Zealand’s GDP per head in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two external costs arising from the milk and car industries. [2] (c) Exp…Question 36: The number of Chinese restaurants in the UK fell by approximately 7% in 2020 compared to the year before. Reasons for this include falling …Question 37: (a) Calculate what percentage of Honduran people did not have access to electricity in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two benefits the Honduran eco…16 / 20
Question 38: (a) Calculate the average wage paid in Denmark in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two possible opportunity costs of a Danish person using their leis…Question 39: In 2020, the price of gold fell in Vietnam. That year, Vietnam was one of Asia’s best performing economies. Unlike some Asian economies, Vi…Question 40: Free goods and economic goods are consumed in Poland. In 2020, demand for both economic goods and factors of production increased in Poland…17 / 20
Question 41: Since 2020, the revenue gained in the video gaming industry has been higher than the revenue in the film industry. The fastest growing part…Question 42: The World Trade Organization (WTO) estimates that India has the largest levels of trade protection of any major economy. The highest tariff…Question 43: (a) Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force employed in the secondary sector. [1] (b) Identify two components of the current…18 / 20
Question 44: In 2021, the production point on the UK’s production possibility curve (PPC) changed. Average wages increased. The average annual wage of a…Question 45: In 2021, there were extensions and contractions in demand for a number of South African products. In that year, a South African court stopp…Question 46: Some people in Indonesia play tennis. However, badminton is Indonesia’s favourite sport. The equipment needed to play it, including badmint…19 / 20
Question 47: As cities experience economic growth, the buildings in the city become taller. This is driven by an increase in the willingness and ability…Question 48: (a) Calculate foreign workers as a percentage of Japan’s labour force in 2022. [1] (b) Identify two reasons why Japan has a high average ag…Question 49: (a) Calculate the number of Malawians who had access to electricity in 2022. [1] (b) Identify two capital goods used in Malawi. [2] (c) Exp…20 / 20

Mark scheme49 answers

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Economics 0455 · Demand — Paper 2

IGCSE · topical answer key — answer key (teacher use)

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Q1 · Low-cost airlines For several decades, low-cost airlines have been competing on… 0455/22 Feb/March 2017

1 Low-cost airlines For several decades, low-cost airlines have been competing on short-distance flights not just with established airlines, but also with train travel and car travel. Now they are starting to compete with established airlines on long-distance flights. In response to this increased competition there have been some horizontal mergers occurring between the established airlines. It is predicted that by 2030 China will become the world’s largest domestic air travel market, with 20% of all global air travel. The USA is currently the dominant market and it is predicted that between 2015 and 2030 the country will order 6160 of the 28 000 passenger aircraft that will be produced. India, which has both state-owned and private-sector airlines, is experiencing a great increase in both internal flights and flights to other countries. More airports are being built in India, with more facilities being provided inside and around the airports. For example, more taxi firms are being set up to take passengers to and from the airports. The rapid expansion of air travel in India and other countries is having an impact on the market for pilots, as shown in Fig. 1. S price of pilots P2 P1 D2 D1 O Q1 Q2 quantity / number of pilots Fig. 1 The market for pilots How rapidly the Indian air travel market will grow will be influenced by a number of factors. These include the extent to which business travel will grow and how rapidly demand for foreign holidays will increase. Demand for these forms of air travel is, in turn, influenced by changes in price. The price elasticity of demand for air travel has been estimated at −1.2. One factor that influences prices, and so the inflation rate, is changes in taxation. (a) Identify, using information from the extract: (i) a substitute for air travel [1] (ii) a complement to air travel. [1] (b) Explain two advantages that firms may gain from a horizontal merger. [4] (c) Calculate, using information from the extract: (i) the percentage of the new passenger aircraft that the USA is predicted to purchase between 2015 and 2030 [2] (ii) the percentage change in demand for air travel if the price of air travel falls by 15%. [2] (d) Analyse why demand for a luxury holiday may be price elastic. [5] (e) Discuss whether airlines should be state-owned or operated by the private sector. [5] (f) Explain, using information from the extract and Fig. 1, what happened to the market for pilots in India in 2015. [4] (g) Discuss whether a cut in taxation will reduce inflation. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Using information from the extract, identify (i) a substitute and (ii) a complement to air travel. substitute: train travel/car travel (1) complement: taxi travel/foreign holidays (1). 2 1(b) Explain two advantages that firms may gain from a horizontal merger. 1 mark each for each of two advantages identified: • able to take advantage of economies of scale • increased market share/market power • rationalisation • exchange ideas/technology 1 mark each for each of two explanations: • larger firms may be able to reduce average costs/become more efficient/increase productivity • a direct competitor is eliminated • savings may be made by e.g. operating only one warehouse • increase innovation/better quality • higher profit 4 Not sufficient just to have higher demand on its own. 1(c)(i) Calculate the percentage of the new passenger aircraft that the USA are predicted to purchase between 2015 and 2030. 22% (2) Correct working i.e. 6160/28 000 × 100 (1). 2 1 mark if the final answer is different but 22% is given part way through the answer. 1(c)(ii) Calculate the percentage change in demand for air travel if the price of air travel falls by 15%. 18%/18 (2) Correct working i.e. – 1.2 × 15% or 0.18 (%). Or 1.8 (%) (1). 2 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Analyse why demand for a luxury holiday may be price-elastic. Price-elastic means a percentage change in price creates a greater percentage change in demand (1). A luxury holiday may have a substitute (1) in the form of another holiday (1) a rise in price will make substitutes relatively cheaper (1) demand will be more elastic the closer the substitute (1). Taking a luxury holiday can be postponed/does not have to be purchased (1) it is not a necessity (1). The purchase of a luxury holiday takes up a large proportion of people’s income (1) this would make the change in price more noticeable/more significant (1) a fall in price may make it affordable to many more people (1). 5 1(e) Discuss whether airlines should be state-owned or operated by the private sector. Up to 3 marks for why they should be state-owned: The government will base decisions on social costs and benefits (1) may try to cut down on pollution (1) may be less chance of market failure occurring (1) may carry out a CBA (1). The government may act in the public interest/aim may be to promote welfare (1) may be safer (1). The government may keep prices low (1) to ensure access to flights (1). The government may have more funds available (1) may be able to operate them on a large scale (1) enjoy economies of scale (1). The government may employ more workers (1) to keep unemployment low (1). If profitable can provide funds for the government (1) increase ability of government to spend on e.g. education (1). Up to 3 marks for why they should be operated by the private sector: Profit motive (1) may make the firm/s more responsive to consumer demand (1) may provide better quality (1). Will not require tax revenue/allow government to concentrate on other areas (1) tax revenue can be used for other purposes/example of what revenue could be spent on (1). State-owned may be a monopoly/may be more competition in the private sector (1) competition may drive down price (1) may provide more choice (1). 5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Using information from the extract including Fig. 1, explain what happened to the market for pilots in India in 2015. The diagram shows demand increasing (1) inelastic demand (1) wages / prices rising (1) supply extending / more pilots (1) inelastic supply (1) due to countries wanting to recruit more pilots/increased demand for flights (1). 4 1(g) Discuss whether a cut in taxation will reduce inflation. Up to 4 marks for why it might: A cut in indirect taxes/corporation tax (1) will reduce firms’ costs of production (1) reduce cost-push inflation (1). A cut in tariffs (1) will lower cost of imports (1) reduce price of products consumers buy (1). Lower taxes may increase incentives (1) increase supply (1) reduce costs (1) lower cost-push inflation (1). Up to 4 marks for why it might not: A cut in income tax (1) will increase disposable income/increase purchasing power (1) increase demand (1) firms raise prices to increase profits (1) increase demand-pull inflation (1). Lower indirect taxes (1) may not be passed on to consumers in lower prices (1). 6 Note: maximum of 2 if no link to inflation,

This question in 0455/22 Feb/March 2017

Q2 · The New Suez Canal In August 2015 the Egyptian Government opened a second Suez Canal… 0455/21 May/June 2017

1 The New Suez Canal In August 2015 the Egyptian Government opened a second Suez Canal, alongside the original canal, to enable more and larger ships to sail from the Mediterranean Sea to the Gulf of Suez. It cost more than US$8 billion to build, with land having to be purchased, capital equipment acquired and wages paid to the workers building the canal. This was at a time when there were calls for increased spending on healthcare, in particular improving the quality of public hospitals and improving education, especially adult literacy. The Egyptian Government believes that the canal will attract more ships, both those carrying goods and those carrying people. The number of goods and people using sea transport is influenced by a variety of factors. These include the speed of the transportation, the level of economic activity and the price of other forms of transport. Some goods have to be transported quickly, and recent years have shown how sensitive demand for sea transport is to recessions and economic booms. Fig. 1 shows how the market for sea transport has recently been affected by the change in the market for air transport. S price of sea transport P1 P2 D1 D2 O Q2 Q1 quantity of sea transport Fig. 1 The market for sea transport The Egyptian Government is hoping that new industries connected to the shipping industry will be built along the canal. Developing infant industries may help to reduce the country’s unemployment rate, which in 2015 was 12.5%. In 2015, the country had a population of 90 million, a population growth rate of 1.5% and a labour force of 28 million. Its death rate was falling. The government’s spending on healthcare was equivalent to 4% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). 2015 also saw GDP at US$280 billion with an economic growth rate of 5%. (a) Define ‘private cost’ and give an example from the extract. [2] (b) Explain opportunity cost and give an example from the extract. [4] (c) Calculate, using information from the extract: (i) the number of people unemployed in Egypt in 2015 [2] (ii) the amount the Egyptian Government spent on healthcare in 2015. [2] (d) Analyse how a global recession could affect demand for sea transport. [5] (e) Discuss whether a fall in a country’s death rate will always result in an increase in its population size. [5] (f) Explain, using information from the extract and Fig. 1, what happened to the market for sea transport as a result of the fall in the price of air transport. [4] (g) Discuss whether a government should protect infant industries. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Define ‘private cost’ and give an example from the extract. A cost borne by those directly producing or consuming a product (1) cost of land/capital/equipment/wages/$US8 billion to build second Suez canal) (1). 2 1(b) Explain opportunity cost and give an example from the extract. Opportunity cost is the (next) best alternative (1) forgone (1). Government spending on the canal (1) could have been used on e.g. healthcare/education (1). Land used for the canal (1) could have been used for e.g. farming (1). 4 1(c)(i) Calculate, using information from the extract, the number of people unemployed in Egypt in 2015. 3.5 million (2). Correct method i.e. 12.5% of 28 million (1). 2 1(c)(ii) Calculate, using information from the extract, the amount the Egyptian government spent on healthcare in 2015. $11.2 billion. (2). 11.2 billion or $11.2 or 11.2 (1). Correct working i.e. 4% of $280 billion (1). 2 1(d) Analyse how a global recession could affect demand for sea transport. A global recession means that global output/supply will fall / two or more quarters of negative growth (1). Fewer goods will be transported/moved (1) less trade/lower imports and exports (1) demand for freight/sea transport will fall (1). Incomes will fall (1) spending will fall (1) demand for leisure travel by sea will decrease (1) demand for passenger transport will fall (1). 5 Maximum of 1 mark for demand for sea transport falls, however many times it is mentioned. Maximum of 2 marks for a list-like approach. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Discuss whether a fall in a country’s death rate will always result in an increase in its population size. Up to 3 marks for why it might: A fall in the death rate may mean people live longer (1) maybe due to improvements in health (1) the birth rate may now exceed the death rate (1) resulting in an increase in population (1). A lower death rate may attract more people to migrate to the country (1) resulting in net immigration (1). Up to 3 marks for why it might not: The death rate may still exceed the birth rate (1) so a fall in the death rate may just reduce the decline in population size (1). The death rate may equal the birth rate (1) and so population size may not change (1). The death rate may be less than the birth rate (1) but this may be exceeded by net emigration (1). Birth rate may also fall (1) if related to higher standard of living / improved healthcare (1) 5 A response may develop a mixture of relevant points to achieve up to 3 marks on either side. Maximum of 2 marks for a list-like approach. 1(f) Explain, using information from the extract and Figure 1, what happened to the market for sea transport as a result of the fall in the price of air transport. The diagram shows demand decreasing (1) price falling (1) supply contracting/falls (1) air transport is a substitute for sea transport (1). Supply is inelastic (1). Demand is inelastic (1). 4 Maximum of 2 marks for a list-like approach. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether a government should protect infant industries. Up to 4 marks for why it should: Infant industries may struggle to compete against foreign competitors (1) because they are not large enough to take advantage of economies of scale (1) example/s of economies of scale (1) average cost higher (1). To offset predatory pricing from overseas (1) or to develop a strategic or innovative new industry (1) to reduce reliance on other countries (1). Imposition of tariffs (1) would benefit the government through higher tax revenue (1). Infant industries may grow (1) increasing output/GDP/economic growth (1) increasing employment/reduce unemployment (1). Up to 4 marks for why it should not: Infant industries may become reliant on protection (1) not become efficient/not reduce average costs (1) may not work (1). It is difficult to determine which industries have the potential to grow (1). Protection of infant industries may provoke retaliation (1) reducing exports of other industries (1). There is an opportunity cost (1) example (1). 6 A response may develop a mixture of relevant points to achieve up to 4 marks on either side. Maximum of 3 marks for a list-like approach.

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2017

Q3 · In recent years there has been an increase in prices in Mexico 0455/21 May/June 2017

7 In recent years there has been an increase in prices in Mexico. Indirect taxes have also been increased. Bus fares and food have become more expensive. In 2015, the Mexican Government was planning to cut its spending by US$8.3 billion. (a) Define ‘indirect taxes’ and give an example. [2] (b) Explain two causes of an increase in demand for bus transport. [4] (c) Analyse how a reduction in government spending on education could cause unemployment. [6] (d) Discuss whether a government should increase taxes on food. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 7(a) Define ‘indirect taxes’ and give an example. A tax on spending/the burden can be passed on to someone else (1) e.g. VAT/sales tax/tariffs (1). 2 7(b) Explain two causes of an increase in demand for bus transport. 1 mark each for each of two causes: • a rise in the price of a substitute e.g. cars • a fall/rise in income • an increase in population • an increase in employment • an increase in the quality of bus travel • increase in price of petrol/tax on petrol • introduction of congestion charges • increased concern for the environment • increased advertising/more effective advertising 1 mark each for each of two explanations of the causes: • car travel is a possible substitute • bus travel may be seen as poor quality travel in some countries/may enable some people to be able to afford bus travel • a higher population will mean there will be more people to travel • more people may travel to and from work • bus travel may improve in quality if buses are safer or there are bus lanes • some people are switching away from car travel because of concern with the environment • advertising may persuade some people to travel by bus 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 7(c) Analyse how a reduction in government spending on education could cause unemployment. Lower government spending will reduce total demand (1) reducing output (1) causing firms to cut back on the number of people they employ (1) causing cyclical unemployment (1). Mismatch between demand and supply of skills (1) results in structural unemployment. Fewer skilled/less qualified workers (1) less productive (1) making them less attractive to employers (1) less adaptive to change (1) structural/frictional unemployment may increase (1). Results in fewer teachers/staff in education (1). 6 Maximum of 3 marks for a list-like approach. 7(d) Discuss whether a government should increase taxes on food. Up to 5 marks for why it should: Would raise total revenue (1) demand for food is price inelastic (1) so a good source of tax revenue (1) enabling the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1). May reduce the problem of obesity (1) improve health of population (1) reduce the burden on healthcare facilities (1). Reduce food wastage (1) lowering costs of waste disposal (1). Up to 5 marks for why it should not: Taxes on food are regressive (1) take a higher proportion of the income of the poor (1) food is a necessity (1) may mean poor cannot afford sufficient food (1) may cut back on other necessities (1) may increase poverty (1) thereby increasing inequality (1). A tax on food (1) may stimulate wage demands (1) increase costs of production (1) cause inflation (1) may increase government expenditure on healthcare (1) may lead to lower labour productivity (1) there may be tax evasion (1). Fall in demand results in less production of food (1) leading to reduced employment in agriculture and food processing industries (1). 8 A response may develop a mixture of relevant points to achieve up to 5 marks on either side. Maximum of 2 marks on each side of the discussion for a list-like approach.

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2017

Q4 · Between 2014 and 2015, Sao Paulo, a large city in Brazil, opened more than 120 km of… 0455/23 May/June 2017

2 Between 2014 and 2015, Sao Paulo, a large city in Brazil, opened more than 120 km of cycle-only lanes alongside roads. The city has a car culture, with demand for car travel being price-inelastic. In contrast, in Copenhagen, the capital of Denmark, 36% of commuter journeys are now by bicycle, which has reduced the demand for car travel in the city. (a) Define ‘price-inelastic demand’. [2] (b) Explain two causes of a shift of a demand curve to the left. [4] (c) Analyse how a government could promote the purchase of bicycles. [6] (d) Discuss whether governments should discourage car use. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Define ‘price-inelastic demand’. When demand changes by a smaller percentage (1) than the change in price (1) when PED is less than 1 (1). 2 2(b) Explain two causes of a shift of a demand curve to the left. 1 mark each for each of two causes identified: • decrease in the price of a substitute • increase in the price of a complement • decrease in income • decrease in population • change in tastes (away from the product)/less advertising 1 mark each for each of two explanations given: • if a substitute becomes cheaper people will switch to it • if a complement becomes more expensive, people will buy less of it and the product which goes with it • lower income will reduce people’s ability to buy the product • lower population will reduce the number of people buying the product • the product may become less popular 4 Do not accept change in the price of a product. 2(c) Analyse how a government could promote the purchase of bicycles. The government could do the following: • Subsidise bicycle producers (1) reducing production costs (1) lowering price (1) improving quality (1) making them more affordable (1) • Subsidise bicycle consumers (1) increasing their purchasing power (1) • Reduce the tax on bicycles (1) encouraging bicycle purchases (1) • Introduce/increase the number of cycle lanes (1) making it safer/faster to cycle (1) • Tax/raise the price of other forms of transport (1) e.g. bus travel, cars (1) which are substitutes (1) discouraging their consumption (1) • Advertising/campaigns/educate people about the health benefits of cycling (1) make bicycles more fashionable/attractive to consumers (1) 6 Maximum of 3 marks for a list-like approach. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether governments should discourage car use. Up to 5 marks for why they should: • Cars may cause external costs (1) e.g. pollution (1) cause global warming (1) damaging people’s health (1) reducing living standards (1) damaging local economies, e.g. tourism (1) • May cause congestion (1) increasing firms’ costs of production (1) lowering output (1) • May cause accidents (1) resulting in increased healthcare costs/costs to society (1) Up to 5 marks for why they should not: • Difficult to estimate the correct amount of car use (1) may result in under-consumption (1) • Car industry employs large numbers (1) may reduce the output/revenue from cars (1) reducing GDP/economic growth (1) and causing unemployment in the car industry (1) increasing benefit costs to government (1) reducing government tax receipts (1). • Advances in technology may make cars cleaner (1) car use does not cause congestion in all countries (1) 8 Arguments which focus on people needing cars or the problems of rural areas not to be credited. Arguments about the problems with bicycles are not relevant. A response may develop a mixture of relevant points to achieve up to 5 marks on either side. Maximum of 2 marks on each side of the discussion for a list- like approach.

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2017

Q5 · Cigarette smoking in China China has recently experienced rapid economic growth and an… 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2017

1 Cigarette smoking in China China has recently experienced rapid economic growth and an improving Human Development Index (HDI) ranking. It is, however, facing a number of health challenges. It is currently the world’s largest cigarette market, with more than 350 million smokers. A higher proportion of men smoke in China than in most other countries, including Russia and the USA. While 50% of Chinese men smoke, only 2% of Chinese women smoke. It has been estimated that nearly 2 million Chinese citizens a year die from smoking-related illnesses. These include smokers and those who have suffered from passive smoking. As well as being the largest consumer of cigarettes, China is also the world’s largest producer of cigarettes. Tobacco is grown in a number of the provinces of China, including the province of Yunnan. Over 3 million workers are employed in the industry, which is increasingly using advanced technological capital equipment. However, between 2009 and 2014 the number of cigarette- producing firms declined from 200 to 40 as firms merged and grew in size. Although revenue from taxes on cigarettes earned the Chinese Government 800 billion yuan in 2014 (5% of the government’s total tax revenue), it recently introduced a number of measures to discourage smoking. It has imposed a ban on smoking in public places, hospitals, schools and public transport. Health campaigns are also being used. Such campaigns are used throughout the world both to discourage the consumption of some products that are thought to be harmful to health and to encourage the consumption of products that are considered to be beneficial to health. For example, an information campaign on the benefits of consuming fruit has met with some success in the UK. Fig. 1 shows the impact it had on the market for fruit in the UK in 2015. price S of fruit P2 P1 D2 D1 O Q1 Q2 quantity of fruit Fig. 1 The market for fruit in the UK in 2015 (a) Identify, from the extract, two factors of production used in producing cigarettes. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why firms merge. [4] (c) Calculate, using information from the extract: (i) the percentage decrease in the number of cigarette firms in China from 2009 to 2014 [2] (ii) the total tax revenue that the Chinese Government received in 2014. [2] (d) Analyse, using a production possibility curve diagram, the effect of moving factors of production from producing cigarettes to producing other products. [5] (e) Discuss whether people in countries with a high HDI always enjoy a high standard of living. [5] (f) Explain, using information from the extract and Fig. 1, what happened to the market for fruit in the UK in 2015. [4] (g) Discuss the arguments for and against the Chinese Government increasing the tax on cigarettes. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Mark 1(a) Identify, from the extract, two factors of production employed in 2 producing cigarettes. Workers/labour (1) capital (1). 1(b) Explain two reasons why firms merge. 4 1 mark each for each of two reasons identified: • to take advantage of economies of scale / reduce costs of production • to gain greater market share / market power / reduce competition • to gain access to market outlets • to gain access to raw materials / resources / better methods of production • to diversify • to prevent one firm going out of business • to increase profit • to grow / expand / become larger 1 mark each for each of two explanations: • a merged firm will be larger and due to economies of scale, average costs may be lower, example • a merged firm eliminates a competitor • a vertical merger forwards gives the firm control of the sale of its product • a vertical merger backwards may ensure an adequate supply of a raw material • a conglomerate merger will increase the range of products produced • a combined, larger firm will be able to survive • the combined profit of two merged firms might be greater than the profit of two individual firms • one of the key business goals is growth 1(c)(i) Calculate, using information from the extract, the percentage decrease 2 in the number of cigarette firms in China from 2009 to 2014 80% (2). Correct working e.g. 160/200 × 100 (1). 1(c)(ii) Calculate, using information from the extract, the total tax revenue that 2 the Chinese government received in 2014. 16 000 billion yuan (2). 16 000 billion OR yuan (1). Correct working i.e. 800 billion × 100/5 (1). Note: 16 000 billion = 16 000 000 000 000 or 1.6 × 1013 1(d) Analyse, using a production possibility curve diagram, the effect of 5 moving factors of production from producing cigarettes to producing other products. Up to 3 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled (1). Curve / downward-sloping straight line drawn to the axes (1). Movement along curve from cigarettes to other products (1) shown by an arrow on the curve or by change in combinations. cigarettes A1 A2 O B1 B2 other products Up to 2 marks for explanation: Opportunity cost of producing more other products / devoting more resources to other products (1) means producing fewer cigarettes (1). 1(e) Discuss whether people in countries with a high HDI always enjoy a 5 high standard of living. Up to 3 marks for why they might: Indicates high income per head / high purchasing power / high ability to buy goods (1) high life expectancy / low death rate / good healthcare (1) good education / high literacy (1). 1 mark for a general idea of what the HDI includes. Up to 3 marks for why they might not: May be uneven distribution of income / GDP figure is an average (1) so that not everyone enjoys a high standard of living / there may still be many poor people (1) unemployment may still be high (1) healthcare may still be poor for some (1) literacy levels may be high but there may be no suitable jobs (1). There are other influences on living standards (1) working hours may be long (1) working conditions may be poor (1) there may be high levels of pollution (1). 1(f) Explain, using information from the extract and Fig. 1, what happened 4 to the market for fruit in the UK in 2015. The diagram shows demand increasing (1) price rising (1) revenue increasing (1) supply extending / quantity of fruit consumed increasing (1). This is due to the information campaign / people being better informed about the benefits of fruit (1). Inelastic demand (1) inelastic supply (1). 1(g) Discuss the arguments for and against the Chinese Government 6 increasing the tax on cigarettes. Up to 4 marks for why it should: Demand for cigarettes is price-inelastic (1) so may increase tax revenues (1) which government could spend on public services, e.g. health and education (1). Smoking is harmful (demerit good) (1) tax will raise the price (1) may discourage cigarette smoking / reduce consumption (1) improve smokers’ health (1) prevent early deaths from smoking related diseases (1) reduce external costs (1) e.g. air pollution, passive smoking (1) reduces health costs (1) increases productivity of workers (1). Up to 4 marks for why it should not: May not be very effective in reducing consumption (1) smoking is addictive / demand is price-inelastic (1) and tax will therefore not reduce smoking significantly (1). May reduce output of cigarettes in the country / tobacco firms may close (1) may increase unemployment (1). May lead to an illegal market in cigarettes / cheap alternatives (1) people not paying the tax (1).

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2017

Q6 · In 2015, Venezuela was facing a number of challenges 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2017

5 In 2015, Venezuela was facing a number of challenges. Despite government subsidies, increases in demand meant there were shortages of food. The fall in the global price of oil increased the deficit on the current account of the country’s balance of payments. Oil accounted for nearly 90% of the country’s export earnings. In Venezuela, oil is produced by one large state-owned company, but the country also has many sole traders involved in other industries. (a) Define a ‘subsidy’. [2] (b) Explain two causes of a decrease in demand for oil. [4] (c) Analyse the advantages of being a sole trader. [6] (d) Discuss whether a government should be concerned about a growing deficit on the current account of its balance of payments. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Define a ‘subsidy’. 2 A payment by e.g. a government (1) to reduce production costs (1) to increase output (1) to improve quality (1) reduce prices for consumers (1). 5(b) Explain two causes of a decrease in demand for oil. 4 1 mark each for each of two reasons identified: • fall in price of another fuel / reduction in its availability • decrease in car driving • change in fashion/taste e.g. electric cars • greater concern for the environment • decrease in output / manufacturing of goods • decrease in population • decrease in income. 1 mark each for each of two explanations: • if the price of e.g. coal falls, some firms and households may switch from a substitute such as oil • oil/petrol is a complement to a car • e.g. electric cars are substitutes for petrol driven cars • people may use cars less because they are concerned about e.g. pollution • lower output will require less fuel to produce it / fewer people will be using fuel to get to and from work • lower population will mean there are fewer people to consume products that require fuel to produce or use them • decrease in income will decrease demand for products, e.g. car driving which requires fuel. Note: accept an increase in the price of oil as a possible reason. 5(c) Analyse the advantages of being a sole trader. 6 Flexible / can respond quickly to changes in demand (1) as one person makes all the decisions (1). Easy to set up (1) limited finance / limited paperwork needed (1). Can provide a personal service (1) get to know customers personally (1). Profit incentive (1) owner will get all the profits (1). Sole trader has total control (1) can decide e.g. hours of work, holidays (1) May have good relationships with staff (1) less industrial disputes (1). 5(d) Discuss whether a government should be concerned about a growing 8 deficit on the current account of its balance of payments. Up to 5 marks for why it should: Imports exceeding exports (1) country will be living beyond its means (1) consuming more than it produces (1) net exports will be making a negative contribution to output (1) output will be lower than possible (1) employment lower than possible (1) unemployment (1) may lead to increased government spending on benefits (1). May indicate a lack of international competitiveness (1) may suggest that the price of domestically produced products is too high (1) quality of domestically produced products too low (1). Country may be dependent on foreign products (1) causing security concerns (1). May put downward pressure on the exchange rate (1) increase the value of exports that have to be exchanged to gain a certain value of imports (1). Need to cover the deficit with e.g. borrowing/attracting investment from abroad (1). Up to 5 marks for why it should not: Deficit may only be temporary (1) more raw materials (1) capital goods may be imported (1) in the longer run these may be turned into exports (1). The deficit on current account may be balanced out by a surplus elsewhere (1) e.g. direct investment (1). The deficit may have been caused by a fall in incomes abroad (1) these may rise in the future, increasing exports (1). If the country has a floating exchange rate (1) a fall in the exchange rate resulting from the deficit will lower export prices (1) raise import prices (1) and so move the current account position towards a balance (1). A deficit reduces total demand (1) and this can reduce demand-pull inflation (1). Note: reward but do not expect reference to other parts of the balance of payments.

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2017

Q7 · In Pakistan there is a limited choice of cars to buy 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2017

4 In Pakistan there is a limited choice of cars to buy. The country has a population of approximately 190 million but only about 120 000 cars a year are produced there. The firms producing cars in Pakistan are protected from foreign competition by a range of methods of trade protection. (a) Name two factors of production used in making cars. [2] (b) Explain how two methods of trade protection may reduce imports. [4] (c) Analyse the social costs created by car production and car use. [6] (d) Discuss whether demand for cars is likely to increase in the future. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Name two factors of production used in making cars. 1 mark each for each of two factors identified: • car workers / labour • car factory / capital • car firm owner / entrepreneur • water/land 2 4(b) Explain how two methods of trade protection may reduce imports. 1 mark each for each of two methods identified: • tariffs • quotas • embargoes • exchange control • voluntary export restraint (VER) • quality standards • subsidies • expensive paperwork 1 mark each for each of two explanations given: • tariffs – tax on imports will raise price of imports which may reduce demand • quotas – a limit on imports will restrict quantity of imports that can be purchased • embargo – a ban on imports will reduce quantity imported to zero • exchange control – a limit on availability of foreign currency will make it difficult to get the currency to buy imports • VER – agreements between governments to restrict exports to each other • quality standards – making it difficult / expensive to achieve requirements • subsidies – given to domestic producers to make them internationally competitive expensive paperwork – increase the costs of exporting to the country 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(c) Analyse the social costs created by car production and car use. Social costs are private costs plus external costs (1). Private costs are the costs to the car firm/buyers of cars (1) example: e.g. wages paid to workers / price paid for the cars (1). External costs are likely to exist in the form of costs to third parties (1) firms/buyers will not take them into account (1) examples: e.g. air pollution / noise pollution / congestion (up to 2). 6 Maximum 4 marks if no reference to cars. Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(d) Discuss whether demand for cars is likely to increase in the future. Up to 5 marks for why it might: Rising incomes (1) people may switch from other forms of transport e.g. bus travel / can afford to buy cars (1). Price may fall (1) cars become more affordable (1). Advances in technology (1) increasing availability of hybrid / electric cars / raise quality (1) any other relevant cause of a fall in price (1). Population is increasing (1) creating more potential buyers (1). Greater availability of bank loans / credit (1) cars may be purchased using bank loans (1). More effective advertisements (1) persuading people to buy more cars (1). Up to 5 marks for why it might not: Other forms of transport may become cheaper (1) example of a substitute (1). Concern for the environment may increase (1) causing people to walk or cycle (1). Prices of complements may rise (1) e.g. petrol / car parking charges / road tolls / inner city charges (1). Governments may increase taxes on car travel / impose restrictions on car use (1) to reduce external costs (1). There may be a global recession / higher unemployment (1) reducing people’s confidence in buying cars (1). 8 Maximum of 4 marks for a list-like approach.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2017

Q8 · In Saudi Arabia, output of cement has risen as a result of an increase in demand from the… 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2017

2 In Saudi Arabia, output of cement has risen as a result of an increase in demand from the construction industry for building houses, schools, hospitals and roads. The market for cement is also being affected by price changes, export bans and mergers between companies making cement. (a) Define ‘demand’. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why a country might want to restrict exports. [4] (c) Analyse how information on the price elasticity of demand for its product can influence a firm’s pricing decisions. [6] (d) Discuss whether a merger of two firms in the same industry will be likely to reduce the price of the product. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Define ‘demand’. The willingness/desire/want (1) and ability to buy a product (1) in a given period (1). 2 2(b) Explain two reasons why a country might want to restrict exports. 1 mark each for each of two reasons identified: • keep prices low on home market • prevent stocks running out • maintain monopoly of raw materials • reduce balance of payments surplus / reduce demand-pull inflation • raise price of exports. 1 mark each for each of two explanations given: • reducing exports may increase supply on the home market • a government may want to conserve e.g. oil for future generations to enjoy • reducing exports of raw materials that are found mainly in the country may mean that other countries/firms will not be able to produce the product • may increase export revenue if demand is inelastic. 4 2(c) Analyse how information on price elasticity of demand for its product can influence a firm’s pricing decisions. If a firm knows that demand for its products is price-elastic (1) it will know a fall in price will cause a rise in revenue (and vice versa) / percentage price change causes a bigger percentage change in demand (1). It will also know that its products probably have close substitutes (1). If it knows demand for its products is price-inelastic (1) it will know a rise in price will cause a rise in total revenue / percentage change in price is greater than percentage change in demand (1). It will also know its products probably do not have close substitutes (1). If it knows that demand for its products have unit price elasticity of demand (1) it will know that its revenue will not change if it changes price (1). It is difficult to calculate PED (1) firms may use other factors to determine price (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether a merger of two firms in the same industry will be likely to reduce the price of the product. Up to 5 marks for why it might: A horizontal merger may allow the firm to enjoy economies of scale (1) example/s (2) lower average costs (1) enabling the firm to lower prices and maintain/increase profit / pass on savings (1). A horizontal merger may allow a firm to rationalise (1) to cut out duplication (1). Up to 5 marks for why it might not: A merger may result in a firm experiencing diseconomies of scale (1) example/s (2) higher average costs (1). A merger may increase market share / power / firm becomes a price maker (1) reducing competition (1) making demand price-inelastic (1) prices may rise rather than fall (1). 8

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2017

Q9 · Crisis in the ice cream market Vanilla is used in the production of soft drinks, cakes… 0455/22 May/June 2018

1 Crisis in the ice cream market Vanilla is used in the production of soft drinks, cakes and perfumes. Its main use, however, is in the production of ice cream. Fig. 1 shows the different costs of making ice cream for one firm. Fig. 1 The costs of producing ice cream for one firm raw materials including vanilla other wages insurance security lighting rent Madagascar is the world’s largest supplier of vanilla followed by Mexico and Tahiti. At the start of 2016, economists expected the price of ice cream to increase as the price of vanilla had risen by 130% in 2015. This was largely because of the poor harvests in Madagascar which reduced the output of vanilla in 2015. Ice cream is seen as a luxury product in most countries. It has a range of substitutes and this is one reason why producers do not always pass on higher costs to consumers. In 2015, there were a number of other changes in the production of ice cream including a rise in the productivity of the workers. As well as vanilla, Madagascar produces a number of other primary products including coffee and sugar. Nearly 80% of the country’s labour force is employed in the primary sector. The country has a relatively low Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per head and a relatively low Human Development Index (HDI) value as shown in Table 1. This limits the amount that people in Madagascar save. Table 1 GDP per head and HDI in selected countries in 2015 Country GDP per head (US$) HDI Argentina 22 400 0.836 Bangladesh 3 600 0.570 Cuba 10 200 0.769 Egypt 11 500 0.690 Ghana 4 300 0.579 Madagascar 1 500 0.510 Half of Madagascar’s population live in poverty. The government is trying to reduce poverty by introducing a programme of cash benefits. It is hoped that one effect of this will be to increase school enrolment and attendance of the children of poor families. To increase economic growth, the government has sold off a number of state-owned enterprises and is moving the economy towards a market system. (a) Identify two fixed costs of production in Fig. 1. [2] (b) Explain, using information from the extract, two reasons why a rise in the price of vanilla might not cause an increase in the price of ice cream. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, the effect of an increase in income on the market for ice cream. [5] (d) Analyse the extent to which the relationship shown in Table 1 between countries’ GDP per head and their HDI value is the expected one. [4] (e) Discuss whether or not a government should encourage people to save more. [5] (f) Explain, using information from the extract, how cash benefits given to the poor can reduce poverty. [4] (g) Discuss whether or not a market system benefits consumers. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Identify two fixed costs of production in Fig.1. One mark each for any 2 from: insurance, security, rent, lighting and wages. 2 are given, consider only the first three. 1(b) Explain, using information from the extract, two reasons why a rise in the price of vanilla might not cause an increase in the price of ice cream. Ice cream is a luxury product (1) likely to have elastic demand / producers will be concerned that a rise in price could cause a fall in revenue/profit/demand (1). Ice cream has substitutes (1) likely to have elastic demand / producers will be concerned that a rise in price could cause a fall in revenue / loss of customers / loss of demand (1). Rise in productivity of workers (1) fall in labour costs / lower costs may offset a rise in the price of vanilla (1). Fall in another cost identified in the pie chart (1) may offset a rise in the price of vanilla (1), 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, the effect of an increase in income on the market for ice cream. Up to 4 marks for a diagram: • axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or P and Q (1) • demand and supply curves correctly labelled, S (1) • demand curve D1 shifted to the right D2 (1) • correct equilibriums identified either by lines drawn to both axes or equilibrium prices clearly identified e.g. E1 and E2 (1) 1 mark for written analysis: • an increase in income increases purchasing power (1) • people buy more ice cream when they have more money/income (1) • demand will increase as ice cream is a luxury good • price will rise 5 price of ice cream quantity of ice cream O P2 D1 D1 P1 Q1 Q2 D2 D2 S S Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Analyse the extent to which the relationship shown in Table 1 between countries’ GDP per head and their HDI value is the expected one. Generally, in the same order / positively related / countries with highest GDP per head have the highest HDI (1) countries with high incomes generally spend more on education and healthcare (1) supporting evidence e.g. Argentina has highest GDP per head and highest HDI (1). Egypt higher in terms of GDP per head but lower in terms of HDI than Cuba (1). Cuba may have a high life expectancy (1) indicating good healthcare (1). Cuba may have a high number of mean and expected years of schooling (1) indicating a strong education system / more educated population (1). 4 Reward 1 mark for a supported conclusion that it is generally the expected relationship. Marks may be gained in relation to Cuba by mentioning Egypt may have less good healthcare and education. 1(e) Discuss whether or not a government should encourage people to save more. Up to 3 marks for why it should: More savings can fund investment / enable people to set up a business (1) higher investment can increase economic growth (1) higher economic growth can increase living standards (1). A government may make use of money in government-run saving schemes (1) e.g. to fund infrastructure projects (1). More savings can reduce consumer spending (1) which will lower total (aggregate) demand (1) which can reduce inflation (1). More savings can reduce demand for imports (1) improve the current account position (1). More savings can help people cope with emergencies / increase wealth / for future use (1) prepare for retirement (1) in case of unemployment (1) spend on education (1) reduce need for government expenditure e.g. pensions/education (1) enabling the government to spend on other named area (1). Up to 3 marks for why it should not: More saving may reduce output / cause recession (1) increase unemployment (1) cause deflation (1). More saving will increase deposits at banks (1) this may encourage them to lend to un- creditworthy customers (1) causing banks to collapse (1). 5 Accept response from the perspective of why it should not, by discussing why it would be better for the government to encourage spending, Reward change in consumer spending and total demand in either why it should, or why it should not, but not in both. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Explain, using information from the extract, how cash benefits given to the poor can reduce poverty. May enable them to send their children to school for longer (1) this may increase their children’s skills (1) qualifications (1) increase their job opportunities / start a business (1) increase their earning potential / living standards (1) enable them to purchase more goods and services (1) including basic necessities (1). 4 Maximum of 1 mark for a way cash benefits may reduce poverty, if not linked to education. Reward but do not expect reference to an implied multiplier effect resulting from the higher spending creating more jobs. 1(g) Discuss whether or not a market system benefits consumers. Up to 4 marks for why it might: In theory there will be consumer sovereignty (1) with firms being responsive to consumer demand (1). The price mechanism allocates resources automatically / profit motive provides an incentive to respond to consumer demand (1) avoiding delays in responding to changes in demand (1). There may be a high level of competition (1) keeping price low (1) increasing efficiency (1) keeping quality high (1) providing choice (1). Up to 4 marks for why it might not: Those with low incomes will lack purchasing power (1) the market will not produce what they want (1). Monopolies may develop (1) driving up price (1) reducing quality (1). Consumers may not always be fully informed (1) e.g. cigarettes (harmful / demerit goods) may be overconsumed (1) e.g. healthcare (beneficial / merit goods) under consumed (1) there may be external costs (1) market failure may occur (1). Some consumers may find too much choice confusing (1) advertising can distort consumer choice (1). 6 Reward but do not expect reference to public goods.

This question in 0455/22 May/June 2018

Q10 · In the UK, bus journeys outside London have fallen by nearly 40% since 1980 0455/22 May/June 2018

4 In the UK, bus journeys outside London have fallen by nearly 40% since 1980. This fall in demand has been largely due to a rise in bus fares, a rise in income and changes in the price and quality of substitutes. On some routes there are monopolies operating and this lack of competition can push up the price. (a) Define a substitute and give an example. [2] (b) Explain two advantages a firm may gain from being a monopoly. [4] (c) Analyse how price elasticity of demand for a product influences the revenue a firm receives. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a government should subsidise bus transport. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define a substitute and give an example. A rival product / a product that can be used instead of another (1) e.g. bus travel and car travel / oranges and apples (1). 2 4(b) Explain two advantages a firm may gain from being a monopoly. May be able to charge high prices / price maker (1) due to lack of competition (1) enabling it to earn a high profit (1). May produce at lower costs (1) due to economies of scale / charge lower prices (1). May produce high quality products (1) as high profits enable it to invest and innovate (1). May be able to compete with foreign firms (1) gain a wider market / export more (1). May have stronger bargaining power with suppliers (1) keeping costs low (1). 4 4(c) Analyse how price elasticity of demand for a product influences the revenue a firm receives. Formula or definition of PED (1). If demand is elastic, a rise in price will cause a fall in revenue (1) because the quantity demanded will fall by more than the rise in price (1) in percentage terms (1) example of type of product with elastic demand e.g. a luxury (1). If demand is inelastic, a rise in price will cause a rise in revenue (1) because the quantity demanded will fall by less than the rise in price (1) in percentage terms (1) example of a product with inelastic demand e.g. one without a substitute (1). If demand is perfectly inelastic, a rise in price will cause an equally proportionate rise in revenue (1) because the quantity demanded will not change (1). If demand is perfectly elastic, a rise in price will cause revenue to fall to zero (1) because people will stop buying the product (1). If demand is unitary, a rise in price will leave total revenue unchanged (1) as the proportionate change in quantity demanded and price will be the same (1). 6 Accept as reasons why demand may be price- elastic, availability of substitutes and why demand may be price- inelastic, lack of substitutes. Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(d) Discuss whether or not a government should subsidise bus transport. Up to 5 marks for why it should: A subsidy will lower costs, (1) it may encourage a rise in bus travel (1) reducing bus fares (1). It may reduce poverty / redistribute income (1) the poor tend to use buses more than the rich (1) better quality travel (1). Bus travel creates fewer external costs than car travel (1) reduce pollution (1) reduce traffic congestion (1) increase employment / reduce unemployment (1) increase labour mobility (1). Up to 5 marks for why it should not: It will involve an opportunity cost (1) the government might instead spend more on e.g. education / raise taxes (1). Bus companies may not pass on the subsidy to passengers (1) subsidies may make bus companies complacent (1) not try to keep their costs low (1) may not improve quality (1). Rail transport may be more efficient (1) may provide more social benefits (1) generate lower social costs (1). 8 Reward but do not expect reference to bus transport being a merit good.

This question in 0455/22 May/June 2018

Q11 · In 2016, the world shortage of peanuts increased their price 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2018

5 In 2016, the world shortage of peanuts increased their price. China, which has traditionally been a net exporter of peanuts, was about to become a net importer. South Africa, which is an exporter of high-quality, high-cost peanuts used in chocolate confectionery, experienced the worst drought on record. A higher number of South African farmers applied for bank loans in the same year. (a) What is the difference between the price of a product and the cost of a product? [2] (b) Explain two influences on a country’s demand for food. [4] (c) Analyse why a country may change from a net exporter of a product into a net importer of the product. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a central bank should limit the amount that a commercial bank can lend to its customers. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) What is the difference between the price of a product and the cost of a product? The price is the amount the customer pays for the product/average revenue/how much the product is sold for (1). The cost is the expenditure involved in producing product e.g. labour costs (1). 2 5(b) Explain two influences on a country’s demand for food. Increase in population size (1) would increase demand as more people consume food (1). Increase in prices (1) will reduce demand and vice versa (1). Increase in income (1) increase demand for food as people have more purchasing power (1). Health awareness (1) in some countries if people become more aware of the health problems of obesity, demand for food may decrease (1). Increase in proportion of young people (1) consume more than old people so demand will rise/patterns of consumption are different (1). The opening of fast food chains (1) may increase demand for meat (1). Advertising (1) may persuade people to eat more (1). 4 . 5(c) Analyse why a country may change from a net exporter of a product into a net importer of the product. Internal demand for the product may increase (1) due to a rise in income (1). There may be a change in tastes from domestic to foreign produced versions (1). There may be supply problems at home (1) due to bad weather/diseases (1). Imports may become relatively cheaper (1) better quality (1). Import restrictions may be removed (1) and foreign producers may be more efficient (1). Higher inflation at home (1) may reduce exports as more expensive/increase imports which are cheaper than before (1). Maybe a change in climate (1) making it difficult to grow a particular crop (1). 6 5(d) Discuss whether or not a central bank should limit the amount commercial banks can lend to its customers. Up to 5 marks for why it should: A function of a central bank maybe to control commercial bank lending (1). Unlimited loans could encourage people to borrow too much (1) they may get into debt (1). Some of the borrowers may not be able to pay back the loans (1) this could result in the banks collapsing (1) this could stop the economy working effectively (1). A limit on the amount lent could control total (aggregate) demand (1) and reduce inflation (1). A limit on bank lending could reduce spending on imports (1) this could improve the current account position on the balance of payments (1). Up to 5 marks for why it should not: Some people who cannot borrow may not have sufficient purchasing power to afford e.g. an adequate amount of food/education for their children (1) move into poverty (1). Limiting loans to firms may cause some to close (1) causing unemployment (1). Some firms may not be able to expand (1) restricting economic growth (1). The limit may discourage MNCs from setting up in the country (1) foregoing the benefits MNCs may bring (1). State of economy (1) if in recession (1) limiting lending by banks could lead to loss of jobs (1). Unlimited loans could reduce the interest rate (1) this could increase economic growth/lower unemployment (1) May force some of the poor to borrow from unregulated lenders (1) causing them to get into further debt (1). 8 Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is to be rewarded.

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2018

Q12 · Indian Railways is a state-owned enterprise, owned and operated by the Ministry of… 0455/22 Feb/March 2019

7 Indian Railways is a state-owned enterprise, owned and operated by the Ministry of Railways. There is currently only one privately-owned railway line in India. The market for rail travel is influenced by changes in the markets for other forms of transport. For instance, changes in the supply of oil and petrol influence the market for car travel. (a) Define a market. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why the supply of a raw material such as oil may rise in the future. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how the market for oil would be affected when the demand for oil increases by more than the supply of oil. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not car travel will increase in the future. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 7(a) Define a market. 2 An arrangement that brings buyers and sellers into contact / products are bought and sold (2). Buyers (1) sellers (1). Example of the purchase and sale of products (1). 7(b) Explain two reasons why the supply of a raw material such as oil may 4 rise in the future. • New supplies may be discovered (1) after investment searching for them (1) • Price may rise (1) giving suppliers a profit incentive to supply more (1) • Advances in technology / cuts in wages (1) may reduce costs of obtaining the raw material (1) • Government subsidies (1) providing finance to search for oil / greater incentive to increase output (1) 7(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how the market for oil 6 would be affected when the demand for oil increases by more than the supply of oil. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or P and Q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled D1 and S1 (1). Demand and supply curves shifted to the right D2 and S2 (1). Equilibrium – shown by lines e.g. P2 Q2 or at point e.g. E2 (1). S1 price S2 of oil P2 E2 P1 D2 D1 O Q1 Q2 quantity of oil Up to 2 marks for written comments: More of the product will be traded / quantity will rise (1). Price will be higher (1). Note: Do not reward analysis marks for description of diagram e.g. price changes from P2 to P1 or quantity changes from Q1 to Q2. 7(d) Discuss whether or not car travel will increase in the future. 8 Up to 5 marks for why it might: Price of cars may fall (1) encouraging more people to buy cars (1). Price of petrol may fall (1) making it cheaper to run a car/petrol is a complement to cars (1). Population may increase (1) more potential drivers (1). More roads may be built (1) reduce time of car journeys (1). People may live further from work (1) requiring longer journeys (1). Driverless cars (1) may enable more people e.g. those with poor eyesight to use cars (1). Income may rise (1) enabling people to buy and use more cars (1). Up to 5 marks for why it might not: Price of substitute travel may fall (1) e.g. due to government subsidising rail travel (1). Taxes on car travel may rise (1) raising the cost of car travel (1). Parking charges may increase (1) parking is a complement to car travel (1). Congestion may rise (1) increasing travel time (1). Greater concern about the environment (1) may encourage some people to switch to more environmentally friendly forms of transport (1).

This question in 0455/22 Feb/March 2019

Q13 · In 2017, the UK included bicycle helmets for the first time in its calculation of the… 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2019

7 In 2017, the UK included bicycle helmets for the first time in its calculation of the consumer prices index (CPI). Many bicycle retailers now provide their customers with a choice of bicycle helmets. Estimates show that 25 million bicycle helmets are sold globally per year and the number sold is on a steady upward trend. (a) Define choice and give an example. [2] (b) Explain how the CPI is calculated. [4] (c) Analyse the possible reasons for the increase in global demand for bicycle helmets. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not increasing sales of a product will be beneficial to a firm. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 7(a) Define choice and provide an example. Two or more different alternatives that an economic agent may have OR the idea of sacrifice and opportunity cost (1) different coloured bicycle helmets / any example (1). 2 7(b) Explain how the CPI is calculated. CPI uses a basket of goods and services (1) weighted to account for the proportion of income (1) spent by the average household (1) found in a survey (1) uses a base year (1) for comparison (1) prices around the country surveyed (1) various types of firms / sources e.g. physical shops and also online (1) weights multiplied by price changes (1). 4 7(c) Analyse the possible reasons for the increase in global demand for bicycle helmets. Increase in popularity of cycling (1) helmets are complements to bicycles (1) quantity demanded for bicycles increasing would increase the demand for helmets (1). Increase in environmental awareness (1) less driving (1) more bicycles (1) thus, more demand for bicycle helmets (1). Increase in health and safety awareness (1) dangers of cycling (1) increased awareness of benefits of helmets (1). Increase in income (1) bicycle helmet is normal good (1) YED positive (1). Increase subsidies for bicycles (1) decrease price of bicycles (1). Increase demand for bicycles (1) increase demand for bicycle helmets Increase in population (1). Reduction in price of helmets (1). 6 2 marks could be awarded for an accurately drawn Demand and Supply diagram. Question Answer Marks Guidance 7(d) Discuss whether or not increasing sales of a product will be beneficial to a firm. Up to 5 marks why it will be: Increase sales revenue/income (1) increase profits (1) allowing firm to reinvest (1) into R&D (1) employ more labour (1) making new products (1) better quality products (1) profits increase even more (1). Revenue may increase if PED is elastic (1) as demand will rise by a greater proportion than price (1). Economies of scale (1) as output increases and average cost falls (1) efficiency arising from bulk buying / lower interest rates / indivisibility / division of labour (1). Up to 5 marks why it will not be: Price might be lower (1) revenue is lower (1) profit is lower (1) sales of product increase but sales of other products decrease (1) not enough to offset each other (1). Extra sales only achieved through higher costs of production (1) e.g. advertising (1). Diseconomies of scale (1) increase output and average costs increases (1) due to control and coordination problems (1). 8

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2019

Q14 · Driverless cars and advances in technology It is predicted that driverless cars, powered… 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2019

1 Driverless cars and advances in technology It is predicted that driverless cars, powered by electricity, will be on the roads by 2030. Driverless cars have already been tried out on the roads in some cities, including Pittsburgh in the USA. It is thought that driverless cars will reduce accidents, will have lower repair costs and will create less pollution. At first, the supply of driverless cars may exceed the demand, but it is expected that they will soon grow in popularity. As more driverless cars come into use, the demand for bus travel and petrol stations may decline, and some taxi drivers may be made redundant. In contrast, the increased access to transport that driverless cars will give to people, including the elderly, is likely to increase demand for out of town restaurants and places of entertainment. It has been forecast that the technology being developed in connection with driverless cars will make the supply of them elastic. It is predicted that an 8% rise in the price of driverless cars would cause a 20% rise in the quantity supplied. Advances in technology and the replacement of workers by machines are forecast to destroy 80 million jobs in the USA. Job losses are also forecast in other countries and trade unions are likely to be less able to resist these due to a fall in membership and governments reducing the power of trade unions. Among the jobs thought to be at risk are accountants, train drivers and financial advisers. Demand for workers in other occupations, including doctors and dentists, may increase but there is a risk that unemployment may rise. The more educated workers are, the more easily they can move from one occupation to another. Table 1.1 shows education spending as a percentage (%) of GDP and the unemployment rate in selected countries. Table 1.1 Education spending and the unemployment rate in selected countries Education spending Unemployment rate Country as a % of GDP (%) Argentina 5.3 8.0 Brazil 5.8 13.5 Ghana 6.5 12.0 New Zealand 7.3 4.8 South Africa 6.0 26.0 USA 8.2 4.7 Jobs selling houses and flats may decline but it is expected that the demand for building workers may increase. Some people welcome house building in their area but others oppose it. (a) Identify, from the extract, two pairs of substitutes. [2] (b) Explain, using information from the extract, whether the market for driverless cars is expected to be in equilibrium in 2030. [2] (c) Calculate, using information from the extract, the price elasticity of supply (PES) of driverless cars. [2] (d) Explain, using information from the extract, two external costs that driverless cars could reduce. [4] (e) Analyse, using Table 1.1, the relationship between educational spending and the unemployment rate. [5] (f) Discuss whether or not an increase in house building will benefit the people who live in the area. [5] (g) Explain, using information from the extract, two reasons why the power of trade unions may decline in the future. [4] (h) Discuss whether or not a rise in unemployment is harmful. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Identify, from the extract, two pairs of substitutes. • Driverless cars and bus travel • Driverless cars and taxi travel • Bus travel and taxi travel • Machines / advanced technology and workers 2 1(b) Explain, using information form the extract, whether the market for driverless cars is expected to be in equilibrium in 2030. No (1) supply is expected to exceed demand (1). 2 1(c) Calculate, using information from the extract, the price elasticity of supply (PES) of driverless cars. 2.5 (2). Correct working: 20% / 8% OR 20 / 8 (1). 2 1(d) Explain, using information from the extract, two external costs that driverless cars could reduce. • accidents (1) people are injured and killed as a result of other people’s driving / accidents impose costs on hospitals and healthcare / less human error / driverless cars reduce the death rate / accidents can cause traffic congestion / fewer accidents may reduce cost of repairs (1) • pollution (1) cars emit carbon dioxide / pollution causes health problems / driverless cars are more environmentally friendly / use electricity which causes less pollution (1) • lower cost of insurance to (other) drivers (1) as a result of less accidents / lower cost of repairs (1) 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse, using Table 1.1, the relationship between educational spending and the unemployment rate. Expected relationship – a country that spends more (a high proportion) of their GDP on education would have a low unemployment rate / a country with a higher unemployment rate is likely to spend less on education / it is an inverse relationship (1). Reasons for expected relationship – workers would be likely to be more skilled and productive / higher unemployment may result in less tax revenue to spend on education (1). Evidence in support of expected relationship – e.g. New Zealand or US (1) highest spenders and lowest unemployment rates (1). Evidence against expected relationship – e.g. Argentina or South Africa (1) Argentina spends a lower proportion than Ghana and Brazil but has a lower unemployment rate / South Africa spends more a higher proportion than Argentina and Brazil but has a higher unemployment rate (1). 5 A pattern of analysis is expected in response to this type of question. If there is no expected pattern of analysis, the following may be worthy of some reward, e.g.: • it is not a consistent relationship (1) • there are other influences on the unemployment rate (1) However, do not reward simple statements (repetition) of the figures given in the table. For example, USA spends 8.2% on education and has an unemployment rate of 4.7%, is not to be rewarded. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Discuss whether or not an increase in house building will benefit the people who live in the area. Up to 3 marks for why it might: House building may create jobs (1) lower unemployment (1) generate income / raise wages / raise living standards (1). House building will increase the supply of housing (1) the lower price of housing (1) makes houses more affordable (1) fewer homeless (1). May attract more firms to set up in the area (1) more services may be provided (1) due to more people living in the area / larger labour force (1). May save travel time for those working nearby (1) reduce pollution / congestion (1). Up to 3 marks for why it might not: House building may cause external costs (1) examples (2). More houses may reduce the value of people’s homes (1) reduce their wealth (1). There is an opportunity cost (1) the area used could have been used for e.g. school buildings (1). Demand for extra services may not be met (1). Jobs may only be temporary / seasonal unemployment (1). More housing may create overcrowding in the area. (1). 5 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease « 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Explain, using information from the extract, two reasons why the power of trade unions may decline in the future. Fall in membership (1) lower funds / less bargaining power (1). Rise in unemployment / workers being replaced by machines (1) trade unions may be reluctant to take industrial action for fear that members will be replaced by unemployed / non-member workers (1). Government may reduce the power of trade unions (1) making it harder for trade unions to protect workers’ rights (1). Movement from primary to tertiary sector (1) which may be less unionised / better working conditions (1). 4 Some points may be interchangeable e.g. rise in unemployment (1) resulting in fall in membership (1). Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not a rise in unemployment is harmful. Up to 4 marks for why it is: Output is likely to fall (1) incomes will decline / poverty increase (1) living standards will fall (1) lower total (aggregate) demand (1). Tax revenue will fall (1) government may have to cut spending on e.g. education and healthcare (1). Government may increase tax rates (1) which may create disincentive effect (1). The government will have to spend more on unemployment benefit (1) this will involve an opportunity cost (1) may result in a budget deficit (1). Unemployed workers may lose skills / become out of date (1) may need retraining (1). May increase emigration (1) lose skilled workers (1). May cause social problems e.g. crime / mental health problems (1). Up to 4 marks for why it is not: Inflation may fall (1) due to lower total (aggregate) demand (1). Firms may find it easier to recruit new workers (1) this will make it easier to expand (1) at lower wage costs (1). Productivity may be higher (1) more skilled workers kept (1). Unemployment may give the unemployed time to search for a better job (1) eventually raises their incomes (1). Rise may only be temporary (1). May reduce demand for imports (1) improve current account of the balance of payments (1). May be less pollution with lower output (1). 6 Reward but do not expect reference to a downward multiplier effect and/or not reaching productive capacity.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2019

Q15 · In May 2017, the price of olive oil rose by more than 10% 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2019

5 In May 2017, the price of olive oil rose by more than 10%. This was caused by a drought in Greece, Italy, Spain and Tunisia, the major producing countries. Global supply was forecast to fall by 14% in 2017. Demand for olive oil fell in Europe, but rose in a number of other countries including Australia, Brazil and China. Some basic food items, including bread and rice, are taxed in some countries but are subsidised in other countries. (a) Identify two examples of land used in growing agricultural crops. [2] (b) Explain why the concept of price elasticity of supply (PES) may be useful to a government in deciding whether to subsidise the production of a product. [4] (c) Analyse why the demand for a product may be higher in one country than in another country. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not the government should influence the production of basic food items, such as bread or rice. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Identify two examples of land used in growing agricultural crops. • soil • water • natural fertiliser • seeds • weather 2 Note: land on its own is insufficient, but the area of land or farmland can be rewarded. 5(b) Explain why the concept of price elasticity of supply (PES) may be useful to a government in deciding whether to subsidise the production of a product. A subsidy is aimed at increasing supply / lowering price (1). If supply is elastic, supply will change by a greater (1) percentage (1) than price. Should subsidise production of the product (1). If supply is inelastic, supply will change by a smaller (1) percentage (1) than price. Should not subsidise production of the product (1). 4 Note: supply change is greater/smaller than price change (1) supply changes by a greater/smaller percentage than price (2) 5(c) Analyse why the demand for a product may be higher in one country than in another country. Incomes may be higher (1) allowing people to buy more of the product (1). There may be a larger population (1) more potential buyers (1). The product may be more to the taste of people in that country (1) example e.g. falafel is popular in the middle east (1). The product may be more heavily advertised (1) which may increase the attractiveness of the product (1). Price may be lower (1) due to lower costs of production / government subsidy / lower (indirect) taxes (1). Price of substitutes may be higher (1) example (1). Credit may be more available / interest rate lower (1) making it easier for people to borrow to buy the product (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Discuss whether or not the government should influence the production of basic food items, such as bread or rice. Up to 5 marks for why it should: The poor may spend a higher proportion of their income on food (1) a subsidy on food (1) may reduce poverty (1) lower indirect tax may reduce poverty (1) lower price (1) basic food items / bread / rice may be regarded to be a basic necessity (1) There may be market failure (1) bread may be overconsumed (1) this may cause obesity (1) a tax will raise price (1) this may discourage demand for basic food items / bread / rice (1) reduce obesity (1) it may also reduce wastage (1). Regulation may be needed (1) to ensure the basic food / bread / rice is produced under clean conditions / with safe ingredients (1). Basic food items / bread / rice may be produced by a monopoly (1) which could use its power to restrict supply (1) push up price (1) regulation may be need to prevent this (1). Demand for basic food items / bread / rice may be inelastic (1) firms may take advantage of this to push up price (1). Up to 5 marks for why it should not: Market forces may produce an efficient output (1) the profit motive (1) may encourage producers to respond to changes in consumer demand (1) surpluses and shortages will be eliminated by changes in prices (1). There may be a high level of competition in the industry (1) encouraging producers to make basic food items / bread / rice of a high quality (1). An indirect tax will be regressive (1) fall more heavily on the poor (1). A subsidy will involve an opportunity cost (1) example (1). Reducing an indirect tax will lower tax revenue (1) lowering government’s ability to spend on e.g. healthcare (1). Government discouragement of production of basic items may result in more being imported (1) which will harm the balance of payments (1). 8 Reward but do not expect reference to price controls.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2019

Q16 · The food items people buy can be influenced by taxes, subsidies and health reports 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2019

3 The food items people buy can be influenced by taxes, subsidies and health reports. A report published in 2017 outlined the health benefits of eating tomatoes including improved vision and reduced risk of heart disease. Egypt is a major producer of tomatoes and it also produces a large amount of cement. Cement is a product with price-inelastic demand. Egyptian cement producers have introduced more capital-intensive production methods. (a) Identify the difference between a tax and a subsidy. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why demand for a product may be price-inelastic. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, the effect a report stating that eating tomatoes is good for health will have on the market for tomatoes. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not introducing more capital-intensive production methods will increase a firm’s profits. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify the difference between a tax and a subsidy. • A tax is a payment to the government (1) whereas a subsidy is a grant from the government (1). • A tax increases costs/prices (1) a subsidy reduces costs/prices (1). • A tax reduces consumption / production (1) a subsidy increases consumption / production (1). • A tax is a cost for people / firms (1) a subsidy is a cost to the government (1). • A tax is placed on demerit goods (1) a subsidy is given to merit goods (1). 2 3(b) Explain two reasons why demand for a product may be price-inelastic. • The product may not have a substitute (1) consumers will not be able to switch to rival products / example (1). • The product may be a necessity (1) people will need to buy it even if price rises / example (1). • The product may take up a small proportion of income (1) people may not notice a price rise / example (1). • The product may be addictive (1) people cannot do without the product / example (1). • The purchase of the product cannot be postponed/there is only a short time period (1) so people do not have time to find alternatives (1). • Advertising changes tastes of consumer (1) making the product a “must have” (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, the effect a report stating that eating tomatoes is good for health will have on the market for tomatoes. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or P and Q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines or e.g. E1 and E2 (1). Up to 2 marks for written analysis: The report will encourage people to eat more tomatoes (1) rise in demand leads to shortages (1) a rise in price (1) and an increase in output of tomatoes (1). The supply of tomatoes is likely to be relatively inelastic (1) and so an increase in demand will be likely to have more impact on price than quantity (1). Do not reward analysis marks for description of diagram e.g. price changes from P2 to P1 or quantity changes from Q1 to Q2. 6 S Q2 Q1 P1 P2 D1 D2 O quantity of tomatoes price of tomatoes Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not introducing more capital-intensive production methods will increase a firm’s profits. Up to 5 marks for why it might: • Machines may introduce more advanced technology (1) increases productivity (1) higher output means firm benefits from economies of scale (1) less workers means lower labour costs (1) may reduce average costs / (1) may enable price to be lower (1) revenue will rise (1) if demand is elastic (1). • Better quality products could be produced (1) increasing demand (1). • May increase international competitiveness (1) sell more exports (1). Up to 5 marks for why it might not: • Machines may be expensive (1) workers may not be trained in their use (1) average costs could rise (1) reducing gaps between revenue and cost (1). • Machines may break down (1) consequences of breakdown e.g. interruptions in supply (1). • Initial set-up costs may be high (1) profits are reduced in short-run (1). • A fall in price may cause revenue to fall (1) if demand is inelastic (1). • Consumers may prefer handmade/personalised products (1) demand may fall (1). • Labour may be in large supply (1) resulting in low wages (1). • Government may subsidise firms to employ workers (1) to reduce unemployment (1). 8

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2019

Q17 · In 2017, the Brazilian paper industry was booming 0455/22 Feb/March 2020

3 In 2017, the Brazilian paper industry was booming. Its total revenue increased and it employed both more, and better quality, factors of production. Brazil’s largest paper producer merged with an Indonesian paper-producing firm at the end of 2017. The performance of Brazil’s coffee industry differed from its paper industry. Brazilian coffee experienced a fall in demand and a fall in total revenue. (a) Define total revenue. [2] (b) Explain two differences between capital and labour. [4] (c) Analyse the possible effects on consumers of a merger between two paper-producing firms. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not demand for coffee is likely to rise in the future. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define total revenue. The total income / money received (1) from a firm’s sales (1). OR Price (1) multiplied by quantity sold (1). 3(b) Explain two differences between capital and labour. Logical explanation which might include: Capital is a human-made resource / factor of production / machines (1) labour is a human resource / factor of production / workers / type of worker (1) Capital is increased by investment (1) labour is increased by e.g. rises in population (1) The quality of capital is improved by advances in technology (1) the quality of labour is improved by e.g. better education (1) Capital is paid interest (1) labour is paid wages (1). Capital can be a fixed cost (1) whereas labour can be a variable cost (1). Capital can be a one-off investment (1) wages are paid regularly (1). Labour tends to be mobile (1) capital tends to be immobile (1). Capital can work for 24 hours (1) workers have breaks / work for less than 24 hours (1). 4 One mark for each of two differences identified and one mark for each explanation. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse the possible effects on consumers of a merger between two paper-producing firms. Coherent analysis which might include: This would be a horizontal merger (1) it may enable the merged firm to take greater advantage of economies of scale (1) so lower average costs of production (1) which may lower prices (1) enabling consumers to buy more / save more (1). The merger may increase profits (1) allowing the merged firm to spend more on e.g. R&D (1) gain new ideas (1) increase investment (1) consumers may gain from a rise in the quality of the product (1) new products may be produced(1). The merger may reduce competition / result in a monopoly (1) which may increase prices (1). If the merged firm is a monopoly it may restrict supply / result in outlets being shut down (1) making it more difficult for consumers to obtain the product (1) may reduce choice (1) may result in diseconomies of scale (1). A reduction in competitive pressure (1) may reduce the quality of the product (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not demand for coffee is likely to rise in the future. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • incomes may rise increasing people’s ability to buy coffee • price may fall (due to e.g. subsidies) increasing people’s willingness and ability to buy coffee • the quality of coffee may rise • population may increase. Why it might not: • price of substitutes, such as tea / coffee produced by other countries, may fall so people may switch away from drinking coffee • there may be a health report suggesting that drinking coffee is harmful to health • the price of complements, such as milk, may rise • taxes / tariffs may be imposed on coffee • Less may be spent on marketing. Example of a Level 2 answer: Coffee is an inelastic good which means the demand for it remains the same irrespective of the price. The demand for coffee increases with time as the population grows, so demand may be a constant growth. However, demand may not rise in the future as there are alternatives to coffee. Education on the harmful effects of coffee has increased leading to less consumption of coffee, reducing the demand for it. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Principal Examiner comment: The answer is two-sided but lacks depth. It starts with a confused statement on the meaning of a product having price-inelastic demand. It then correctly identifies an influence on demand for coffee (population) and shows understanding of how an increase in population will affect demand for coffee. On side two, the influence of alternatives (substitutes) is accurate and there is a clear link between education and reduced demand for coffee. More discussion on, for example, changes in relative price or quality of substitutes would have been appropriate. Level Description Marks 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/22 Feb/March 2020

Q18 · There is a smaller proportion of large firms in Africa than in Asia 0455/21 May/June 2020

3 There is a smaller proportion of large firms in Africa than in Asia. The two African countries with the largest firms are Nigeria and South Africa. These two countries’ firms have more capital goods than most other African countries’ firms. Firms in South Africa produce a range of products including gold and petrochemicals. In recent years, a number of African firms have developed into multinational companies (MNCs), producing mainly in other African countries. (a) Define a capital good. [2] (b) Explain two challenges facing small firms. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a rise in income may affect the market for gold. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not MNCs increase production and productivity in their host countries. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define a capital good. 2 Human-made good (1) used in production/used to produce other goods and services (1). 3(b) Explain two challenges facing small firms. 4 Logical explanation which might include: Lack of finance/difficulty raising finance (1) banks may be more reluctant to lend to small firms (1). May not be able to take advantage of economies of scale (1) may have higher average cost (1). Not well known (1) difficult to attract consumers (1). May face fierce competition from large firms (1) which may lower their prices/spend more on advertising (1). Risk of failure (1) due to inexperience of owners (1). 3(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a rise in income 6 may affect the market for gold. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1, P2/Q1, Q2 or marking the equilibrium points E1 and E2 (1). Up to 2 marks for logical analysis: An increase in income will increase people’s ability to buy gold/raise purchasing power (1). Price will rise/quantity traded will rise (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not MNCs increase production and productivity in 8 their host countries. In assessing each answer, use the table below. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both 6–8 sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other but, overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic 3–5 information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions 1–2 and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable 0 content. Why they might: • may have high demand for their products • may create demand for raw materials from domestic firms • may bring new technology and working practices into the countries • may train workers • may pay higher wages which may motivate workers. Why it might not: • may drive some domestic firms of business • may deplete natural resources, reducing output in the future • may have long/unsociable working hours • may generate external costs including pollution which may reduce the health of workers. Limit to level 2 if only production or productivity is considered.

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2020

Q19 · There is a high level of division of labour in the United Kingdom (UK) energy industry 0455/23 May/June 2020

5 There is a high level of division of labour in the United Kingdom (UK) energy industry. Cold weather in early 2018 caused very high demand for energy and a change in its price. This led to a temporary shortage of energy for firms and households in the UK. Part of the change in price may have been the result of UK energy firms abusing their monopoly power. This would be an example of market failure. (a) Define market failure. [2] (b) Explain two influences, other than weather, that could affect the demand for a product. [4] (c) Analyse the possible effects of a shortage of a product such as energy on an economy. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not workers benefit from division of labour. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Define market failure. 2 Market failure is when the market mechanism / price mechanism / demand and supply (1) does not lead to an efficient allocation of resources (1). 5(b) Explain two influences, other than weather, that could affect the 4 demand for a product. Logical explanation which might include: Price of substitutes (1) If the price of substitutes increase, demand for the product will increase or vice versa (1). Price of complements (1) If the price of complements increase, demand for the product will decrease or vice versa (1). Expected future prices (1) if the price is expected to increase in the future, demand for the product will increase now or vice versa (1). Advertising (1) if there is a successful advertising campaign, demand will increase (1). Income (1) if income increases, demand will increase for a normal good or vice versa (1). Change in price (1) if price increases, demand will contract, vice versa (1). 5(c) Analyse the possible effects of a shortage of a product such as energy 6 on an economy. Coherent analysis which might include: Low supply (1) high prices (1) increase cost of production for firms (1). Cost- push inflation (1) firms might try to cut cost (1) by firing workers (1) increase unemployment (1). Increase price of goods and services (1) decrease affordability (1) decrease demand for goods and services (1) decrease standards of living (1). More imports to address shortage (1) less production (1) leading to lower growth rate (1). 5(d) Discuss whether or not workers benefit from division of labour. 8 In assessing each answer, use the table below. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both 6–8 sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other but, overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic 3–5 information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions 1–2 and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable 0 content. Why it is a benefit: • saves time • increased skills • increased productivity • increased wages Why it is not a benefit: • increased boredom • limited skills • lack of motivation • lack of occupational mobility • overdependence on others

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2020

Q20 · Calculate Turkey’s total output 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2020

1 (a) Calculate Turkey’s total output. [1] (b) Identify two factors that affect borrowing in an economy. [2] (c) Explain the relationship between the growth of Istanbul’s service sector and its growth in total output. [3] (d) Explain two reasons for Istanbul’s increased population. [4] (e) Analyse how good transport links have contributed to Istanbul’s economic growth. [4] (f) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effects on flights to Turkey of greater worries about safety for tourists. [4] (g) Discuss whether or not Istanbul benefits from investment by MNCs. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not competition is beneficial for airlines. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Turkey’s total output. $320 billion 1 1(b) Identify two factors that affect borrowing in an economy. • interest rates • confidence levels • wages / incomes 2 1(c) Explain the relationship between the growth of Istanbul’s service sector and its growth in total output. Logical explanation which might include: Higher growth in service sector leads to higher total economic growth (1). This is expected as countries become more developed, the share of services increases (1) and the share of primary sector decreases (1). For example, in 2011, the service industry grew most rapidly at 28.16% and the total economic growth was 21.9% (1). However, although growth of service sector was lowest in 2010 at 11.9%, total growth was 14.38% (1), higher than in 2014 where growth of service sector was higher (1). 3 1(d) Explain two reasons for Istanbul’s increased population. Logical explanation which might include: People moving from rural areas to the city centre (1) e.g. for higher wages / more employment opportunities / better housing / low cost of living / good transport links (1). Improved healthcare (1) longer life expectancy / lower infant mortality / higher quality of life (1). 4 One mark for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse how good transport links have contributed to Istanbul’s economic growth. Coherent analysis which might include: Good roads could lead to reduction in commute time (1) good roads / air transport leads to faster transport of goods and services (1). Workers can move easily / higher labour mobility (1) reduce unemployment (1). More competition in the labour market (1) more competition in the product market (1) could lead to fall in cost of production (1) increase in productivity (1). Easy to conduct business internationally due to good air transport links (1) access to huge international market (1) e.g. 1.5 billion people within a flight time of 4 hours (1) may have attracted MNCs (1). Contributed to the growth of the transport industry (1) allowing transport firms to take greater advantage of economies of scale (1). 4 1(f) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effects on flights to Turkey of greater worries about safety for tourists. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1) Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1) Demand curve shifts to the left (1) Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2, or by labelling equilibrium points as E1 and E2 (1). 4 O Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not Istanbul benefits from investment by MNCs. Up to 4 marks for why it may be beneficial: Increased investment leads to increased total demand (1) leads to economic growth (1). Increase demand for workers in Istanbul (1) decreasing unemployment rates (1) increasing incomes (1) and increasing standards of living (1). Bring new / better technology (1) increase productive capacity / productivity (1) Increase variety of products on sale (1) produce new products (1) Increase tax revenue (1) allowing local government to spend more on e.g. roads (1). Up to 4 marks for why it may not be beneficial: Replace domestically owned firms in Istanbul / decrease demand for domestic firms (1) MNCs may be more efficient than domestic firms (1) leading to failure of domestic firms / decrease demand for domestic firms (1) monopoly of MNCs (1). Profits leave the country (1) not reinvested domestically (1). MNCs may exploit workers (1) such as low wages (1) poor working conditions (1). MNCs may exploit environment (1) e.g. pollution (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not competition is beneficial for airlines. Up to 4 marks why it is beneficial: Competition will lead to airline being forced to be more efficient (1) productivity increase (1) use latest technology (1) reduce wasteful spending (1) quality increases (1) cost of production goes down (1) prices become more affordable (1) increase in quantity demanded (1) total revenue and profit increases (1). Up to 4 marks why it is not beneficial: Too much competition means less market share for each airline (1) less quantity demanded (1) airlines may have to advertise more (1) increase cost of production (1) total revenue and profit decreases (1) airlines who can’t compete may go bankrupt / leave the market (1). Too much competition may result in the airline being small (1) cannot take advantage of economies of scale (1). An airline may not benefit from becoming more competitive (1) because of brand loyalty (1) lower demand for air travel (1). 6

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2020

Q21 · The population of Hungary is the most obese in Europe 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2020

3 The population of Hungary is the most obese in Europe. Hungarians eat fewer vegetables than most Europeans and more food types that may be considered to be demerit goods. In 2017, the Hungarian government introduced a tax on unhealthy food, known as the chips tax. The tax has had some success in moving demand to healthier foods. Some economists suggest that governments should use price controls as well as taxes to influence the food market. (a) Define demerit good. [2] (b) Explain the difference between an extension in demand and an increase in demand. [4] (c) Analyse the effects on income distribution and tax revenue of an increase in indirect taxes. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a government should impose a maximum price on food. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define demerit good. A product which is more harmful to consumers than they realise / the government considers is more harmful (2). It is over-consumed / overproduced (1) it creates external costs (1). A product that is harmful (1). 3(b) Explain the difference between an extension in demand and an increase in demand. Logical explanation which might include: An extension in demand is caused by a change in the price of the product (1) rise in quantity demanded (1) it is shown by a movement along the demand curve (1). An increase in demand is caused by a change in an influence on demand other than a change in the price of the product / means more is demanded at each and every price (1) example of a cause of an increase in demand e.g. rise in incomes (1) it is shown by a shift in the demand curve (1). 4 Up to 2 marks for diagram(s) showing the difference. Maximum of 2 marks for extension in demand and a maximum of 2 marks for an increase in demand. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse the effects on income distribution and tax revenue of an increase in indirect taxes. Coherent analysis which might include: Income is likely to become less evenly distributed (1) indirect taxes are usually regressive (1) taking a larger percentage of income of the poor (1). Tax revenue likely to rise (1) will rise more on goods with inelastic demand (1) e.g. food (1) may fall if demand falls significantly (1). If any extra tax revenue is spent on lower income groups (1) e.g. welfare benefits (1) the effect on income distribution is less certain / income may be more evenly distributed (1). Tax evasion and avoidance is less common in the case of indirect taxes (1) though there may be informal markets (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not a government should impose a maximum price on food. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it should: • may influence price and quantity purchased • if set below the equilibrium level, will reduce price • some people will be able to purchase food at a lower price • may reduce poverty – food is a basic necessity • may stop monopoly food producers setting high prices. Why it should not: • if set above the equilibrium, it will have no effect • it set below the equilibrium, will result in shortages • some additional measure will have to be introduced to ration out food • some foods may be harmful to health and their consumption should be discouraged • may result in firms making losses and so reducing quality of food or employment of workers • free market forces may result in a more efficient allocation of resources. 8 Level Descriptors Mark 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development or may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Example of L2 answer: Government should impose a maximum price on foods. Price is likely to fall and this will aid those in poverty. They will be able to buy basic necessities easier and allow them to spend on other things. Governments should not impose a maximum price on food as it can cause businesses to make a loss and need government subsidisation. Principal Examiner comment: Reasonable on one side and limited on the other side. The effect on price, quantity demanded and quantity supplied may be shown on a diagram.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2020

Q22 · Calculate the external cost per kilometre of driving a car in Manila in 2017 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2020

1 (a) Calculate the external cost per kilometre of driving a car in Manila in 2017. [1] (b) Identify two macroeconomic aims of the Philippine government. [2] (c) Explain one reason why traffic congestion can reduce labour productivity. [2] (d) Explain how an increase in the mobility of Philippine workers would be likely to affect unemployment in the Philippines. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how a rise in the price of car parking could affect the market for cars in the Philippines. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between the countries’ consumer expenditure and imports. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the supply of enterprise is likely to increase in the Philippines. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not building more roads in Manila will benefit the Philippine economy. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the external cost per kilometre of driving a car in Manila in 2017. $0.54 (1). 1 $ not necessary for 1 mark. 1(b) Identify two macroeconomic aims of the Philippine government. Economic growth (1) full employment (1). 2 Also accept raised labour productivity and low unemployment. If more than two are given, consider the first two only. 1(c) Explain one reason why traffic congestion can reduce labour productivity. Logical explanation which might include: Reduce health of workers / workers arriving tired / stressed (1) this is likely to lead to more days of absence from work / reduce their output per hour (1). Late arrival to work (1) output per day declines / less working time (1). 2 1(d) Explain how an increase in the mobility of Philippine workers would be likely to affect unemployment in the Philippines. Logical explanation which might include: Greater geographical mobility (1) enables moving from areas of unemployment to areas where there are job vacancies / expanding industries such as computer, retail, and education (1) will affect frictional unemployment (1) take jobs overseas (1). Greater occupational mobility (1) through education/training enables moving into jobs requiring different skills/qualifications (1) will reduce structural unemployment (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how a rise in the price of car parking could affect the market for cars in the Philippines. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q. (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2, or by labelling equilibrium points as E1 and E2 (1). 4 Note: if diagram also shows shift in supply curve (e.g. will not get new equilibrium point) it can still get 3 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between the countries’ consumer expenditure and imports. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected relationship: Direct / positive relationship (1) generally countries with higher consumer expenditure import more goods and services (1). As income rises consumption rises for both domestic and imported goods and services (1). Evidence: E.g. Brazil spends the most and imports the most and Panama spends the least and imports the least (1) supportive data (1). Exception: Argentina/Philippines (1) supportive data (1). Analysis: Trade restrictions reduce growth in imports (1) imports include not only consumer goods, but also capital goods bought by firms (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not the supply of enterprise is likely to increase in the Philippines. Up to 4 marks for why it might: • economy is growing / rising incomes / higher consumer spending (1) so likely to earn higher profit (1) • well-educated population (1) ability to employ skilled labour (1) attracts MNCs (1) • greater skills (1) encourage workers to set up own businesses (1) • population is growing (1) so more potential entrepreneurs (1) larger markets (1) • deregulation (1) so there may be more market opportunities / less barriers to entry (1) • the reduction of traffic congestion (i) will increase productivity of workers (1) raising opportunity to make profits (1) Up to 4 marks for why it might not: • some entrepreneurs may emigrate (1) • high taxes (1) which may reduce the reward to entrepreneurs (1) • traffic congestion (1) can increase costs of production (1) MNCs may be discouraged from entering the country / reducing the supply of foreign entrepreneurs (1) • may not want to take the risk/stress of running own business (1) prefer to stay as employee (1) • growth rate is falling (1) less opportunities for investment / new businesses (1) 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease… 1 ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not building more roads in Manila will benefit the Philippine economy. Up to 4 marks for why it might: • reduce traffic congestion (1) lowering journey times / transport costs (1) helps tourism (1) • productivity may rise (1), reduce costs of production (1) encourages higher output / economic growth (1) • government expenditure on roads (1) leads to higher employment (1) and higher spending / total demand (1) • MNCs may be attracted into the country (1) reducing unemployment (1) • lower average costs (1) may increase international price competitiveness (1) increasing exports (1) improving the current account position (1) Up to 4 marks for why it might not: • shortage of land (1) opportunity cost in terms of how the land is used (1) • opportunity cost (1) could have been used for education / health (1) • government may have to raise taxes to fund the road building (1) and taxes are already high (1) • may increase the number of cars on the roads (1) may not reduce traffic congestion in the long run (1) • during the building process there will be disruption to drivers and production (1) • more roads lead to increase in negative externalities (1) example (1) lowering standard of living (1) • rapid growth in population (1) land more expensive to build roads (1) • additional expenditure if at full employment (1) could lead to demand-pull inflation (1) 6

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2020

Q23 · There is an area of rubbish, three times the size of France, floating in the Pacific… 0455/21 May/June 2021

2 There is an area of rubbish, three times the size of France, floating in the Pacific Ocean called the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. It is made up of rubbish including old fishing nets but most is plastic waste. It is forecast that, by 2050, there will be more plastic in the Pacific Ocean than fish. A number of islands in the Pacific Ocean specialise in fishing. Greater pollution will increase the social cost of the fishing industry. (a) Identify the two types of costs that make up social cost. [2] (b) Explain two causes of a shift to the right in the demand curve for fish. [4] (c) Analyse how cleaning up pollution could benefit an economy. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not countries specialising benefits consumers. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify the two types of costs that make up social cost. Private costs (1) External costs (1). 2 2(b) Explain two causes of a shift to the right in the demand curve for fish. Logical explanation which might include: • Rise in the price of a substitute for fish (1) people will switch away from buying e.g. chicken to buying fish (1). • Fall in the price of a complement for fish (1) people will buy more of the complement (1). • A rise in income (1) people will be able to afford to buy more fish (1). • A report stating eating fish is good for health / changes in tastes (1) people may buy more fish to try to increase their life expectancy (1). • Increase in population size (1) more people to buy fish (1). • A successful advertising campaign (1) may persuade more people to buy fish (1). 4 One mark each for each of two causes identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(c) Analyse how cleaning up pollution could benefit an economy. Coherent analysis which might include: • Will reduce external costs (1) improve health / less sickness (1) raise quality of life / standard of living (1). • Less (government) spending on healthcare (1) more can be spent on other priorities e.g., education (1). • Cleaning up pollution may create jobs / employment (1) reduce unemployment (1) may attract MNCs (1) increase in incomes (1) reduction in poverty (1). • Recycling of some of the material collected (1) could increase the country’s output (1) less use of non- renewable resources (1). • Better working conditions (1) productivity of labour could increase (1) reduce costs of production (1) increase output (1) reduce unemployment (1) reduce inflation (1). • Improve the environment (1) Increase tourism (1) increase exports of services (1) improve the current account position (1). • Reduction in ocean pollution (1) will improve fish stock (1) improve quality of fish (1) greater catches of fish (1) leading to rise in incomes / revenue / GDP (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether or not countries specialising benefits consumers. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • countries may specialise in what they are best at producing • output may rise • greater availability • costs of production may fall • prices may fall • quality may rise • better paid jobs increasing purchasing power of consumers Why it might not: • a country may gain a monopoly of production, raising price and lowering quality • choice may be reduced / greater reliance on imports • other countries’ producers may have lower health and safety standards • supply problems may affect a particular country, cutting off supplies • trade disputes may cut off supplies 8 Reward but do not expect reference to absolute and comparative advantage. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2021

Q24 · Global spending on the health sector, by both the private and public sectors, is the… 0455/23 May/June 2021

4 Global spending on the health sector, by both the private and public sectors, is the highest compared with all other sectors including education and defence. Investment in education and the health sector has resulted in new life-saving technology being introduced. However, demand for certain vaccinations has decreased over the years, shifting the demand curve of vaccinations to the left. (a) Define investment. [2] (b) Explain two causes of a shift of a product’s demand curve to the left. [4] (c) Analyse, using a production possibility curve diagram (PPC), the effect of increased investment in both education and the health sector. [6] (d) Discuss whether consumers would benefit more from healthcare being provided by the private sector or the public sector. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define investment. Investment is spending (1) on capital goods (1) to increase output (1). 2 4(b) Explain two causes of a shift of a product’s demand curve to the left. Logical explanation which might include: Decrease in price / rise in quality of substitutes (1) increased demand for substitutes (1). Increase in price of complements (1) decrease demand for complements (1). Decrease in income (1) decrease in purchasing power (1). Changing trends / tastes (1) decrease popularity (1). Changing seasons (1) changing demand (1). Decrease in population size (1) fewer people to buy the product (1). Rise in the rate of interest (1) less able to borrow to buy the product (1). 4 One mark for each cause identified and one mark for each explanation. No mark for stating demand falls because of a rise in price. No diagram is required. No marks for a diagram. Question Answer Mark Guidance 4(c) Analyse, using a production possibility curve diagram (PPC), the effect of increased investment in both education and the health sector. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly labelled with different goods or services (1). Initial curve drawn as a curve / line sloping downward to the axes (1). New curve drawn to the right as a curve / line sloping downward to the axes (1). Shift indicated by arrow or letters (1). Up to 2 marks for written comments: Increased investments in education and healthcare leads to better health/qualification / higher quality resources (1) better technology (1) increased productivity (1) better quality workforce/skills/qualification (1) may be more resources (1) increase productive capacity / the maximum quantity of products that can be produced within a certain time period / create economic growth (1). 6 Accept education on one axis and health on the other. Accept any other two relevant categories e.g. manufactured and agricultural goods. Accept a pivot out if education and health is on one axis and other goods on the other. Question Answer Mark Guidance 4(d) Discuss whether consumers would benefit more from healthcare being provided by the private sector or the public sector. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why private sector is better: • profit maximising objective will lead to higher efficiency. • lower costs. • more choice • private firms will try to compete • could lead to higher quality • private sector more likely to be able to raise funds • private sector investment will lead to less opportunity cost for public sector – leading to more spending on other industries e.g. education / government do not have to raise taxes to fund healthcare services Why public sector is better: • private sector investment leads to market failure such as merit goods • public sector cares more about the wellbeing of the people • could lead to higher quality provisions • public sector may produce on a larger scale and take advantage of economies of scale • public sector may not charge for services whereas private sector will or public sector may charge a lower price. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 Question Answer Mark Guidance 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2021

Q25 · Calculate the number of obese people in the UK in 2016 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2021

1 (a) Calculate the number of obese people in the UK in 2016. [1] (b) Identify two reasons why the demand for vegan food has increased in the UK. [2] (c) Explain one external benefit that may arise from eating less meat. [2] (d) Explain how food consumption in Senegal differed from the US in 2015. [4] (e) Analyse how an increase in labour mobility could improve the performance of a country’s trade in goods. [4] (f) Analyse how an increase in meat consumption could benefit African economies. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not an increase in Senegalese government spending will stop the country experiencing a recession. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not emigration would reduce poverty in Senegal. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the number of obese people in the UK in 2016. 18.2 million/18 200 000/18.2 × 106 1 Accept 18 million. 1(b) Identify two reasons why the demand for vegan food has increased in the UK. Two from: • (concerns about) health • (concerns about) obesity • (compassion for) animal welfare • rise in income/getting richer/higher standard of living • advertising of vegan products • less consumption of meat 2 One mark each for each of two reasons. 1(c) Explain one external benefit that may arise from eating less meat. Healthy/less obese people (1) are more productive/higher output/live longer/government can spend more on education and raise skills (1). Improved environment/air/water quality (1) less greenhouse gases/pollution/people sick (1). 2 One mark for the external benefit identified and one mark for the explanation. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Explain how food consumption in Senegal differed from the US in 2015. Senegalese citizens consumed fewer calories (1) consumed less than the recommended amount/US consumed more than the recommended amount (1). Senegalese may have suffered malnourishment (1) US may have suffered from obesity (1). Senegalese had a healthier diet (1) e.g. more fruit and vegetables (1). A higher proportion of the Senegalese diet consisted of cereals/grains (1) because it was cheap (1). Senegalese citizens consumed less meat (1) because it was expensive/low incomes (1). Senegalese citizens consumed less sugar and/or sweeteners (1). Senegalese consumed a higher proportion of fruit and/or vegetables (1). Senegalese consumed less added fats and/or oils (1). 4 Accept a response from the viewpoint of the US e.g. US citizens ate more meat. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse how an increase in labour mobility could improve the performance of a country’s trade in goods. Coherent analysis which might include: Labour markets will become more efficient (1) workers become more skilled (1) workers will move more easily between industries/become more occupationally mobile/respond quickly to changes in demand (1). Workers can move more easily from one place to another/become more geographically mobile (1). If demand for a product rises (1) it will be easier to recruit new workers/fill vacancies (1) more can be produced/supplied (1) less need for imports (1) import expenditure could fall (1) more can be exported (1) export revenue could rise (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse how an increase in meat consumption could benefit African economies. Coherent analysis which might include: May reduce malnutrition/make people healthier (1) make workers more productive/efficient (1) improve quantity/quality of output (1) lower costs of production (1) more competitive internationally (1) exports increase/imports reduce (1) economic growth (1). Increase demand for vets and transport firms (1) increase number of meat processing firms (1) greater investment by firms (1) will increase output (1) raise employment (1) raise incomes/standard of living (1). Reduces government spending on health care (1) can spend more on education/unemployment benefits/infrastructure increasing skill levels/productivity (1). 5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not an increase in Senegalese government spending will stop the country experiencing a recession. Award 1 mark for explanation of recession. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons for why it might, which might include: • Government spending part of total (aggregate) demand (1) may increase total (aggregate) demand (1) may offset fall in consumer expenditure (1) this may encourage firms to produce more/attract new firms to set up (1) employ more staff/lower (cyclical) unemployment (1) earn more income (1) purchase more goods and services (1). • Government spending on education/training/healthcare infrastructure (1) improves productivity (1) make products more internationally competitive (1) increasing total (aggregate) demand (1) raising output (1). • Government subsidies (1) will lower costs of production (1) encouraging firms to produce more (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons for why it might not, which might include: • May not be great enough to offset fall in investment (1) business confidence may be low (1). firms may not increase output after being given government subsidies (1) 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mar k Tax revenue may decrease 1 because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) • Consumer expenditure may fall (1) investment may not rise (1) exports may fall (1) • if consumer confidence is low (1). • May be global recession (1) exports may fall (1). • If taxes are raised to pay for the increase in government spending (1) government borrows (1) effect on total (aggregate) demand may be small (1). Higher spending on education/health/infrastructure may not result in increased workforce/greater productivity (1). Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not emigration would reduce poverty in Senegal. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons for why it might, which might include: • Workers’ remittances may increase/emigrants may send money home to Senegal (1) working abroad may enable them to provide more financial support for their families (1) than working at home (1) if wages are higher abroad (1) • Unemployment may fall (1) if potential emigrants could not gain work at home (1) • Increase ability of people to gain skills/work experience (1) increasing their ability to earn more (1) can share those skills with workers when they return to Senegal (1) • Emigration may move the country towards the optimum population (1) if the country lacks resources (1) this could increase income per head (1) increasing ability to purchase basic necessities (1) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons for why it might not, which might include: • Skilled workers may leave the country (1) reducing output (1) discouraging MNCs (1) reducing jobs (1) reducing income (1) • There will be fewer people to pay taxes (1) lower tax revenue available to spend to reduce poverty (1) e.g. on education (1) • May be more dependents on the government (1) if parents leave children and elderly relatives behind (1) • Fewer workers in the population (1) will make it harder to finance state pensions (1) may reduce income of pensioners (1) 6

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2021

Q26 · Singapore is a high-income country with a shortage of land and labour 0455/21 May/June 2022

5 Singapore is a high-income country with a shortage of land and labour. Singapore is often given as an example of a market economy. The Singaporean government does, however, intervene in the economy. For example, it encourages its population to eat two servings of fruit and two servings of vegetables per day. (a) Identify the reward to labour and the reward to land. [2] (b) Explain how an increase in a worker’s income can affect their mobility of labour. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a greater awareness of the health benefits of eating fruit will affect the market for fruit. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a market economic system benefits an economy. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Identify the reward to labour and the reward to land. Wages (1) rent (1). 2 Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(b) Explain how an increase in a worker’s income can affect their mobility of labour. Logical explanation which might include: An increase in income will enable a worker to spend more on their education (1) increasing occupational mobility (1). Higher income will make housing more affordable (1) increasing geographical mobility (1). Higher income will make high-tech products more affordable (1) enabling a worker to be better informed (1) increasing both occupational and geographical mobility (1). Higher incomes may discourage a worker from changing jobs / may be content with current job (1) may be satisfied with income level (1) reducing geographical and occupational mobility (1). Higher incomes make it easier to afford car / use public transport (1) increases geographical mobility (1). 4 No marks for causes of higher income. Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a greater awareness of the health benefits of eating fruit will affect the market for fruit. Coherent analysis which might include: Up to 4 marks for D & S diagram: Axes correctly labelled–price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums–shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points E1 and E2 (1). Up to 2 marks for written analysis which might include: Greater awareness of health benefits will encourage more people to eat / demand fruit (1) Raise price / raise quantity traded (1). 6 Note Note: Axes do not have to be labelled price of fruit and quantity of fruit to get mark. No marks for stating price changes from P1 to P2 or quantity changes from Q1 to Q2. To get first mark in written analysis they must refer to fruit. Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Discuss whether or not a market economic system benefits an economy. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  profit incentive and competition may increase efficiency  wage differentials may encourage effort  price may be low and quality high  country’s products may be internationally competitive  economic growth may be high  consumer choice may be high  consumer sovereignty may be high Why it might not:  risk of market failure  public goods will not be provided  demerit goods are overconsumed and merit goods and under-consumed  problem of pollution and other external costs  unemployment may be high as lack of co-ordination  some countries may lack the support structures e.g., legal system to enforce property rights to allow market forces to work efficiently.  monopolies can be created 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and / or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 68 Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Level Description Marks 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 35 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 12 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2022

Q27 · In 2019, France produced inside its production possibility curve (PPC) 0455/22 May/June 2022

3 In 2019, France produced inside its production possibility curve (PPC). France exports a wide range of its products. It is the world’s top exporter of luxury perfume and the 7th largest exporter of soap. Changes in technology affect the products people produce and buy. The French government plans to upgrade its infrastructure for all households to have internet access. (a) Define a production possibility curve. [2] (b) Explain why demand for soap is more price-inelastic than demand for a luxury brand of perfume. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in income will affect the market for a luxury brand of perfume. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not the public sector should be responsible for the supply of all internet services. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define a production possibility curve. A diagram showing maximum output / possible combinations (1) of two types of products / of capital and consumer goods (1) with given resources / given technology / in a given time period (1) shows opportunity cost (1). 2 Nothing for a diagram, 3(b) Explain why demand for soap is more price-inelastic than demand for a luxury brand of perfume. Logical explanation which might include: Soap is more essential / necessary than a luxury brand of perfume (2) OR soap is a necessity (1) luxury brand of perfume does not have to be purchased / not essential / a want (1). Soap has fewer substitutes than a luxury brand of perfume (2) OR soap does not have close substitutes (1) whereas a luxury brand of perfume may have close substitutes (1). Soap is likely to take up a smaller proportion of income than a luxury brand of soap (2) OR soap is likely to take only a small proportion of income (1) whereas a luxury brand of perfume is likely to take up a large proportion (1). It is harder to delay the purchase of soap than the purchase of a luxury brand of perfume OR the purchase of soap cannot be delayed (1) while the purchase of a luxury brand of perfume can be (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in income will affect the market for a luxury brand of perfume. Coherent analysis which might include: Up to 4 marks for the diagram: D and S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines or equilibrium points (1). Up to 2 marks for written analysis which might include: Luxury perfume will be more affordable / greater purchasing power / luxury perfume will take a smaller proportion of income / more will be demanded at the same price (1) price will rise / quantity traded will increase (1). 6 Written analysis An increase in income will cause an increase in demand for luxury perfume is not sufficient for a mark. Reward but do not expect reference to a luxury brand of perfume being a normal good. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not the public sector should be responsible for the supply of all internet services. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  government may charge a low price  enable poor to gain access to the internet, help children with education  government may base decisions on social costs and benefits  government can control what is on the internet  may be more able to take advantage of economies of scale  avoidance of wasteful duplication  government may take a longer-term view on investing. Why it might not:  opportunity cost – could have spent the money on e.g. healthcare  private sector may invest more  private sector may be more efficient / have lower costs of production  profit incentive may encourage private sector to raise quality  private sector may make decisions quicker. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 68 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 35 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 12 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/22 May/June 2022

Q28 · Calculate Europe’s percentage contribution to the global total eSports revenue in 2019 0455/23 May/June 2022

1 (a) Calculate Europe’s percentage contribution to the global total eSports revenue in 2019. [1] (b) Identify two conditions of demand for eSports. [2] (c) Explain how a change in social attitudes would lead to greater participation by women in the labour force. [2] (d) Explain two differences between private sector investment and public sector investment. [4] (e) Analyse how the development of eSports in Malta can help the government achieve its macroeconomic aims. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and the proportion of females in the labour force. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not specialisation at a national level is harmful to an economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not government investment in education and training will help the Maltese economy. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Europe’s percentage contribution to the global total eSports revenue in 2019. 30% 1(b) Identify two conditions of demand for eSports.  Increasing incomes  Decrease in the price of technology needed to participate in this sport 2 1(c) Explain how a change in social attitudes would lead to greater participation by women in the labour force. Logical explanation which might include: Acceptance that women are equal to men / that it is acceptable for women to work (1) and that their role is not only as a home maker (1) childcare is not just female role (1). It is more acceptable for women to be educated / there is more encouragement for women to study (1) which increases their job opportunities (1). Women feel more comfortable / accepted at work (1) more jobs will be open to women (1.) Wages paid to women may rise (1) eSports are no longer seen as a male-only sport (1). 2 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Explain two differences between private sector investment and public sector investment. Private sector investments are investments made by firms (1) while the public sector investments are investments made by the government (1). Private sector investments are made to maximise profits (1) while public sector investments are made to maximise welfare of society (e.g. provide employment) (1). Private sector investments made based on private costs and benefits (1) while public sector investments are made based on social costs and benefits (1). Profits from private sector investment go to shareholders (1) profits from public sector investment go to public spending e.g. health care (1) The aim of private sector investment is to be more competitive / gain market share (1) the aim of public sector investment is to improve macroeconomic performance (1). Private sector investment may be financed by retained profits/entrepreneurs (1) public sector investment may be financed by tax revenue (1). 4 For the 2nd mark for public sector investment, accept any of the macroeconomic objectives as the reason why public sector investment is made. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse how the development of eSports in Malta can help the government achieve its macroeconomic aims. Coherent analysis which might include: Economic growth is indicated (1) as eSports is part of the service sector that contributes 90% of Malta's GDP (1) development of eSports in Malta can increase Malta’s GDP (1) Unemployment may be reduced / employment increased (1) because it will be able to attract investments (1) creating more jobs (1) from building infrastructure (1) and more professional e-sports players (1) Current account may also be improved by more inflow of money (1) from increased expenditure on exports (1) of services / tourism (1). Tax revenues may increase (1) enabling the government to increase spending on e.g. education (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and the proportion of females in the labour force. Coherent analysis which might include: Overview: Generally, GDP per head is higher when the proportion of females in the labour force is higher / positive relationship between GDP per head and proportion of females in the labour force (1). Supporting Evidence: (up to 2 marks) Yemen has the lowest female labour force participation rate and also the lowest GDP per head (1) Luxembourg has the highest female labour force participation rate and the highest GDP per head (1) Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Bangladesh have the 3 lowest figures for both female participation rate and GDP per head (1) Luxembourg, France and Malta have the 3 highest figures for both female participation rate and GDP per head (1) Exception: However, exception is Saudi Arabia / Bangladesh (1) Saudi Arabia has a lower female labour force participation rate but higher GDP per head than Bangladesh (1). Comments: This is because higher female labour force participation rate means there are higher quantities of labour which is a factor of production / more labour is available to contribute to the growth of the economy (1) increased availability of education for women will positively affect GDP (1) 5 Give BOD if answer states GDP alone and not GDP per head. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not specialisation at a national level is harmful to an economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might be harmful, which might include: Specialisation could lead to overdependence on a specific industry / danger of over-specialisation (1) if this industry fails (1) e.g. if there is a fall in demand / revenue from eSports, the whole Maltese economy could be adversely affected (1). Specialisation makes it difficult for the workers to retrain to other industries (1) danger of structural (1) unemployment (1). Specialisation might lead to diseconomies of scale (1) where long run average costs increase as output increases (1). Resources may become exhausted (1) making industry unsustainable (1) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not be harmful, which might include: Specialisation leads to increase in efficiency (1) increased competitiveness (1) as the economy focuses on what they do best (1), they will be able to produce more (1) and at a better quality (1) lower cost (1). Specialisation enables workers to become highly trained / skilled (1) and increase their productivity (1) leading to higher incomes (1) and demand for their labour (1). Specialisation could help the economy achieve economies of scale (1) where long-run average cost falls as output increases (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease… 1 ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Reward but do not expect reference to comparative/absolute advantage. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Specialisation enables countries to trade more with other countries (1) increased export earnings can enable countries to afford more imports as well (1) leading to increased choices (1) higher standards of living (1). As output increases and trade increases, governments receive more tax revenue (1) Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not government investment in education and training will help the Maltese economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it could, which might include: Government investment in education and training will enable more students to gain access to e.g. higher education / create a more educated labour force (1) which will enable them to increase their skills (1) productivity / efficiency (1) and enable them to get jobs in the future (1) reducing unemployment (1) increase incomes (1) which would increase consumption / total demand (1) and output / GDP (1) Organising work placements for Maltese students will enable students to gain work experience (1) further increasing their skills (1) and help firms develop (1) with new ideas / extra help (1) at low cost (1) increasing output (1) and economic growth (1). Tax from incomes of those employed (1) will improve public finances (1) Bringing in professionals from other countries to train Maltese students could introduce more expertise (1) helping to transfer new skills (1). May contribute to the growth of the tertiary sector (1) increase development (1). A more educated labour force may attract MNCs (1) more efficient production (1). Award up to 4 marks for why it could not, which might include: Investment in education and training is expensive (1) using public finances (1) 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) opportunity cost for the government (1) less spending on government projects such as Healthcare (1) could decrease overall productivity of the economy (1) less economic growth (1). Education and training might not be successful (1) work placements might not teach students the right skills needed in the future / scholarship schemes misused or not given out fairly / foreign professionals might not be able to transfer knowledge effectively (1). Education and training can take a very long before it impacts the economy (1) scholarship schemes usually at least 3 years for a degree level course (1). In the short run, it could reduce the size of the labour force (1) reduce output / lower productive potential (1). There may be emigration of skilled workers (1) other countries gaining the benefits (1).

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2022

Q29 · Calculate the total value of the tertiary sector in Mauritius in 2019 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2022

1 (a) Calculate the total value of the tertiary sector in Mauritius in 2019. [1] (b) Explain the meaning of a change from an economy based on the primary sector to one based on the tertiary sector. [2] (c) Identify two indicators of improving healthcare in Mauritius. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why millions of tourists visit Mauritius each year. [4] (e) Explain two advantages of setting up a firm in Mauritius. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of international trade to GDP and GDP per head. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not outward investment might benefit a Mauritian firm. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not government infrastructure spending benefits the Mauritian economy. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the total value of the tertiary sector in Mauritius in 2019. 1 $ sign not essential. $10.79 billion 1(b) Explain the meaning of a change from an economy based on the 2 Accept any examples of primary sector primary sector to one based on the tertiary sector. industry for 1 mark and any examples of tertiary sector-based industry for 1 mark. When an economy moves from mainly primary industries e.g. agriculture / fishing (1) to mainly tertiary industries e.g. tourism. (1) 1(c) Identify two indicators of improving healthcare in Mauritius. 2 Life expectancy increased (1) and infant mortality rate fallen. (1) 1(d) Explain two reasons why millions of tourists visit Mauritius each year. 4 Coherent analysis which might include: Mauritius has tourist attractions (1) such as its beautiful beaches (1). Easy to travel to Mauritius (1) as the government does not require visa / just need passport (1). Good infrastructure (1) such as good airports / ports and public transport around the island (1). 1(e) Explain two advantages of setting up a firm in Mauritius. 4 Fast growth (1) higher incomes which leads to higher consumption of good and services (1). Political stability (1) which reduces risk / increases confidence (1). Low levels of regulations to start and run a business (1) lower cost of start up / easier to register for a business (1). Better infrastructure (1) more efficient / lower cost of production (1). 1(f) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of international trade 5 to GDP and GDP per head. Coherent analysis which might include: Overview Generally, as percentage of international trade to GDP increases, GDP per head is increasing as well / positive relationship between percentage of international trade to GDP and GDP per head (1). Supporting Evidence Kenya has the lowest percentage of international trade to GDP and lowest GDP per head (1) while Luxembourg has the highest percentage of international trade to GDP and highest GDP per head (1). Exception Mauritius (1) where percentage of international trade to GDP is higher than Qatar but GDP per head is lower (1). Comments This is because trade brings gains from specialisation / enables exploitation of economies of scale (1) increases earnings from exports / total demand / economic growth (1) 1(g) Discuss whether or not outward investment might benefit a Mauritian 6 Apply this example to all questions with firm. the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might be beneficial, which might include: Each point may be credited only once, on • Enables firms to enter new markets (1) increase export (1) increase either side of an argument, but separate revenues (1) achieve economies of scale (1) e.g. of economies of scale development as to how/why the outcome (1) increase output (1) increase profits (1). may differ is rewarded. • Import products at a lower cost (1) lower cost of production (1). • Increase access to foreign technology (1) better quality / higher Generic example mark productivity (1) decrease average cost (1). Tax revenue may decreases 1 Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not be beneficial, which might include: because of reason e.g. incomes 1 • Capital aboard might not be reinvested back (1) to help the firm in the may be lower. home country (1) lower firm’s potential productivity (1) decrease profits (1). Tax revenue may increase 0 • Changes in international economy may affect potential earnings (1) because incomes may be higher recession in another country will affect export earnings (1) may create i.e. reverse of a previous recession domestically as well (1) decrease output (1). argument. • Other countries might impose restrictions on Mauritian investment (1) or Mauritian government could impose restrictions on outward investment Tax revenue may increase 1 (1) cost might be higher (1). because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1(h) Discuss whether or not government infrastructure spending benefits 6 the Mauritian economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might be beneficial, which might include: • Increase efficiency / productivity (1) decrease cost of production for firms (1) increase profits (1) increase investment (1) increase output (1). • Decrease factor immobility (1) decrease market failure (1) easier for workers to move from one place to another in the economy (1) decrease structural unemployment (1). • Increase government spending (1) increase total demand (1) increase output (1) economic growth (1). • Increase job opportunities (1) decrease unemployment (1). Award up to 4 marks how why it might not be beneficial, which might include: • Increase total demand (1) could lead to increase demand-pull (1) inflation (1). • Cost of providing infrastructure is very high (1) opportunity cost of the government (1) cannot spend on other projects such as education and healthcare (1) which may be more beneficial than infrastructure spending (1). • Infrastructure such as big new international airports not really needed (1) domestic demand too low (1) white elephant projects (1). • Benefits foreign firms more than the local community (1).

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2022

Q30 · Poland is the world’s top exporter of toothpaste, a product that is in inelastic demand 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2022

4 Poland is the world’s top exporter of toothpaste, a product that is in inelastic demand. In 2019, some Polish firms producing toothpaste considered a horizontal merger. Also in 2019, the wages of dentists increased globally. This increase was particularly high in the UK where dentists received, on average, a 25% wage rise. (a) Identify two determinants of price elasticity of demand. [2] (b) Explain two advantages to a firm of a horizontal merger. [4] (c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how the market for toothpaste would be affected by an increase in population. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not an increase in the wages of dentists will increase the number of dentists employed. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Identify two determinants of price elasticity of demand. 2 Availability of substitutes (1) Availability of complements (1) Proportion of income (1) Whether the product is a luxury or a necessity / essential (1) Whether it is addictive (1) Whether the purchase can be postponed (1) Impact of advertising / brand loyalty (1). 4(b) Explain two advantages to a firm of a horizontal merger. 4 One mark for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each explanation. Logical explanation which might include: To gain market power or share / monopoly power / become larger (1) by eliminating a competitor / controlling more of the market (1) can increase prices as fewer competitors (1). To reduce average costs of production (1) by being able to take greater advantage of economies of scale (1) example of economy of scale (1) more competitive internationally (1) may decrease prices / profits (1). To keep up with competitors (1) to avoid being driven out of the market (1). 4(c) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how the 6 Diagram does not need to refer to toothpaste but if not; the market for toothpaste would be affected by an increase analysis must refer to increase in demand toothpaste. in population. Coherent analysis which might include Up to 4 marks for the D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points E1 and E2 (1). Up to 2 marks for written analysis which might include: An increase in population will mean there are more people to buy / demand toothpaste (1). Price will rise / quantity traded will increase (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not an increase in the wages of 8 Level Description Marks dentists will increase the number of dentists employed. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of Why it might: economic information and clear and • increase in demand may cause supply to extend logical analysis to evaluate economic • may encourage more people to train to be dentists issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than • higher pay may increase the standard of living of the other, but overall both sided of the dentists argument are considered and • may persuade current dentists not to leave the developed. There is thoughtful occupation / delay retirement. evaluation of economic concepts, • may cause increased inward migration of qualified terminology, information and/or data dentists appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why it might not: possible uncertainties of alternative • decrease in supply may cause demand to contract long decisions and outcomes. period of training may discourage people • people may lack qualifications / skills 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • people may not find the job enjoyable use of economic information and clear • people may think the job will be too physically analysis to evaluate economic issues demanding e.g. backache and situations. The answer may lack • wages may rise more in other occupations some depth and development may be • may increase costs for dental firms employing dentists / one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, consumers reducing demand for dentists information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2022

Q31 · Calculate the value of US imports from China in 2020 0455/22 Feb/March 2023

1 (a) Calculate the value of US imports from China in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two causes of the increase in the quantity of US factors of production. [2] (c) Explain one way that import tariffs could improve the US economy. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why the US inflation rate fell in 2020. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of an increase in the price of a complement on the market for ice cream. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between government spending and unemployment. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not a central bank should aim for a low inflation rate. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not economic growth benefits everyone in the US. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the value of US imports from China in 1 Accept the correct figure without the $ sign. 2020. 560 000 000 000. 5.6  10^11 $560bn (1). 1(b) Identify two causes of the increase in the quantity 2 If more than two causes given, consider the first three. of US factors of production. Accept increase in labour for increase in the labour force. Land reclamation (1) increase in the labour force (1). 1(c) Explain one way that import tariffs could improve 2 One mark for a way identified and one mark for an explanation. the US economy. If more than one way identified, consider the first two. Could improve the current account / trade in goods / To gain two marks, one mark must come from improving the trade in goods and services / balance of payments (1) current account, increase output or raise tax revenue. by reducing imports / making domestic goods more competitive with imports / raising the price of imports Could raise more revenue is not sufficient – need more tax (1) revenue or more government revenue / income. Could increase output / cause economic growth (1) by increasing demand for US goods / raise employment (1). Could raise tax revenue (1) allowing the government to spend more on (e.g. education) / improve the (government budget position) (1). 1(d) Explain two reasons why the US inflation rate fell 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one mark in 2020. each for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: If more than two reasons given, consider the first three. Fall in consumer expenditure (1) lower total demand / reduce demand-pull inflation (1). Reduction in bargaining power may also be linked to lower total Reduction in workers’ bargaining power (1) fall in demand. wage rises / wages / fall in rise in costs / fall in costs / reduce cost-push inflation (1). Higher unemployment (1) reduces confidence / lower total demand / fall in consumer spending (1). Fall in (real) GDP (1) lower incomes / purchasing power / lower total demand (1). Current account deficit (1) lower total demand / reduce demand-pull inflation (1). 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the 4 effect of an increase in the price of a complement on the market for ice cream. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 1(f) Analyse the relationship between government 5 Alternatively, some candidates may argue that changes in spending and unemployment. unemployment, could lead to changes in government spending. Credit both responses. Coherent analysis which might include: Overview: Inverse relationship / negative relationship (1) generally, the higher government spending, the lower the unemployment rate (1). Supporting evidence: E.g. 2015 to 2019, government spending increased and unemployment fell / 2015 to 2017 government spending increased and unemployment fell (1) processing / interpreting of data e.g. between 2015 to 2019, government spending rose by $700bn and unemployment fell by 1.6% (points) (1). Analysis of the expected relationship: • higher government spending will increase total demand (encouraging firms to expand and employ more workers) (1) • higher government spending may be on e.g. education, training, infrastructure, subsidies which could increase workers’ chances of gaining jobs (1) • higher employment will provide more tax revenue for the government to spend / lower employment will reduce tax revenue for the government to spend (1). Exception: 2020 (1) both government spending and unemployment rose / government spending and unemployment both at their highest (1). 1(f) Analysis of the exception: • government spending on unemployment benefits may have increased / rise in government spending not enough to stop GDP / consumer expenditure falling / GDP fell / there may be a time delay before higher government spending reduces unemployment (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not a central bank should aim 6 May approach the answer from the point of view of the for a low inflation rate. disadvantages of high inflation. 2nd side should examine either the possible negative effects of Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should, what the central bank may do to reduce the inflation rate or the which may include: possible loss of any beneficial effects of high inflation. • can increase international price competitiveness (1) improve the current account balance / No marks for possible effects on the exchange rate. increase exports (1) increase employment / reduce unemployment (1) Apply this example to all questions with the • can create certainty (1) which may increase command word DISCUSS confidence (1) which may encourage investment / (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) attract MNCs (1) which may increase output / result in economic growth (1) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an • can prevent a random redistribution of income (1) argument, but separate development as to how / why the outcome e.g. protect savers (1) may differ is rewarded. • may protect purchasing power (1) by promoting price stability (1) Generic example Mark • maintain / increase living standards (1) if wages rise by more than the price level (1) Tax revenue may decrease… 1 • can avoid fiscal drag (1) prevent people being put in higher tax brackets (1) ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 • can reduce menu / shoe leather costs (1) reduce firms’ costs of production (1). Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be 0 higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not, which may include: Tax revenue may increase because of a different 1 • increases in the rate of interest (1) contractionary reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may monetary policy (1) can reduce consumer stimulate the economy more than spending on expenditure / can reduce investment (1) can education. reduce total demand (1) 1(g) • lower total demand can increase unemployment (1) cyclical unemployment (1) reduce economic growth (1) • low inflation can turn into deflation (1) leading to a recession (1) • makes it harder to pay off debt (1) increasing the risk of firms going out of business / households getting into difficulties (1) • central bank may aim for economic growth / low unemployment (1) higher demand-pull inflation may provide more encouragement to firms to expand (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not economic growth benefits 6 everyone in the US. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: • economic growth increases output / GDP (1) increases income per head / higher incomes / higher wages (1) enables more purchasing power / people to enjoy more goods and services (1) • economic growth can increase employment (1) raise living standards (1) may reduce poverty (1) • economic growth can increase tax revenue (1) enabling the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1) • economic growth may introduce better working conditions (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • there may be an increase in unemployment due to lack of skills / some industries declining / greater use of capital / capital-intensive production (1) structural unemployment may occur (1) • income is unevenly distributed (1) those on low incomes e.g. the sick may not benefit (1) • higher output may result in external costs (1) e.g. pollution (1) people living near factories may suffer (1) • higher output may be the result of more resources being devoted to capital goods (1) may take time for consumers to benefit from more consumer goods (1) 1(h) • higher output may reduce natural resources (1) reducing future generations’ ability to benefit from them / reduce sustainability (1) • higher output may be the result of workers working longer hours (1) in poor working conditions (1) • may cause inflation (1) adversely affecting the poor / savers (1).

This question in 0455/22 Feb/March 2023

Q32 · Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021 0455/21 May/June 2023

1 (a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. [1] (b) Identify two substitutes for coal. [2] (c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal-mining firm. [2] (d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. [4] (f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. 4% Allow 4 without percentage 1(b) Identify two substitutes for coal. Two from:  gas  offshore wind / wind power  solar power / panels 2 1(c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal- mining firm. Managerial / labour economy (1) employing specialist workers e.g. mining engineers (1). Technical economy (1) employing efficient / technologically advanced equipment e.g. drones (1). External economy of scale (1) example e.g. skilled labour force (1). 2 One mark for the economy of scale identified and one mark for an explanation. 1(d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. Storage time (1) expensive to store so inelastic supply (1). Construction of new mine / production time (1) takes a long time, so inelastic supply (1). Stocks (1) may make supply elastic (1). 4 One mark each for each of two influences identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Price line set below the equilibrium (1). Demand shown as greater than supply (1) e.g. has the two dotted lines downwards (it does not have to be labelled Qs and Qd). 4 Note: Accept unlabelled price line / line drawn only to demand curve. Accept shortage if correctly identified on the diagram. Do not accept demand greater than supply if demand and supply curves are incorrectly drawn Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected outcome: Large coal producing countries may have a surplus to sell / may have grown their production in order to sell abroad (1) most of the evidence supports this relationship (1) Supporting evidence: Five of the seven countries consume less coal than they produce (1) calculation e.g. US could have exported 11 million tonnes / Australia could have exported 394 million tonnes or simply the difference (1). Analysis: Countries that produce more coal than they consume may benefit from economies of scale / can export because their prices are low (1). Exceptions: China or India are an exception (1) as they consumed more coal than they produced (1). Analysis: they may have been net importers (1) since had used up stocks of coal / need more energy as a developing country (1) may not be able to export coal if world demand for coal is low / countries may both import and export coal (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal outcome, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  may increase GDP / economic growth (1) increasing living standards / raise incomes / reduce poverty (1)  may reduce unemployment (1) structural unemployment (1)  may improve current account position / have a surplus (1) as Australia seems to be a net exporter of coal (1)  may increase tax revenue (1) increasing government’s ability to spend (1)  economies of scale (1) result in lower prices for households and industries (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may increase pollution (1) lowering living standards / cause health issues (1) reduce tourism / negative impact on current account (1)  other forms of power may not be developed (1) example (1)  some workers may leave other jobs (1) these jobs may have better working conditions (1)  coal mining is a relatively dangerous industry (1) so life expectancy may be reduced / creates chronic illnesses / workers unable to work (1).  Global demand for coal may fall (1) impact upon Australia e.g. unsold stock (1).  May rapidly deplete stocks (1) leading to lower exports (1) and less employment (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 … because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  unemployment is forecast to increase (1) so there may be more government spending on unemployment benefits (1) less income tax revenue (1)  there may be more government spending on retraining unemployed workers (1)  some of the rise in population may result in more government spending (1) e.g. on pensions / healthcare / education (up to 2 marks)  budget deficit in previous years (1) would mean interest would have to be paid on the debt that has built up (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  population and the labour force are forecast to increase (1) so there may be more taxpayers / fewer claiming benefits (1)  tax revenue may rise (1) due to higher profits / higher tax rates (1)  GDP is forecast to increase (1) more people in work (1) which would be likely to increase direct and indirect tax revenue (1)  state support for industries may fall (1) may have been high in 2021 due to Covid-19 (1). 6

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2023

Q33 · Living standards, including education, have improved for most people in South Africa in… 0455/21 May/June 2023

2 Living standards, including education, have improved for most people in South Africa in recent years. Most households have more money and the government has more tax revenue. There is, however, considerable income inequality. In 2020, 36% of the population were living in poverty. An increase in unemployment benefit payments might reduce this poverty. (a) Identify two functions of money. [2] (b) Explain how improved education may affect the demand for cigarettes and for fresh fruit. [4] (c) Analyse the causes of an increase in a government’s tax revenue. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not an increase in unemployment benefit payments would reduce poverty. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify two functions of money. Two from:  Medium of exchange  Unit of account / measure of value  Store of value  Standard of deferred payments 2 Note: a description of the function, without the term, gets a mark e.g. money can be used to buy and sell products, may be used to trade. Nothing for characteristics of money. If more than two functions are given, consider the first three. 2(b) Explain how improved education may affect the demand for cigarettes and for fresh fruit. Logical explanation which might include: It may reduce demand for cigarettes (1) people may be better informed about harmful effects / cigarettes are a demerit good (1). It may increase demand for fresh fruit (1) people may be better informed about beneficial effects / fresh fruit is a merit good / may gain better paid jobs and so able to afford fresh food (1). 4 Only accept demand for cigarettes may increase if linked to higher income (resulting from improved education). One mark for each of two reasons identified and one for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(c) Analyse the causes of an increase in a government’s tax revenue. Coherent analysis which might include: Tax revenue is government income / part of government fiscal policy (1) which can be spent on government objectives e.g. education (1) Increase in employment (1) increase in income (1) More convenient (1) easier to pay (1) and collect the tax (1) higher income tax revenue (1) Increase in spending (1) higher indirect tax revenue (1) Increase in profits (1) higher corporation tax (1) Increase in population (1) more people to pay taxes (1) Change in tax rates (1) higher tax rates can increase revenue without a change in income / spending / profits (1) lower tax rates may reduce tax avoidance / evasion (1) increase incentives (1) Greater efficiency in tax collection (1) reduction in corruption / simpler forms (1) Wider tax base (1) more products / more people taxed (1) Increase in imports (1) higher revenue from tariffs (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether or not an increase in unemployment benefit payments would reduce poverty. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  raise incomes of those on low incomes  may enable them to buy more basic necessities  may reduce absolute poverty  may increase total demand  higher total demand may reduce unemployment  Also enable them to seek education / become more employable Why it might not:  may be a disincentive to find employment  people may become dependent on benefits  will not help all those on low incomes e.g. the retired and the sick  may not reduce relative poverty  some of the unemployed may not claim benefits  opportunity cost – government could spend on e.g. education which might be more effective.  Size of unemployment benefit may be small and may be less than inflation 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and / or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2023

Q34 · Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020 0455/22 May/June 2023

1 (a) Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two causes of the decrease in the output of sugar in 2020. [2] (c) Explain how economic growth is measured. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why labour mobility may increase in Guyana in the future. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a decrease in the price of rail transport on the market for car transport. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and internet access. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the discovery of oil is likely to increase living standards in Guyana. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Guyana would benefit from an increase in the size of its population. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020. 276 500 (1). 1 1(b) Identify two causes of the decrease in the output of sugar in 2020. Bad weather (1) falling (global) demand (1). 2 If more than two causes given, consider the first three. 1(c) Explain how economic growth is measured. Real (1) GDP / national / country’s output / income / expenditure (1). 2 If more than two ways given, consider the first three. Not accepting GDP per head for GDP. 1(d) Explain two reasons why labour mobility may increase in Guyana in the future. Logical explanation which might include: Increased government spending on education / improved education (1) improved skills / productivity / occupational mobility (1). Improved / cheaper rail travel / increased spending on infrastructure / improved infrastructure (1) easier to work further away / increased ability to work in other areas / increased geographical mobility (1). Increased government spending on the internet (1) people learn new skills / gain information about job opportunities / increase occupational mobility (1). May be net immigration (1) migrants may be skilled / may be more willing to move to different areas of the country (1). 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. If more than two reasons given, consider the first three. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a decrease in the price of rail transport on the market for car transport. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and internet access. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected relationship: Direct / positive (1) the higher the GDP per head, the higher the internet access (1) Supporting evidence: Up to two marks E.g. Iceland with the highest GDP per head had the highest % of the population with internet access Eritrea with the lowest GDP per head had the least internet access France with the second highest GDP per head has the second highest % of population with internet access Analysis of expected relationship: Higher GDP per head increases household’s ability to pay for internet access / higher internet access may increase productivity/efficiency / increase job opportunities (1) higher GDP per head increases tax revenue, some of which can be spent on the provision of internet access / higher productivity/efficiency could increase wages (1). Exception: Guyana / Morocco (1) Guyana had a higher GDP per head but low internet access (1). Analysis of exception: Internet access is determined by other influences e.g. education levels (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. In terms of supporting evidence: no marks for just description of the figures e.g. Brazil had a GDP per head of $8717and 72% of the population with internet access / Eritrea had a GDP per head of $643 and 2% of population with internet access. France had a GDP of $40 494 and 83% of the population with internet access etc. In terms of supporting evidence one mark maximum for an indirect comparison e.g. Iceland had a GDP per head of $66 945 and 99% population with internet access whereas in Zambia with a GDP per head of $1,305, only 29% of the population had access to the internet. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not the discovery of oil is likely to increase living standards in Guyana. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  increase exports (1) increase economic growth / higher national output (1) and raise incomes / increase GDP per head (1) increase purchasing power / able to buy more goods and services / able to buy basic necessities (1) could reduce poverty (1)  create jobs / reduce unemployment / increase employment (1) discourage emigration / encourage immigration (1).  raise tax revenue (1) allowing the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1) MNCs may spend on e.g. improving infrastructure / training (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may create pollution (1) create external costs / damage the environment (1) which will harm people’s health / reduce life expectancy (1)  may be poor working conditions in the industry (1) affecting health of workers (1)  the foreign MNC may send much of the profit back to its country (1) it may drive domestic oil firms out of business (1) may deplete the country’s oil reserves (1)  the foreign MNC may employ workers from its own country (1)  global demand for oil may fall /may be overdependence on oil / other countries may impose trade restrictions on oil. (1) 6 3rd bullet point: increase in government spending should be linked to a form of spending that could increase living standards. Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not Guyana would benefit from an increase in the size of its population. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  population is below the optimum level / move to the optimum level (1), could make better use of resources (1)  if rise due to immigration (1) may bring in new ideas / new production methods / new skills / new technology (1)  an increase in the size of the labour force (1) if the number of people of working age increases (1) rise in tax revenue (1) allowing the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1)  consumer expenditure may increase (1) total (aggregate) demand may increase (1)  output could increase / cause economic growth / increase productive potential (1)  dependency ratio could fall (1) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  larger population could result in pollution / congestion / overcrowding (1) damage the environment / increase external costs (1)  if rise due to fall in death rate or rise in the birth rate / increase in young / old population (1), the dependency ratio will increase (1) some of the extra population may be unemployed (1) 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h)  pressure may be put on e.g. housing / welfare payments (1) increasing need for government expenditure (1)  there may be inflation (1)  population may increase to the extent that there is overpopulation (1) resources may be depleted (more quickly) (1). 6

This question in 0455/22 May/June 2023

Q35 · Calculate New Zealand’s GDP per head in 2020 0455/23 May/June 2023

1 (a) Calculate New Zealand’s GDP per head in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two external costs arising from the milk and car industries. [2] (c) Explain the impact on a cow farmer’s profits if they are unable to find a different source of revenue. [2] (d) Explain the two plans that the New Zealand government has to reduce external costs to the environment. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a cheaper substitute on the market for petrol‑powered cars. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between a country’s share of world GDP (%) and its share of world carbon dioxide emissions (%). [5] (g) Discuss whether or not an increase in exports of clean and green products will help the New Zealand government achieve its macroeconomic aims. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not job losses caused by a change to a carbon‑neutral economy will be harmful. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate New Zealand’s GDP per head in 2020. $39 000 (1) 1 Accept the correct figure without the $ sign. 1(b) Identify two external costs arising from the milk and car industries. Air pollution (1). Damages the environment (where wild animals live) (1). 2 If more than two costs given, consider the first three. 1(c) Explain the impact on a cow farmer’s profits if they are unable to find a different source of revenue. Profit is revenue minus costs (1) Profits will fall (1) due to reduction in quantity sold / decrease in supply (1). Less revenue (1) less income for farmers (1) farmers may become unemployed (1). 2 1(d) Explain the two plans that the New Zealand government has to reduce external costs to the environment. Logical explanation which might include: End imports of petrol-powered cars by 2032 (1) decreasing the number of petrol−powered cars in New Zealand / reduce use of fossil fuels / by imposing an embargo/increasing the price of petrol-power cars / increasing usage of greener / electric cars (1). Limit the number of cows that each farmer can have (1) decreasing the amount of air pollution emitted by cows / less habitat damaged by cows / government fines to those who have more cows than permitted/ imposing regulations (1). 4 One mark each for each of two plans identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Accept milk production for keeping cows. Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram, to show the effect of a cheaper substitute on the market for petrol- powered cars. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or P and Q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 4 Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between a country’s share of world GDP (%) and its share of world carbon dioxide emissions (%). Coherent analysis which might include: Expected relationship: Positive relationship (1) – the lower / higher total GDP as a % of world GDP, the lower / higher the carbon dioxide emission as a % of world GDP (1). Supporting evidence: up to 2 marks for relevant evidence e.g.  New Zealand has the lowest total GDP as a % of world GDP and lowest level of carbon dioxide emission as a % of world carbon dioxide emissions  Thailand has the second lowest total GDP as a % of world GDP and second lowest level of carbon emissions as % of world carbon dioxide emissions China and USA have the two highest total GDP as a % of world GDP and highest level of carbon emissions as a % of world carbon dioxide emissions. Analysis of expected relationship: As countries produce more goods and services which increases their GDP (1), their carbon emissions also increase as more factories / energy / transport needed for production (1). Exception: China/United States (1) China has 2nd highest GDP as a % of world GDP after the US but China has the highest carbon dioxide emission as a % of world GDP (1). Analysis of exception: e.g. China has a larger secondary sector / higher percentage of heavy industries / larger population (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not an increase in exports of clean and green products will help the New Zealand government achieve its macroeconomic aims. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  Increase economic growth / GDP (1) as increased exports lead to increased total demand (1) clean and green products may have higher demand (1) and higher prices (1)  Reduce its current account of the balance of payment deficit (1) as value of exports will increase (1) increasing net exports (1) more inflow into the current account / increase in trade in goods inflow (1)  Decrease unemployment (1) as more goods produced (1) requires more workers (1) reduce poverty (1)  Improved HDI (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  Not all firms benefit (1) as some firms which are less clean / green will lose revenues / profits (1) cut costs (1) hire less workers (1) increase unemployment (1)  Increased total demand (1) will lead to inflation (1) firms increase the price of their products since demand is higher (1) lower purchasing power of consumers / lower real income (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not job losses caused by a change to a carbon−neutral economy will be harmful. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why there might be negative economic consequences, which may include:  increased poverty (1) as fewer jobs means less income (1) can’t afford basic necessities (1) such as shelter / clothes / food (1) possibility of increased crime (1)  huge losses in the other firms that serve these communities (1) less spending in local shops (1) less revenue / profit (1) may have to shut down (1)  lost output (1) economy not producing at its full capacity (1) unused resources (1) actual output lower than maximum output (1) inefficient allocation of resources due to the existence of labour who wants to work but can’t find work (1)  lost skills / lost motivation (1) occupational immobility /can't find new jobs (1) cost of retraining workers (1)  double effect on government finances (1) unemployed don’t pay taxes (1) but get benefits (1) reduce government revenue (1)  may decrease government expenditure on other areas (1)  Unequal burden (1) structural unemployment (1) increases inequality (1) youth and older individuals more likely to be unemployed (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why negative economic consequences above may not occur:  temporary (1) frictional unemployment (1) as other jobs in carbon−neutral economy are available (1) 6 Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(h)  an economy with a high mobility of factors of production could avoid such problems (1) workers can move to other industries (1) develop skills for jobs in the carbon−neutral economy (1) if education / training is provided (1).  new jobs may be higher paid (1) boosting total demand (1)  better air quality leads to better health (1) improving productivity (1)  government spends less on health care (1) allowing more to be spent elsewhere e.g. on education and training (1).

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2023

Q36 · The number of Chinese restaurants in the UK fell by approximately 7% in 2020 compared to… 0455/23 May/June 2023

3 The number of Chinese restaurants in the UK fell by approximately 7% in 2020 compared to the year before. Reasons for this include falling demand for Chinese food and increasing competition from other types of food. Some small firms selling Chinese food are also unwilling to invest in the latest technology because of the possible opportunity costs. (a) Identify two challenges facing small firms. [2] (b) Explain two possible opportunity costs for firms if they invest in the latest technology. [4] (c) Analyse two causes of a fall in demand for a product such as Chinese food. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not competition is harmful to a firm. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify two challenges facing small firms. Two from: Raising finance (1) May not be able to employ specialist staff (1) Less well known (1) Managing cash flow (1) Survival / may have high level of competition (1) Not able to take advantage of economies of scale / high average cost (1) Accept any reasonable challenges facing small firms. Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(b) Explain two possible opportunity costs for firms if they invest in the latest technology. Logical explanation which might include: They may not be able to pay as much in wages (1) forgoing having extra workers to help in their business / more skilled workers (1) They may not be able to get good quality raw materials (1) sacrificing the quality of their product (1) They may not be able to operate in a good location (1) more difficult for customers to reach the firm (1) They may not be able to buy land (1) for expansion (1) They may not be able to spend on advertising / marketing / spending on the brand (1) forgoing the opportunity to increase demand (1) Retained profits (1) could have been distributed to the owners (1) 4 One mark each for each of two opportunity costs identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. If more than two opportunity costs given, consider the first three. Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(c) Analyse two causes of a fall in demand for a product such as Chinese food. Coherent analysis which might include: Decrease in price of substitutes / better quality substitutes (1) increasing demand for substitutes (1) such as Indian food or other kinds of food (1) there may be an increase in the advertising of substitutes / better known rivals may enter the market (1). Increase in the price of complements (1) e.g. delivery charges (1) Decrease in income (1) decreasing demand for Chinese food as people eat out less (1) as eating out is seen as luxury goods (1). Change in tastes / trends moving away from Chinese food (1) increasing demand for other types of food (1) Decrease in quality of Chinese food (1) lack of investments (1) may be a health report about the advantages of eating another type of food (1). Lack of advertising (1) due to little investments in marketing (1) less popular / less awareness of product (1). 6 If more than two causes given, consider the first three. Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not competition is harmful to a firm. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might be:  reduction in market share  less revenues / less profits  less growth  less reinvested profits – less innovation  may need to lower prices / spend more in order to compete  may be difficult to enter or stay in an industry if there are large firms with low average costs Why it might not be:  less complacency  more innovation  increase quality of goods and services produced  domestic competition leads to international competitiveness 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6−8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one−sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3−5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1−2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2023

Q37 · Calculate what percentage of Honduran people did not have access to electricity in 2020 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2023

1 (a) Calculate what percentage of Honduran people did not have access to electricity in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two benefits the Honduran economy could gain from a growth in the US economy. [2] (c) Explain one advantage of an economy specialising. [2] (d) Explain two ways a government could redistribute income. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how a report stating that bananas are good for health would affect the market for bananas. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of population living in poverty and life expectancy. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the cost of producing clothes in Honduras will fall in the future. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not a fall in unemployment in Honduras is likely to cause inflation. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate what percentage of Honduran people did not 1 Accept 8.0 or 8.3. have access to electricity in 2020. 8.3%. 1(b) Identify two benefits the Honduran economy could gain 2 If more than two benefits are given, consider the first three. from a growth in the US economy. Accept increase trade for more exports. Sell more exports to the US (1). Receive more money from Honduran workers in the US (1). Accept increase employment / lower unemployment for More job opportunities for Honduran workers in the US (1). more job opportunities. 1(c) Explain one advantage of an economy specialising. 2 One mark for an advantage identified and one mark an explanation. Gain skills (1) raise productivity / raise efficiency / ‘practice Identification mark must come directly from the source makes perfect’ / lower costs of production / raise quality / material. increase output / supply / less waste (1). A relevant explanation mark can be given even in the Gain a good reputation (1) increase demand (1). absence of an identification. 1(d) Explain two ways a government could redistribute 4 One mark each for each of two ways identified and one income. mark each for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: If more than two reasons given, consider the first three. Provision of unemployment benefit / state benefit / welfare benefit / benefits (1) raise income of those on low or no One mark for taxing the rich and giving to the poor. income / enable the unemployed to buy basic necessities / reduce absolute poverty (1). Progressive income tax system (1) takes a higher proportion of the income of the rich / use some of tax revenue raised to increase spending to help those on low incomes (1). 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how a 4 report stating that bananas are good for health would affect the market for bananas. Coherent analysis which might include: Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). If a candidate draws two diagrams, they may be able to get 3 marks: 1 mark for axes 1 mark for D & S labelled correctly 1 mark for the demand curve shifted to the right. They would not get the mark for the equilibriums as the two diagrams are likely to conflict on this. 1(f) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but population living in poverty and life expectancy. they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, Coherent analysis which might include: and analyse the overall data. Expected relationship: Inverse / negative (1) the higher the level of poverty, the lower the life expectancy / the lower the level of poverty, the higher the life expectancy (1). Supporting evidence: Sweden has the lowest % of population living in poverty and the highest life expectancy / The country / two countries / three countries / four countries with the lowest levels of poverty head had the longest life expectancy (1) the two countries, Chad and South Sudan, with the highest level of poverty had the lowest life expectancy (1). Analysis of expected relationship: A high level of poverty is likely to mean poor healthcare (1) low nutrition / poor housing / poor sanitation / low levels of education (1). Exception: Chad / South Sudan (1) Chad had a lower level of poverty but also a lower level of life expectancy than South Sudan (1) Analysis of exception: Life expectancy is determined by other influences e.g. wars (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not the cost of producing clothes in 6 Allow higher productivity / efficiency once either in Honduras will fall in the future. connection with labour or capital. Some points may be given in reverse e.g. price of raw Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which materials may fall. may include: Not accepting subsidising the clothes industry as the source • more training (1) better working conditions (1) may material indicates that it is a successful industry. increase labour productivity / efficiency / skills (1) reduce labour costs (1) Apply this example to all questions with the command • more use of capital goods (1) may reduce disruption to word DISCUSS production / make fewer mistakes / less waste (1) speed (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) up production / increase productivity / efficiency (1) • improved working conditions (1) may reduce industrial Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an action (1) more motivation (1) argument, but separate development as to how/why the • successful clothes industry so firms may grow in size (1) outcome may differ is rewarded. more able to take advantage of economies of scale (1). Generic example Mark Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: Tax revenue may decrease… 1 • price of raw materials may rise (1) may be subject to bad weather (1) exchange rate may fall / tariffs may be ...because of reason e.g. incomes 1 imposed on imported raw materials (1) reduce supply may be lower. (1) country has experience of inflation (1) • unemployment may fall (1) making it more difficult for Tax revenue may increase 0 the clothes industry to recruit labour (1) strengthening because incomes may be higher the bargaining power of workers (1) raising wages / i.e. reverse of a previous increasing labour costs (1) argument. • providing training (1) and better working conditions will involve a cost (1) Tax revenue may increase 1 • more use of capital goods may involve initial high because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous spending on equipment (1) firms may experience argument e.g. government diseconomies of scale (1) • higher indirect tax / tax may be imposed (on clothes / spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than clothes firms) (1). spending on education. 1(h) Discuss whether or not a fall in unemployment in 6 Honduras is likely to cause inflation. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: • unemployment is already low (1) may move towards full employment (1) may push up wages (1) increase (average) costs (1) cause cost-push inflation / total supply less than total demand (1) • lower unemployment may increase incomes (1) causing a rise in consumer spending / purchasing power (1) increasing total demand (1) causing demand-pull inflation / total demand higher than total supply (1). • inflation already exists (1) which may lead workers to expect it to continue (1) increasing wage claims (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • may be higher investment (1) could increase total supply / total supply may rise in line with total demand (1) reducing cost-push inflation (1) • lower unemployment could reduce spending on unemployment benefit (1) increase tax revenue (1) reduce the budget deficit (1) reduce the growth in total demand (1) some of higher tax revenue could be spent on supply-side policy / unemployment may have fallen due to supply-side policy (1) • the extra income may be saved / spent on imports (1) due to uncertainty about the future (1) • A fall in unemployment does not necessarily mean a rise in employment (1) the unemployed could have e.g. retired / emigrated (1).

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2023

Q38 · Calculate the average wage paid in Denmark in 2020 0455/22 Feb/March 2024

1 (a) Calculate the average wage paid in Denmark in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two possible opportunity costs of a Danish person using their leisure time to cycle. [2] (c) Explain one way that living standards are measured in Denmark. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why the supply of ships is price-inelastic. [4] (e) Analyse the relationship between government spending and GDP in Denmark. [4] (f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in the birth rate would affect the market for toys. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not a surplus on the current account of its balance of payments would benefit the Danish economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not more people working from home will benefit an economy. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the average wage paid in Denmark. 1 Accept 84 000. $84 000 (1). 1(b) Identify two opportunity costs of a Danish person using 2 their leisure time to cycle. Playing golf (1) jogging (1). 1(c) Explain one way that living standards are measured in 2 One mark for a way identified and one mark for an Denmark. explanation. Identification Do not accept GDP. HDI / average wages / income / GDP per head leisure hours (1). Explanation HDI includes GDP per head / income / education / health/life expectancy / average wages / income / GDP per head influences the goods and services which can be purchased / leisure hours may affect physical / mental health (1). 1(d) Explain two reasons why the supply of ships is price- 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one inelastic. mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Ignore comments on PED. They take a long time to produce (1) so supply cannot be adjusted quickly (1). They are expensive to store (1) take up a large space / likely to be few or no spare ships to sell / low inventories / difficult to keep for future sales / if prices fall will have to sell ships as nowhere to store them (1). 1(e) Analyse the relationship between government spending 4 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but and GDP in Denmark. they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, Coherent analysis which might include: and analyse the overall data. Expected relationship: Higher government spending would be expected to be associated with a higher GDP / move in the same direction / Government spending will always be lower than GDP (1) positive relationship / direct relationship (1). Supporting evidence up to 2 marks: 2015 – 2018 government spending and GDP rose / (1) 2019 – 2021 government spending and GDP rose (1). Government spending and GDP rose over the period / government spending and GDP was lowest at the start of the period / 2015 and was highest at the end of the period 2021 (1). Analysis of expected relationship up to 2 marks: Higher government spending will increase total (aggregate) demand which will add to GDP (1) may be higher government spending on education/training/healthcare/subsidies which can raise productivity and output (1) higher GDP may increase tax revenue which can be used to increase government spending (1). Exception: 2018 – 2019 / 2018 / 2019 (1) government spending rose but GDP fell (1). Analysis of exception: A government may spend more when GDP falls in a bid to stimulate an increase in GDP (1). 1(f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an 5 increase in the birth rate would affect the market for toys. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram up to 4 marks: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). Written analysis up to 1 mark: An increase in the birth rate would increase the number of children who parents may buy toys for / more consumers / higher demand (1) the higher demand will raise price / increase quantity (traded) (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not a surplus on the current 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command account of its balance of payments would benefit the word DISCUSS Danish economy. (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an may include: argument, but separate development as to how/why the • exports exceed imports / credit items have a higher outcome may differ is rewarded. value than debit items (1) and so adds to total (aggregate) demand (1) which may increase GDP (1) Generic example Mark • it can increase employment (1) which may increase incomes (1) Tax revenue may decrease… 1 • may attract foreign investment (1) as may be taken to be a sign of a strong economy (1) ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 • may raise the exchange rate (1) which can enable exports to exchange for more imports (1). Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, argument. which may include: • it means more products are produced than consumed / Tax revenue may increase because of a 1 reduces availability of products / reduces consumer different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous choice (1) reduce potential living standards (1) may argument e.g. government spending on contribute to resource depletion (1) subsidies may stimulate the economy more than • it may add to inflationary pressure (1) especially if the spending on education. economy is close to full employment (1). • demand for the currency will exceed the supply of the currency (1) this may raise the exchange rate (1) make exports less internationally competitive (1) which can reduce the surplus / cause a deficit in the long run (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not more people working from home 6 Note 1 mark for recognising productivity may change. So, if will benefit an economy. a candidate writes productivity may increase and may decrease, award 1 mark. Two further marks could be gained Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which if a candidate explains why productivity may increase and may include: why it may decrease. • may raise productivity / efficiency / quality of output (1) as workers may be less tired / less stressed / saves Note: 1 mark for productivity increase or decrease and 1 transport costs as a result of not having to travel to work mark for GDP increase or decrease. (1) may work longer hours (1) increase GDP (1) • may increase the quantity of labour (1) more people e.g. those with dependents may be able to work / more flexible hours (1) as save time travelling (1) • workers may be happier (1) and so may stay with firms longer (1) which would reduce the cost of recruiting workers (1) • pollution may be reduced (1) traffic congestion may be reduced (1) less need for transport infrastructure (1) reduce external costs (1) improve health (1) • firms’ costs may fall (1) as less need for office space (1) • may reduce conflict between workers (1) may reduce chances of industrial action (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • transport firms may experience a fall in demand / revenue / less people travelling (1) which may create unemployment of e.g. bus drivers (1) • restaurants/cafes may have to close down in city centres (1) which may create unemployment of e.g. waiters (1) reduce tax revenue (1) 1(h) • may reduce productivity / efficiency/ quality of output (1) reduce GDP (1) as workers may be distracted by e.g. small children / become lazy / may work fewer hours / may have poor internet connection (1) may not be supervised (1) may not co-ordinate with other workers / communication problems (1).

This question in 0455/22 Feb/March 2024

Q39 · In 2020, the price of gold fell in Vietnam 0455/21 May/June 2024

5 In 2020, the price of gold fell in Vietnam. That year, Vietnam was one of Asia’s best performing economies. Unlike some Asian economies, Vietnam did not experience a recession. Its total output, exports and imports all increased. Unemployment did increase from 2.0% to 2.3% but remained very low. One of the aims of fiscal policy can be to achieve full employment. (a) Identify how the effect of a fall in the price of gold would be shown on a demand curve for gold. [2] (b) Explain two disadvantages of a recession. [4] (c) Analyse why a country may demand more imports. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not fiscal policy can achieve full employment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Identify how the effect of a fall in the price of gold would be shown on a demand curve for gold. A movement down the demand curve (1) from left to right / extension (1). A movement along the demand curve (1). down the demand curve. Allow one mark for the idea that demand will rise. 5(b) Explain two disadvantages of a recession. Logical explanation which might include: Lower output / lower GDP (1) lower living standards / higher poverty / less income / less consumer spending (1). Higher unemployment / lower employment (1) higher cost of unemployment benefit (1). Lower investment (1) due to reduction in confidence (1). Firms shutdown (1) due to lower profits (1). Lower tax revenue (1) may cause budget deficit / reduce ability to spend e.g. on education / increase in national debt (1). 4 One mark each for each of two disadvantages identified and one mark for each of two explanations. Question Answer Mark Guidance 5(c) Analyse why a country may demand more imports. Coherent analysis which might include: Price of imports may fall (1) due to a fall in costs of production (1) a rise in the exchange rate (1). Quality of imports may rise (1) foreign workers may be less skilled (1) investment in foreign countries may have decreased (1). Incomes may have increased (1) raising the purchasing power of buyers (1) increasing the country’s’ need for consumer goods (1) which the country cannot produce (1) due to specialisation (1). Trade restrictions may be removed or reduced (1) e.g. lower tariffs / quotas / subsidies / embargoes will make it easier to import (1). Country needs more raw materials / lacks the technology to produce certain goods (1) to enable growth of domestic industries (1). Failure of harvest /natural disaster e.g. rice (1) means need to import the good instead (1). 6 Do not expect, but reward reference to absolute or comparative advantage. A maximum of three marks for only identifying the reasons. Question Answer Mark Guidance 5(d) Discuss whether or not fiscal policy can achieve full employment. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  higher government spending and/or lower taxation may increase total (aggregate) demand which could reduce cyclical unemployment  government spending on education and training could raise workers’ skills could increase their mobility and may reduce frictional unemployment  government spending on the provision of labour market information may reduce frictional unemployment  government spending on subsidies may lead to firms increasing job opportunities. Why it might not:  government spending may not be raised enough / a cut in taxation may not be sufficient  consumer spending and investment may fall if there is a lack of confidence  net exports may fall if there is a global recession  there may still be some labour immobility due to e.g. differences in house prices in different parts of the country so structural unemployment  increased government spending on benefits may be an encouragement not to work and stay unemployed. 8 See Guidance table at the end of the mark scheme. Do not reward a simple reversal of policies in why it might achieve full employment in the why it might not part of the response. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 68 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 35 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 12 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/21 May/June 2024

Q40 · Free goods and economic goods are consumed in Poland 0455/22 May/June 2024

5 Free goods and economic goods are consumed in Poland. In 2020, demand for both economic goods and factors of production increased in Poland. For example, Polish consumers demanded more football shirts and the Polish government increased its spending on housing for the country’s population. (a) Identify two free goods. [2] (b) Explain two influences on demand for factors of production. [4] (c) Analyse the effect of an increase in demand for football shirts on demand for football shorts and demand for basketball shirts. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not an increase in government spending on housing would benefit an economy. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Identify two free goods. Two from e.g.:  air / oxygen  sunlight  water  wind 2 BOD on ‘sun’, trees (not wood), wild flowers, wild fruit. Not accepting fish or stone. 5(b) Explain two influences on demand for factors of production. Logical explanation which might include: Demand for the product produced / total demand / economic activity (1) rise in demand for the product/products will be likely to increase demand for the factor/factors of production / derived demand (1). Price of the factor itself (1) lower price will be likely to result in higher demand (1). Price of substitute factors of production (1) e.g. may demand more labour if price of capital rises (1). Price of complementary factors of production (1) e.g. if labour is used with capital, a fall in the price of capital may increase demand for labour (1). Productivity (1) higher productivity will be likely to increase demand (1). Quality / advances in technology / changes in standards of education and training (1) higher quality will increase demand (1). Occupational mobility (1) the more occupationally mobile, the higher demand will tend to be (1). Method of production (1) switch from labour-intensive production will increase demand for capital goods (1). 4 One mark each for each of two influences identified and one mark for each of two explanations. If more than 2 influences are given, consider the first 3. Accept price and / or demand on its own but looking for price of a complement or price of a substitute not just complement or substitute. Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(c) Analyse the effect of an increase in demand for football shirts on demand for football shorts and demand for basketball shirts. Coherent analysis which might include: Demand for football shorts is likely to increase (1) football shirts and shorts are complements (1) bought to be used together / bought to complete the set (1). Demand for basketball shirts is likely to fall (1) basketball shirts and football shirts may be substitutes (1) consumers may switch between them (1). 6 Changes in demand may be shown in the written answer or on diagrams. Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Discuss whether or not an increase in government spending on housing would benefit an economy. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  may increase total demand  may increase output / GDP  may increase employment / reduce unemployment  may lower the price of housing  may increase living standards  may reduce homelessness  may reduce poverty. Why it might not:  will have an opportunity cost  may increase taxes  quality of housing may be low  private sector may provide better housing  may be external costs during the construction. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sided of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Level Description Marks 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/22 May/June 2024

Q41 · Since 2020, the revenue gained in the video gaming industry has been higher than the… 0455/23 May/June 2024

3 Since 2020, the revenue gained in the video gaming industry has been higher than the revenue in the film industry. The fastest growing part of the video gaming industry is mobile gaming, which is a substitute for console gaming. Young people are spending many hours playing video games and some governments are concerned that this may have negative effects on their health and educational progress. Therefore, regulations have been introduced to reduce the time young people spend playing these games. (a) Identify two pairs of products, not in the gaming industry, which are substitutes. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why a firm’s revenue may increase. [4] (c) Analyse two economic consequences of having a large proportion of the population aged under 16. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not it would benefit the economy if a government imposed regulations on video game use by young people. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify two pairs of products, not in the gaming industry, which are substitutes.  tea and coffee (1)  Netflix and Disney streaming services (1)  iPhones and Android Phones (1)  glasses and contact lenses (1) 2 Accept any relevant pairs of products: 1 mark for each pair. 3(b) Explain two reasons why a firm’s revenue may increase. Logical explanation which might include:  higher demand (1) due to e.g. increase in income / successful advertising / change in taste / fashion (1)  change in price of the product (1) if demand is inelastic (1) a rise in price will cause a rise in revenue (1) / if demand is elastic (1) a fall in price will cause a rise in revenue (1)  increased market power / market share / monopoly (1)  price of substitutes increased / fewer substitutes available (1) demand shifted to this product (1)  price of complements decreased (1) raising demand for the complement (1)  higher incomes of consumers (1) increasing affordability to buy the product (1)  firm selling higher quality product (1) more consumers want to buy the product (1)  government subsidy received (1) extra source of revenue (1). 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each of two explanations. Do not award for decreased costs or increased profits. Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(c) Analyse two economic consequences of having a large proportion of the population aged under 16. Coherent analysis which might include:  requirement for substantial spending on education (1) opportunity cost for other spending (1) e.g. healthcare / infrastructure / any examples of other spending (1) high demand for teachers (1)  high dependency ratio (1) few income earners and many dependents (1) reduced tax revenues (1) lower living standards (1) income has to be shared between many people (1)  low levels of economic activity (1) young population not in the labour force / not working (1) lack of experienced workers (1) less productivity (1) smaller GDP / lower economic growth (1)  greater demand for items consumed by children e.g. toys (1) smaller demand for items consumed by adults e.g. cars (1)  future economic growth potential high (1) when young reach adulthood they enter the labour force (1) increasing the supply of labour (1) lowering labour costs (1) encouraging investments (1). 6 Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not it would benefit the economy if a government imposed regulations on video game use by young people. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  government can ban a product or limit the quantity allowed to be bought, decreasing demand for the product  government can impose age limits on certain products  government can ensure the product produced doesn’t create too many external costs e.g. violent crime  improve educational achievement, skills of worker, higher output  improve health, reduce healthcare costs  reduce consumption of a demerit good i.e. violent video games. Why it might not:  policing might not be effective  unofficial / illegal markets could be formed, government spending required to police them  opportunity cost, spending on e.g. healthcare instead of policing  could increase unemployment in the video gaming industry  could reduce GDP / economic growth if the industry is significant  could reduce tax revenue if games are subject to tax  video games can be creative, giving participants skills  could reduce exports and worsen the current account balance. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 Question Answer Mark Guidance 3(d) Level Description Marks 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2024

Q42 · The World Trade Organization (WTO) estimates that India has the largest levels of trade… 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2024

4 The World Trade Organization (WTO) estimates that India has the largest levels of trade protection of any major economy. The highest tariffs are imposed on products from the primary sector. For example, in 2018 India imposed a tariff of approximately 90% on imports of coffee to protect its coffee farmers. However, the markets for coffee substitutes and complements do not have such levels of government intervention. (a) Identify two methods of trade protection apart from a tariff. [2] (b) Explain how the price of coffee substitutes and complements can affect the demand for coffee. [4] (c) Analyse possible reasons why a government may want to intervene in a market. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not high tariffs can reduce unemployment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Identify two methods of trade protection apart from a 2 Accept any relevant methods. tariff. Two from non-tariff barriers: • import quotas • subsidies • embargoes / bans • licences • product standards / regulations 4(b) Explain how the price of coffee substitutes and 4 Maximum of 3 marks if only substitutes or complements are complements can affect the demand for coffee. explained. Logical explanation which might include: Relationship between price and demand of substitutes is positive (1) when price of coffee substitutes increases, demand for coffee increases, or vice versa (1) because as price of coffee substitutes increases, coffee is relatively cheaper (1) demand for the substitute will decrease, and the demand for coffee will increase (1) e.g. coffee and tea (1). Relationship between price and demand of complements is negative (1) when price of coffee complements increases, demand for coffee falls or vice versa (1) because as price for coffee complements increases, the demand for the complement will fall, and therefore the demand for coffee will decrease (1) e.g. coffee and sugar (1). 4(c) Analyse the possible reasons why a government may 6 Maximum of three marks for identification of reasons want to intervene in a market. Coherent analysis which might include: Government may want to intervene in a market due to market failure / when the market mechanism leads to inefficient allocation of resources (1) Reasons for intervention: • to provide public goods (1) not provided by the market (1) due to non-rivalry / non-excludability (1) creating the free rider problem / no profit-incentive for private producers (1) • to provide merit goods (1) under-consumed and under- produced by the market (1) external benefits which are ignored by the market (1) e.g. vaccinations (1) • to reduce provision of demerit goods (1) over-consumed and over-produced by the market (1) external costs are ignored by the market (1) e.g. pollution (1) • to reduce monopoly power (1) that creates high prices (1) while reducing consumer choices (1) and reducing quality (1) • to reduce factor immobility (1) factors of production unable to move around to its best possible use (1) e.g. labour immobility where workers cannot move around (1) and therefore are unemployed (1) • to protect consumers of essential items (1) by setting a maximum price (1) keeping the price below the market price (1) • to protect low paid workers (1) by setting a minimum wage (1) keeping the wage above the market wage (1) • to give subsidies / impose tariffs (1) e.g. protect infant industries (1) so that they can grow in the long- term / protect employment (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not high tariffs can reduce 8 Level Description Marks unemployment. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making Why it might: use of economic information and • high tariffs lead to increase price of imports reducing the clear and logical analysis to demand for imports evaluate economic issues and • high tariffs make consumers choose domestic products situations. One side of the instead which increases demand for domestic workers argument may have more depth • high tariffs provide government with extra revenue than the other, but overall both which could be used to subsidise domestic sides of the argument are firms / domestic employment considered and developed. There • high tariffs can be a major source of tax revenue. Some is thoughtful evaluation of of this could be spent on e.g. education and training economic concepts, terminology, which will increase workers’ skills and mobility, and so information and / or data reduce unemployment. appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why it might not: possible uncertainties of • high tariffs lead to retaliation which leads to decrease in alternative decisions and demand for exports and therefore decrease demand for outcomes. domestic workers • high tariffs still not enough to offset lower cost of imports • domestic production may not be able to increase due to full employment / lack of natural resources • higher prices of imported raw materials could increase costs of production, so reducing profits and lowering output • domestic prices may rise as domestic firms become complacent as they are protected. 4(d) 2 A reasoned discussion which 3–5 makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded 0 for no creditable content.

This question in 0455/21 Oct/Nov 2024

Q43 · Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force employed in the secondary sector 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

1 (a) Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force employed in the secondary sector. [1] (b) Identify two components of the current account of Jordan’s balance of payments. [2] (c) Explain the main type of unemployment experienced by Jordan in 2020. [2] (d) Explain two advantages the Jordanian economy may gain from the mergers between its tourism firms. [4] (e) Analyse the relationship between birth rate and average age. [4] (f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in population size will affect the market for clothing. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian government should spend more on renewable energy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian central bank should have raised the rate of interest in 2021. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force 1 Accept 19. employed in the secondary sector. 19% (1). 1(b) Identify two components of the current account of 2 If more than two suggested components are given, consider Jordan’s balance of payments. the first three. Trade in services (1) primary income (1). Accept invisibles for trade in services. 1(c) Explain the main type of unemployment experienced by 2 Faill in demand is not sufficient here for fall in total demand Jordan in 2020. as total demand is given in the source material – must be macro. Cyclical unemployment (1) lower total demand / fall in employment in most industries / number of workers greater Accept ‘demand deficient unemployment for cyclical than the number of jobs available (1). unemployment. 1(d) Explain two advantages the Jordanian economy may 4 One mark each for each of two advantages identified and gain from the mergers between its tourism firms. one mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Lower prices may be linked to either ‘raise output’ etc. or Lower prices (1) may raise output/GDP/employment/living ‘raise exports’ etc. standards / may be the result of taking advantage of Similarly higher quality may be linked to ‘raise exports etc.’ economies of scale (1). or ‘raise output etc.’. Higher quality (1) may raise exports / reduce current account deficit / increase international competitiveness / increase tourism revenue / more foreign currency / may be the result of sharing ideas (1). 1(e) Analyse the relationship between birth rate and average 4 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but age. they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, Coherent analysis which might include: and analyse the overall data. Expected relationship (up to 2 marks): Accept analysis based on how differences in the average of Countries with a low birth rate are likely to have a high population may affect the birth rate. average age (1) an inverse relationship / negative relationship / move in opposite directions (1). For supporting evidence and the second ‘exception’ mark, comparisons must be made. No marks for just stating the Supporting evidence (up to 2 marks): birth rate and average age figures. Four countries with the lowest birth rates had the highest average age (1) Monaco had the lowest birth rate and the highest average age (1) Niger with the highest birth rate has the lowest average age (1) e.g. Germany has a lower birth rate and a higher average age than Jordan (1). Analysis of expected relationship (up to 2 marks): A low birth rate would mean that children would form a small proportion of the population / a high birth rate may mean children would form a high proportion of the population / it would increase the proportion of people aged over 65 (1). A high birth rate may indicate low living standards / lower income which may be associated with low life expectancy (1). A high average age may mean that there are fewer people of child-bearing age (1). Exception (up to 2 marks): Venezuela or Maldives (1) Maldives had a lower birth rate than Venezuela but the same average age (1). Analysis of exception (up to 1 mark): The average age of a country’s population is also influenced by the death rate and net migration (1). 1(f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an 5 increase in population size will affect the market for clothing. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). Written analysis: An increase in population size will increase the number of consumers / increase demand for clothes / price increases (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian government 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command should spend more on renewable energy. word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should, which may include: Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an • need for more energy due to an increase in population argument, but separate development as to how/why the (1) non-renewable sources of energy will run out / outcome may differ is rewarded. reduced dependency on fossil fuels (1) may reduce import bills (1) Generic example mark • would reduce environmental damage (1) reduce external costs (1) lower pollution (1) reduce extent of Tax revenue may decrease… 1 climate change / global warming / promote sustainable development (1) improve health (1). ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be 1 • cheaper in the longer run (1) solar and wind power are lower. free goods (1) lower costs of production (1) reduce household bills (1). Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not, argument. which may include: • expensive to build (1) opportunity cost (1) example (1) Tax revenue may increase because of a 1 • relies on weather (1) supplies may be disrupted / different reason i.e. not the reverse of a insufficient / unreliable (1) previous argument e.g. government spending • cost of renewable energy projects may increase with on subsidies may stimulate the economy more high interest than spending on education. • rates (1) may be funded by borrowing (1) may increase taxes (1) • may cause visual pollution (1) e.g. wind turbines (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian central bank 6 Some points e.g. discouraged spending may be considered should have raised the rate of interest in 2021. from either side but see guidance table on 1f. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should have, which may include: • total demand predicted to increase / may have reduced total demand (1) encouraged saving (1) discouraged spending / borrowing (1) lowered demand-pull (1) inflation (1) reduced imports (1) • may have attracted more funds for the Jordanian government to borrow / use (1) for e.g. renewable energy projects (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not have, which may include: • cost of government borrowing would have increased / may have difficulty paying off government debt (1) • investment may have been discouraged (1) lowered economic growth (1) reduced growth in employment / caused unemployment (1) • may have increased the exchange rate (1) foreigners depositing money in the country’s banks / attracted hot money flow (1) raised export prices / lowered import prices / decreased exports / increased imports (1) reduced tourism (1) increased the current account deficit (1).

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

Q44 · In 2021, the production point on the UK’s production possibility curve (PPC) changed 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

2 In 2021, the production point on the UK’s production possibility curve (PPC) changed. Average wages increased. The average annual wage of a waiter was $23,580 while that of a chief executive of a large commercial bank was $1,617,000. A rise in wages enables people to eat in restaurants more often. Some of the food sold in UK restaurants is imported. In 2021, the UK government signed free trade agreements, removing import restrictions, with a number of countries. (a) Identify two places where a production point could be located on a PPC diagram. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why someone may switch from eating in one restaurant to eating in another restaurant. [4] (c) Analyse why the wage of a chief executive of a large commercial bank is higher than that of a waiter. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not free trade will increase economic growth. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify two places where a production point could be 2 The points may be identified on a diagram. located on a PPC diagram. Accept below the curve and above the curve. Two from: • point inside the curve / left of the curve • point on the curve / along the curve • point outside the curve / right of the curve 2(b) Explain two reasons why someone may switch from 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one eating in one restaurant to eating in another restaurant. mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: (Change in) prices (1) lower price making it more affordable / substitutes / save money (1). (Change in) quality (1) better ingredients / better cleanliness / quicker service / new menu / more satisfaction / better taste / change in staff (1). (Change in) convenience (1) e.g. longer opening hours / / better location (1) (Change in) facilities (1) e.g. better restrooms (1). (Change in) income (1) enabling some to eat in more expensive restaurants (1). (Change in) consumer tastes (1) switch to e.g. vegan restaurant (1) Advertising (1) may attract/persuade customers / increase attractiveness (1). (Change in) quantity provided (1) lower quantity may represent lower value for money (1). 2(c) Analyse why the wage of a chief executive of a large 6 Note: may also be answered from the point of view why the commercial bank is higher than that of a waiter. wage of a waiter may be lower than that of a chief executive. Coherent analysis which might include: No marks here for banks may be more profitable than restaurants as e.g. a cleaner in a bank may have a lower Chief executive may be more qualified / more educated (1) wage than a waiter. received more training (1) more skilled / talented (1) more productive (1) more experienced (1) higher level of responsibility / higher level of stress / more demanding job (1) in shorter supply / harder to replace (1) more inelastic supply (1). Chief executive may be in higher demand (1) more inelastic demand (1). Chief executive may have stronger bargaining power (1) may be more likely to be in a trade union / professional body (1). May be less likely to be in a group that is discriminated against (1) e.g. migrant workers (1). Chief executive may work longer hours (1). 2(d) Discuss whether or not free trade will increase 8 Level Description Marks economic growth. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of Why it might: economic information and clear and • may enable countries to specialise on what they are logical analysis to evaluate economic best at producing issues and situations. One side of the • higher competition may increase productivity and lower argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the costs of production, increasing demand for their argument are considered and products developed. There is thoughtful • may enable firms to buy raw materials and capital evaluation of economic concepts, goods at a lower price terminology, information and/or data • may give firms access to larger markets, enabling them appropriate to the question. The to expand output. discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. Why it might not: • may prevent infant industry from growing 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • may speed up the closure of declining industries use of economic information and clear • may replace domestic output with imports analysis to evaluate economic issues • may reduce tax revenue and situations. The answer may lack • firms may gain monopoly power and may restrict output some depth and development may be • firms may engage in unfair competition e.g. dumping. one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

Q45 · In 2021, there were extensions and contractions in demand for a number of South African… 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

4 In 2021, there were extensions and contractions in demand for a number of South African products. In that year, a South African court stopped a multinational company (MNC) exploring for oil along South Africa’s coastline. South Africa experienced an increase in output, driven largely by the growth in its tertiary sector. However, its unemployment rate was 35%, a long way from full employment. (a) Define an extension in demand. [2] (b) Explain two external costs that may be caused by exploring for oil. [4] (c) Analyse how growth in a country’s tertiary sector can increase its living standards. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not workers who lose their jobs are likely to stay unemployed for a long time. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define an extension in demand. 2 May be shown by a movement down a demand curve caused by a fall in price. A movement along a demand curve (1) higher demand (1) caused by a fall (1) in price (1). Not accepting: an increase in demand but accepting: an increase in quantity demanded. 4(b) Explain two external costs that may be caused by 4 One mark each for each of two costs identified and one exploring for oil. mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Reduce tourism may be given as an identification or as an explanation of e.g. ‘Damage to the natural environment’ Air pollution / pollution (1) those living nearby may experience a reduction in air quality / contribute to climate change/global warming / reduced health (1). Noise pollution (1) disturbing sleep (1). Water pollution / oil spillage (1) damage health (1). Damage to the natural environment / land / deforestation (1) destroy wildlife habitats / cause global warming / climate change (1). Reduce tourism (1) lower employment (1). Congestion (1) increasing transport costs (1). 4(c) Analyse how growth in a country’s tertiary sector can 6 increase its living standards. Coherent analysis which might include: May have high productivity (1) increase output (1) increase employment / reduce unemployment (1). May pay higher wages (1) allowing workers to consume more goods and services / afford education / afford healthcare / reduce poverty / buy more necessities / buy some luxuries/wants (1). May provide good working conditions (1) less tiring / less physically demanding (1) resulting in good health of workers (1) few accidents (1). May involve expansion of education (1) increasing future employment / workers’ skills (1) earning prospects (1) increase quality of output (1) increase HDI value (1). More transport services (1) could reduce prices / lower congestion / reduce stress (1). Growth of entertainment industry (1) improve leisure time (1). May involve expansion of healthcare (1) increase life expectancy / better health (1). May increase tax revenue (1) enabling the government to spend more on e.g. education (1). Less pollution (1) less environmental damage / less climate change / less global warming (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not workers who lose their jobs are 8 Reward but do not expect reference to hysteresis. likely to stay unemployed for a long time. Level Description Marks In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 Why they might: accurately examines both sides of the • may lose skills / unskilled workers may have greater economic argument, making use of difficulty than skilled workers in finding another job economic information and clear and • may become out of date with advances in technology / logical analysis to evaluate economic working practices issues and situations. One side of the • may be expensive for firms to employ as may need argument may have more depth than extra training the other, but overall both sides of the • may lose confidence argument are considered and • may become less attractive to employers developed. There is thoughtful • more likely to stay unemployed if a result of evaluation of economic concepts, cyclical/structural rather than frictional unemployment terminology, information and/or data • may be high unemployment benefits. appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why they might not: possible uncertainties of alternative • may receive government training decisions and outcomes. • may be geographically/occupationally mobile • gap between wages and state benefits may encourage 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 the unemployed to seek work use of economic information and clear • economy may grow, expanding employment analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack opportunities some depth and development may be • may leave the labour force, e.g. retire / emigrate one-sided. There is relevant use of • may be seasonally unemployed. economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2024

Q46 · Some people in Indonesia play tennis 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2024

3 Some people in Indonesia play tennis. However, badminton is Indonesia’s favourite sport. The equipment needed to play it, including badminton racquets, is relatively cheap. Players from the country win a high proportion of international tournaments. Top Indonesian players earn ten times the average wage and more than thirty times the wage of a cleaner. (a) Identify two decision-makers involved in economics. [2] (b) Explain the relationship between: • demand for tennis racquets and demand for badminton racquets • demand for tennis racquets and demand for tennis balls. [4] (c) Analyse why most cleaners earn a low wage. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a government should tax sports equipment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify two decision-makers involved in economics. 2 Accept any two from first three responses made. Two from: Accept buyers and sellers. • households / consumers • workers / trade unions • firms / producers / entrepreneurs / suppliers • the government • banks 3(b) Explain the relationship between: 4 One mark each for each of two relationships identified and one mark for each of two explanations. (i) demand for tennis racquets and demand for badminton racquets • Substitutes (1) an inverse / indirect/ negative relationship / competitive goods (1) rise in the price of one would cause the demand for the other to increase / people switch between the two (1). (ii) demand for tennis racquets and demand for tennis balls. • Complements (1) a direct / positive relationship (1) bought to be used together / rise in the price of one would cause the demand for the other to decrease (1). 3(c) Analyse why most cleaners earn a low wage. 6 Note: low demand is not acceptable as an answer unless it is in the context of comparison to higher Coherent analysis which might include: supply. • high supply / most people can do it / easily replaced (1) elastic supply (1) have low occupational mobility (1) firms do not have to pay high wages to attract sufficient number of cleaners (1) • low qualifications / education (1) low skills / training required (1) may have low productivity / add little value to the business (1) low risk for workers (1) • may not belong to a trade union (1) low bargaining power (1) hard to move to another job (1) so willing to accept low pay (1) rather than not have a job (1) • may be from groups that are discriminated against (1) e.g. women / older persons / immigrants (1) • some work part-time (1) so take-home pay may be low (1) • might be replaced by cleaning machines / robots (1) if wages rise too high (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not a government should tax sports 8 Level Description Marks equipment. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic Why it should tax sports equipment: information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and • an additional source of tax revenue situations. One side of the argument may • other goods and services/ forms of leisure equipment have more depth than the other, but are taxed overall both sides of the argument are • not a necessity considered and developed. There is • the rich may spend more on sports equipment. thoughtful evaluation of economic • elite / professional sports persons are well paid / receive concepts, terminology, information and/or sponsorship so can afford increased prices. data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible Why it should not tax sports equipment: uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. • increase in prices may discourage people from playing sport especially those on low incomes 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use 3–5 • sport may be considered to be a merit good of economic information and clear • may reduce health and fitness of people analysis to evaluate economic issues and • may reduce output of sports equipment and increase situations. The answer may lack some unemployment depth and development may be one- • many people employed in sport and leisure industries. sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no 0 creditable content.

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2024

Q47 · As cities experience economic growth, the buildings in the city become taller 0455/23 May/June 2025

4 As cities experience economic growth, the buildings in the city become taller. This is driven by an increase in the willingness and ability of consumers to live in tall buildings. Changes in the conditions of supply have also increased the number of tall buildings being constructed. However, there is a limit to the height of buildings – above a certain height, the total cost of constructing the building will exceed the total revenue generated. (a) Define total cost. [2] (b) Explain two causes of an increase in the supply of a product. [4] (c) Analyse factors that can increase the willingness and ability of consumers to buy a certain product. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not economic growth will improve living standards in a city. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define total cost. 2 Total cost is addition of all costs / overall costs (1) fixed cost (1) plus variable cost (1). 4(b) Explain two causes of an increase in the supply of a 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one product. mark each for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: If more than two causes given, consider the first three. • lower costs (1) e.g. cost of raw materials / greater potential profitability (1) • increased productivity (1) e.g. due to better technology (1) • reduced regulations (1) easier / cheaper to produce more (1) • reduced taxes (1) reducing cost of production (1) • increased subsidies (1) enabling producers to be able to produce more with the same amount of financial capital / money / cover some costs / provide additional revenue (1) • better weather / more suitable season (1) increasing crop yield / less destruction or damage to crops(1) • increases in stocks / inventories (1). 4(c) Analyse factors that can increase the willingness and 6 Maximum of two marks for just listing different reasons for ability of consumers to buy a certain product. increase in willingness and ability of consumers to buy a certain product. Coherent analysis which might include: Reward increase in demand only once and reward decrease • decrease in the price of the product itself / subsidy (1) in demand only once. makes the product more affordable (1) increasing demand (1) • increase in the price of substitutes (1) which are goods that provide the similar levels of satisfaction / example of substitutes (1) increasing demand (1) • decrease in the price of complements (1) goods that are in joint demand / example of complements (1) increasing demand (1) • increase in expected price in future (1) consumers willing to buy more now when prices are lower (1) instead of the future when prices go up (1) • increase in incomes (1) consumers more able to buy the product now (1) since affordability / purchasing power increase (1) • change in trends / popularity (1) some products become more fashionable / more popular (1) • increase in quality (1) making the product more desirable (1) • increase in or more effective advertising / marketing (1) informing consumers about the product (1) persuading consumers to buy the product (1) • increased peer pressure to buy the product (1) e.g. conspicuous consumption / to keep in with friends (1) • government health campaigns (1) encouraging consumption of merit goods (1) • change in seasons / weather (1) some products become more needed / desired at certain times (1) relevant example (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not economic growth will improve 8 Maximum of four marks if no reference to a city. living standards in a city. Level Description Marks In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 Why it might: examines both sides of the economic • increase job opportunities in the city – increase income argument, making use of economic • increase government revenue – more public and merit information and clear and logical goods for the city analysis to evaluate economic issues • increase amount of investment in the city – more choice and situations. One side of the argument of goods and services may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are Why it might not: considered and developed. There is • increase negative externalities such as pollution and thoughtful evaluation of economic congestion concepts, terminology, information • overcrowding as more people attracted to come to cities and/or data appropriate to the question. • increase inequality The discussion may also point out the • may produce inflationary pressures – reducing possible uncertainties of alternative affordability decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use 3–5 of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 4(d) 8 Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no 0 creditable content.

This question in 0455/23 May/June 2025

Q48 · Calculate foreign workers as a percentage of Japan’s labour force in 2022 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2025

1 (a) Calculate foreign workers as a percentage of Japan’s labour force in 2022. [1] (b) Identify two reasons why Japan has a high average age of population. [2] (c) Explain why some young Japanese people emigrate. [2] (d) Explain two ways Japan could attract more foreign workers. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a decrease in population on the market for furniture. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between global GDP per head and global air passenger numbers. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not a high savings rate is likely to benefit Japan. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not labour mobility in Japan is likely to increase in the future. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate foreign workers as a percentage of Japan’s 1 Accept 2.5 without %. labour force in 2022. 2.5% (1). 1(b) Identify two reasons why Japan has a high average age 2 If more than two reasons are given, consider the first three. of population. Low birth rate (1) high life expectancy (1) good healthcare (1) young adults moving abroad (1). 1(c) Explain why some young Japanese people emigrate. 2 One mark for identification and one mark for explanation. To gain high wages (1) enjoy a better living standard / able to purchase more goods and services (1). 1(d) Explain two ways Japan could attract more foreign 4 One mark each for two ways identified and one mark each workers. for two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: If more than two ways are given, consider the first three. Only the 3 listed identifications can be credited, and • remove the Japanese language test (1) more foreigners explanation marks can only be awarded if applied to a valid would be able to work in the country (1) identification. • allow foreign workers to bring their families with them (1) foreign workers are more likely to settle in the country if they are not separated from their families (1) • allow unskilled workers to stay for more than five years (1) if gain high wages / enjoy living in the country would not want to leave / attract workers who want to live permanently in the country / give workers the opportunity to stay permanently / increase international mobility of labour (1). 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect 4 of a decrease in population on the market for furniture. Coherent analysis which might include the following. D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the left (1). OR New supply curve shifted to the left (1). OR New demand curve shifted to the left AND new supply curve shifted to the left. Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 1(f) Analyse the relationship between global GDP per head 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but and global air passenger numbers. they should address the expected / normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, Coherent analysis which might include the following. and analyse the overall data. Expected relationship: Supporting evidence should involve interpretation, not just Generally, a positive relationship (1) the higher the global description. GDP head, the higher the air passenger numbers (1). Supporting evidence: 2016–2019 GDP per head rose and air passenger numbers increased (1). Analysis of expected relationship: Higher GDP per head increases purchasing power / ability to pay for air travel (1) as people get richer, they travel more for leisure and business (1). Exception: 2021 (1) GDP per head rose but air passenger numbers decreased (1). Analysis of exception: May have been a time delay in people gaining confidence in flying after COVID-19 pandemic / other influences on demand e.g. air fares (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not a high savings rate is likely to 6 Reference to AD / total demand falling can be credited on benefit Japan. either side of the argument, but only once. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which Apply this example to all questions with the command may include: word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) • may keep inflation low (1) as spending will not be high (1) reduce (total) demand (1) reduce demand-pull Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an inflation (1) argument, but separate development as to how / why the • may reduce imports (1) improve the current account of outcome may differ is rewarded. the balance of payments (1) • provide finance for investment (1) firms able to borrow Generic example mark from banks (1) • may enable households to finance future expenditure Tax revenue may decrease… 1 (1) on e.g. healthcare / education / provide for retirement / provide support for individuals in difficult ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 times (1) • may enable government to cut benefits, e.g. pensions Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 (1) spend money saved on other priorities, e.g. may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous healthcare (1). argument. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, Tax revenue may increase because of a different 1 which may include: reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies • may lower total demand (1) reduce GDP (1) increase may stimulate the economy more than spending unemployment (1) cyclical unemployment (1) could on education. cause a recession (1) • may reduce investment as demand is low (1) reduce improvements in technology (1) • Less indirect tax raised (1) may lead to reduced government spending (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not labour mobility in Japan is likely 6 Reference to occupational and geographical mobility can be to increase in the future. credited on either side of the argument, but only once. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which Reference to falling house prices or improved transport must may include: be linked to improved mobility for credit and vice versa. • Improvements in education and training (1) could increase skills / qualifications (1) increase occupational mobility (1) • Improvements in transport / subsidised travel (1) could enable people to move to different areas (1) raise geographical mobility (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • Ageing population (1) may have out-of-date skills (1) more difficult to change jobs (1) reduce occupational mobility (1) may be more reluctant to move to a different area (1) reason (1) reduce geographical mobility (1) • House prices may rise (1) making it difficult to move from areas with low house prices to areas with high prices (1).

This question in 0455/22 Oct/Nov 2025

Q49 · Calculate the number of Malawians who had access to electricity in 2022 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2025

1 (a) Calculate the number of Malawians who had access to electricity in 2022. [1] (b) Identify two capital goods used in Malawi. [2] (c) Explain what is likely to have happened to Malawi’s production possibility curve (PPC) in January 2022. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why the supply of Malawian tea may increase. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a report stating the health risks of consuming sugar on the market for sugar. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and the percentage of children who complete primary education. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not Malawi should develop a solar energy industry. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not a government should try to stop its country’s foreign exchange rate falling in value. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the number of Malawians who had access to 1 Accept 3.3  106. electricity in 2022. 3.3 m or 3 300 000. 1(b) Identify two capital goods used in Malawi. 2 If more than two capital goods are given, consider the first three. Two from: Factories (1) power stations (1) solar panels (1) electricity (1) fertilisers (1). 1(c) Explain what is likely to have happened to Malawi’s 2 Accept an accurate and fully labelled PPC diagram showing production possibility curve (PPC) in January 2022. the PPC shifting to the left for the first mark. • It is likely to have shifted to the left / inside / inwards / Second mark for any relevant reason from the source contract (1). material. • due to natural disasters / Storm (Ana) / resources destroyed / productive capacity (or land) reduced / less labour (1). 1(d) Explain two reasons why the supply of Malawian tea 4 One mark each for two reasons identified and one mark may increase. each for two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: If more than two reasons are given, consider the first three. • good weather conditions (1) would increase crop yields / Do not accept an answer that links tea with sugar. prevent crops being destroyed (1). • government subsidies (1) provide a financial incentive / additional payment to that received from consumers / reduce costs of production (1). • fall in price of fertiliser (1) which reduces cost of production / increase crop yields / allows farmers to purchase more fertiliser (1). • fall in exchange rate (1) higher demand for Malawian tea (1). 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect 4 of a report stating the health risks of consuming sugar on the market for sugar. Coherent analysis which might include the following. D&S diagram: • Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). • Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). • New labelled demand curve shifted to the left (1). • Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 1(f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and the 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but percentage of children who complete primary they should address the expected / normal relationship, offer education. supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Coherent analysis which might include the following. Supporting evidence should involve interpretation, not just Expected relationship: description e.g. simply quoting data without reference to Generally, a direct / positive relationship (1) the higher the high or low. GDP per head, the higher the percentage of children who complete primary education (1). 1(f) Supporting evidence: Four countries with the highest GDP per head had the highest percentage of children who complete primary education / Malawi / Uganda have the lowest of both (1). South Africa had the highest GDP per head and the highest percentage of children who complete primary education (1). Comparison of two countries (e.g. Namibia and Senegal where GDP falls as does percentage of children completing primary education). Analysis of the expected relationship: Parents in countries with high incomes are more likely to be able to afford to keep their children in primary education (1). Government tax revenue is likely to be higher in countries with high incomes and so will be able to spend more on primary education (1). Completing primary education may increase the chance of skilled / occupationally mobile high income earning workers (1). Exception: Malawi / Uganda (1) Malawi has a lower GDP per head but a higher percentage of children who complete primary education than Uganda (1). Analysis of exception: A higher percentage of children may complete primary education but the quality of the education may be low leading to a low GDP per head / GDP per head may be high but there may be a high degree of inequality with a relatively high proportion of the population unable to keep their children in primary education (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not Malawi should develop a solar 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command energy industry. word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an • a sustainable source of energy (1) enables future argument, but separate development as to how / why the generations to access energy (1) outcome may differ is rewarded. • would create less pollution / external costs than burning wood and charcoal / improve air quality (1) reduce Generic example mark deforestation (1) improve health (1) • may enable more Malawian households to gain access Tax revenue may decrease… 1 to electricity (1) increase living standards / reduce inequality (1) ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 • setting up solar panels creates jobs (1) leads to increased output / economic growth / access to Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 electricity for Malawian firms (1) may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous • long hours / 3000 hours of sunshine (1) a good / viable argument. source of energy (1) • less need to import energy (1) reduce current account Tax revenue may increase because of a different 1 deficit (1) reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous • develops employment opportunities (1) raising incomes argument e.g. government spending on subsidies (1). may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1(g) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • opportunity cost of installing (1) example (1) • opportunity cost of land use (1) reduced agricultural output (1) • dependent on weather / sunshine and days lost (1) unstable supply (1) may experience storm damage / natural disasters (1) • visual pollution (1) might reduce tourism / reduce house prices (1) • cost of developing an electricity distribution network may be prohibitive • cost of switching from fossil-fuel burning domestic appliances to electrical ones may not be affordable to households (1) limiting the impact of the switch (1) • expensive to install (1) worsen government budget position (1) • visual pollution (1) might reduce tourism / reduce house prices (1) • solar panels could be damaged by storms (1) making them inefficient (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not a government should try to stop 6 Note: many candidates provide incorrect analysis e.g. its country’s foreign exchange rate falling in value. wrong way around. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should try to Maximum of 3 marks if there is no development / evaluation stop it falling in value e.g. the disadvantages of the fall, of reasons given. including: • will increase import prices (1) reducing imports (1) may increase cost of imported raw materials and capital goods cost (1) cause cost-push inflation (1) cause slow economic growth (1) • may reduce pressure on domestic firms to keep prices low (1) quality high (1) • may reduce confidence in the economy (1) reduce investment (1) increase debt (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should allow a fall in value e.g. the advantages of the fall, including: • will reduce export prices (1) increase exports (1) reduce imports (1) • make domestic goods more competitive (1) reduce a current account deficit / improve the balance of payments (1) • may increase economic growth (1) reduce unemployment (1) attract MNCs / attract investment (1) increase tourism (1) • opportunity cost / costly for government to intervene (1) e.g. less funding for education / healthcare / housing (1) • may increase government tax revenue (1).

This question in 0455/23 Oct/Nov 2025