Firms and production — Paper 2 · IGCSE Economics (9-1) 0987

5 Mali is a low income and low productivity country in Africa. Its government is using fiscal policy to reduce poverty. The country’s main industries are agriculture and gold mining. In recent years, however, there have been some changes in its resource allocation. The country is developing its iron ore industry. Globally, the iron ore industry is one which has experienced a significant number of mergers in recent years. (a) State two key questions about how resources are allocated. [2] (b) Explain two fiscal policy measures that can be used to reduce poverty. [4] (c) Analyse why a country may have low productivity. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not mergers benefit an economy. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) State two key questions about how resources are allocated. 2 One mark each for two from: What to produce, how to produce it, for whom / who gets what is produced. 5(b) Explain two fiscal policy measures that can be used to reduce poverty. 4 Logical explanation which might include: Rise in government spending on education (1) make it easier for people to gain jobs / better paid jobs (1). Rise in government spending on healthcare (1) providing a basic necessity / increase productivity of workers (1). Subsidise / free provision of food (1) providing a basic necessity / reduce absolute poverty (1). Subsidise / free provision of housing (1) helping those unable to afford housing (1). Increase in state benefits (1) e.g. paying more in unemployment benefit will raise the income of some of the poor (1). Use of progressive taxes / reduction of regressive taxes (1) reduce relative poverty (1). 5(c) Analyse why a country may have low productivity. 6 Coherent analysis which might include: Education may be low (1) and training may be low (1) workers may lack skills (1). Wages may be low (1) working conditions may be poor (1) reducing the motivation of workers (1). There may a lack of investment (1) workers working with out of date/low quality capital goods (1). Healthcare may be low (1) causing workers to be tired (1). 5(d) Discuss whether or not mergers benefit an economy. 8 In assessing each answer, use the table below. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both 6–8 sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other but, overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic 3–5 information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions 1–2 and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable 0 content. Why they might: • may enable the new firm to take greater advantage of economies of scale, lower average cost and lower prices, resulting in lower inflation • may enable the new firm to earn higher profits and spend more on research and development and investment. This could raise the quality of products and increase economic growth • may enable the new firm to compete more effectively internationally which could improve the current account position • a vertical merger can increase the efficiency of production by co- ordinating the production stages. This could increase productive potential. Why they might not: • the new firm may experience diseconomies of scale, higher average cost and higher prices. This may increase the inflation rate • a horizontal merger will reduce competition which can increase prices, reduce choice, lower efficiency and reduce quality. This may reduce international price competitiveness which may harm the country’s current account position. It could also lower the country’s economic growth rate • the new firm may rationalise and this may result in unemployment.

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2020

1 (a) Calculate the percentage of total world output of palm oil produced by Indonesia in 2017. [1] (b) Identify two variable costs of producing palm oil. [2] (c) Explain one opportunity cost of conserving forests in Indonesia. [2] (d) Explain two external costs of the destruction of forests in Indonesia. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a ban on burning stubble on the market for rice. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between countries’ GDP per head ranking and HDI ranking. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the immigration of workers would be likely to benefit the Indonesian economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not the Indonesian tourism industry will increase in the future. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the percentage of total world output of palm oil produced by Indonesia in 2017. 60% (1). 1 Accept 60. 1(b) Identify two variable costs of producing palm oil. • fertilisers • palm oil seeds • casual labour 2 If more than two are given, consider the first two only. Accept ‘labour’, ‘workers’ or ‘wages’ for ‘casual labour’. 1(c) Explain one opportunity cost of conserving forests in Indonesia. Logical explanation which might include: Palm oil not produced / rice not produced / tourism lost as a result of building fewer hotels / lost opportunity to Norwegian government to spend on e.g. education (1) (next) best alternative forgone (1). 2 1(d) Explain two external costs of the destruction of forests in Indonesia. Logical explanation which might include: Loss of wildlife habitats (1) extinction of species / harmful effect on animals not involved in the economic decision (1). Harmful gases/air pollution/pollution (1) unpleasant atmosphere for local residents / illnesses / global warming (1). 4 One mark for each of two costs identified and one mark for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a ban on burning stubble on the market for rice. Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Supply curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2, or by labelling equilibrium points as E1 and E2 (1). 4 For quantity label accept Q, quantity demanded, quantity supplied. Do not reward a completely macro diagram. O S2 P2 Q2 Q1 P1 S1 D1 price of rice quantity of rice Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between countries’ GDP per head ranking and HDI ranking. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected relationship: Generally, the higher the GDP per head ranking, the higher the HDI ranking / positive relationship / direct relationship (1). Supporting evidence: The top country, the top two or top three countries with the highest GDP per head ranking have the highest HDI ranking (1) the country, two countries with the lowest GDP per head ranking have the lowest HDI ranking (1). Exception: Cuba or Indonesia (1) supportive data – Cuba has a lower GDP per head ranking than Indonesia but a higher HDI ranking than Indonesia (1). Analysis: It is the expected relationship (1). GDP is a component of HDI / HDI ranking influenced by additional factors – education and/or life expectancy / higher GDP per head enables more to be spent on education and healthcare (1). 5 HDI now includes years of schooling but accept an idea that it includes education - adult literacy rate was included in the old measure. Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not the immigration of workers would be likely to benefit the Indonesian economy. Up to 4 marks why it might: • may be skilled workers (1) who may be more productive (1) • may be motivated to work harder (1) to improve quality of life (1) • bring in new ideas (1) improving production methods / use advanced technology (1) • may pay taxes (1) enabling the government to spend more (1) • fill vacancies left by Indonesians going to work abroad (1) • increase size of labour force (1) increase productive capacity (1) reduce dependency ratio (1) • may increase exports / total (aggregate) demand (1) may result in economic growth / increase output (1). Up to 4 marks why it might not: • population is already increasing (1) immigration may take it above the optimum level / lead to overpopulation / put pressure on resources (1) • pressure may be put on housing / education / food (1) • may put downward pressure on wages (1) may replace Indonesian workers / cause unemployment (1) lowering living standards (1) • may need training (1) increasing firms’ costs (1) • may increase pollution (1) • may send money home to relatives (1) may have to import more e.g. rice (1) negative impact on the current account of the balance of payments (1). 6 For an answer that examines the effects of migration of workers from Indonesia, a maximum of 2 marks. Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)). Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not the Indonesian tourism industry will increase in the future. Up to 4 marks for why it might: • it is currently price competitive (1) • if the exchange rate continues to fall (1), price of tourism for foreign visitors will fall (1) • it has natural tourist attractions (1) may preserve forests (1) • global economy is growing (1), incomes are rising (1) enabling foreigners to afford more holidays (1) • people coming from abroad to work in high paid jobs may be skilled / highly motivated (1) raise quality of tourism (1). • Indonesian government may subsidise the tourism industry (1) lowering costs of production (1). • the industry may be promoted /advertised (1) • air travel is falling in price (1) air travel is a complement to holidays (1) • foreign investment may be attracted into the industry (1) Up to 4 marks for why it might not: • pollution may discourage visitors (1) worried about health (1) • there are substitutes (1) Indonesia has competition from neighbouring countries (1) • natural areas of beauty may be destroyed (1) by e.g. new palm oil plantations / natural disasters (1) • net emigration (1) may mean there are not enough workers (1). • Covid-19 may continue to reduce tourism (1). 6

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2020

3 In 2018, the US had its lowest unemployment rate for 18 years. Cyclical unemployment was very low and so was the rate of inflation. The US also experienced a rise in labour productivity. However, it did not do so well in reducing poverty. In 2018, approximately 12% of Americans were living in poverty. (a) Define cyclical unemployment. [2] (b) Explain two ways a firm could increase the productivity of its workers. [4] (c) Analyse the advantages of a low rate of inflation. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s unemployment rate will reduce poverty in that country. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define cyclical unemployment. • Workers without jobs (1) • due to a lack or fall in total (aggregate) demand (1) • more people unemployed than there are job vacancies (1) • in a recession / economic downturn (1). 2 Nothing for a fall in demand for a product. 3(b) Explain two ways a firm could increase the productivity of its workers. Logical explanation which might include: • Raise wages / performance related pay / commissions (1) increase motivation of workers (1). • Provide training (1) increase workers’ skills / efficiency (1). • Division of labour by firm (1) enables greater specialisation (1) • Buy capital goods / invest (1) workers will be working with better equipment (1). • Reduce working hours (1) workers may feel fresher / more alert (1). • Improve working conditions (1) reduce stress (1). • Subsidise workers’ healthcare (1) making them fitter / fewer days lost through illness (1). • Working from home (1) reduce stress from travelling (1). 4 One mark each for each of two ways identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse the advantages of a low rate of inflation. Coherent analysis which might include: • Low inflation means prices are still rising (1) but not a high rate (1). • May stop purchasing power being reduced too much / wages may keep pace with inflation (1). • May increase international price competitiveness (1) as may be below the inflation rate of other countries (1) increasing exports (1) reducing imports (1) improving the current account position (1). • May create greater certainty / stability (1) as costs may not be rising significantly (1) encouraging firms / MNCs to invest (1) increasing output / GDP (1) increasing employment / lowering unemployment (1). • May encourage saving (1) as real value may be maintained (1) provide funds for investment (1). • It may raise profit (1) if demand-pull (1) encouraging firms to expand (1) increasing employment / lowering unemployment (1). • May stop a random redistribution of income (1) protecting savers (1). • Low menu costs (1) reduce pressure on firms’ costs of production (1). 6 ‘Increasing employment / lowering unemployment’ can only be credited once. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s unemployment rate will reduce poverty in that country. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • increase the income of those who gain jobs • absolute poverty may be reduced with more people being able to buy basic necessities • tax revenue may rise • the government could spend more on benefits for the poor • the government could spend more on education, reducing future poverty Why it might not: • jobs may be part-time, low-paid, at national minimum wage • jobs may be seasonal • relative poverty may increase if extra jobs are gained by the well-paid • the unemployment rate may fall but unemployment may rise if there are more people in the labour force • may be more retired people living in poverty • sick and disabled people may not be able to get out of poverty • unemployment is only one of a number of factors affecting poverty • absolute poverty may remain 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2021

1 (a) Calculate Chile’s agricultural output in 2017. [1] (b) Identify two disadvantages of a country specialising. [2] (c) Explain one reason why demand for cherries is price-elastic. [2] (d) Explain how Chile’s population structure differs from Haiti’s population structure. [4] (e) Analyse why China buys most of its cherries from Chile. [4] (f) Analyse why Chilean astronomers are paid more than Chilean farm workers. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not Chilean consumers would benefit from more government intervention in the economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not the Haitian economy would benefit from fewer of its people working in Chile. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Chile’s agricultural output in 2017. $11.76bn / $11 760 000 000 / $11 760m (1). 1 Accept $11.8bn and $12bn. $ is not essential. 1(b) Identify two disadvantages of a country specialising. Two from: • demand may fall / new competitors may appear • supply/output may fall / diseases / natural disasters / bad weather may affect agricultural output / costs may rise • non-renewable resources may run out • structural unemployment may occur • reliance on imports no longer produced by home country / overdependency on other countries 2 One mark each for each of two disadvantages. Rely on a small number of industries is not sufficient. 1(c) Explain one reason why demand for cherries is price-elastic. A luxury product (1) they do not have to be purchased / not essential / not a necessity (1). Has close substitutes (1) example / rise in price will cause some people to switch to rival products (1). 2 In terms of close substitutes, also accept: fall in price will cause some people to switch towards this product and away from rival products. One mark for the reason identified and one mark for the explanation. A candidate who writes a luxury product and has close substitutes and no more has identified two reasons, so just one mark. If a candidate identifies one of the two reasons but does not explain it and then identifies the second reason and explains it, the second reason can be taken and with the explanation, 2 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Explain how Chile’s population structure differs from Haiti’s population structure. Logical explanation which might include: Chile has a higher proportion of its population aged over 65 / Haiti a lower proportion aged over 65 (1). Chile has a lower proportion of the population aged under 15 / Haiti has a higher proportion aged under 15 (1). Chile is likely to have a lower birth rate / Haiti is likely to have a higher birth rate (1). Chile likely to have a lower death rate / Haiti is likely to have a higher death rate (1). Chile’s population pyramid indicates a relatively high level of development/high income country / Haiti’s population pyramid indicates a relatively low level of development/low income country (1). Chile’s population pyramid is less pyramid shaped / more stationary / constrictive / bulges out in the middle / more egg-shaped / Haiti’s is more pyramid shaped / more expansive (1). Lower dependency ratio in Chile / higher dependency ratio in Haiti (1). Higher proportion of population of working age in Chile / lower proportion of population of working age in Haiti (1). Higher population size in Chile / lower population size in Haiti (1). 4 Accept for the first and second points other relevant age ranges e.g. over 60, under 10. Accept longer life expectancy for lower death rate and shorter life expectancy for higher death rate. Note that each country overall has more females than males, so not a difference. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Chile has a higher average age / older population / Haiti has a lower average age population / younger population (1). 1(e) Analyse why China buys most of its cherries from Chile. Coherent analysis which might include: Chile has high production standards (1) cherries are likely to be of a high quality (1). China does not impose tariffs on Chilean cherries (1) may keep their price low (1). 4 Free trade agreement on its own is not sufficient. 1(f) Analyse why Chilean astronomers are paid more than Chilean farm workers. Coherent analysis which might include: Most astronomers have a university degree (1) high cost of training/ long period of training (1) well qualified / well educated / high level of knowledge (1) highly productive / highly skilled / efficient (1) in short supply (1) high demand (1) more inelastic demand (1) more inelastic supply (1). Most work in the public sector (1) government may be more willing / able to pay higher wages (1) public sector workers are more likely to belong to a trade union (1) have stronger bargaining power (1). 5 Also accept an approach based on an analysis of why Chilean farm workers are paid less than Chilean astronomers. This may include reference to immigrant farm workers who may be prepared to accept relatively low wages and Chilean farm workers being replaced by capital equipment / more replaceable than astronomers. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not Chilean consumers would benefit from more government intervention in the economy. Award up to 4 marks for why they might: • evidence of market failure (1) • merit goods may be underproduced (1) as under- consumed (1) • demerit goods may be overproduced (1) as overconsumed (1) • external costs could be reduced (1) external benefits may be increased (1) external costs / external benefits are not taken into account by the private sector (1) • public goods may not be produced (1) no profit incentive to make them (1) as there can be free riders (1) • inequality (1) poor consumers may lose out / there may be poverty (1) resources may not be devoted to producing what the poor need (1) may not be able to afford prices charged (1) • government subsidies (1) can lower prices (1) • government could set maximum prices (1) lower prices of necessities (1) • government could control (private sector) monopoly power (1) prevent abuse of market power (1) • government investment in education (1) could lower prices / raise quality of output (1). Award up to 4 marks for why they might not: • government failure may occur (1) e.g. government may lack information (1). • market forces can provide wide choice of products (1) may be consumer sovereignty (1) 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Not taking lower taxes, lower subsidies or reduced immigration controls as a form of government intervention. Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) • profit incentive (1) industries may respond to changes in consumer demand (1) • efficient industries (1) prices may be low (1) quality may be high (1) • government intervention in the form of nationalisation (1) may reduce competition (1). • government taxes / tariffs / regulation / minimum wages (1) may increase costs (1) raise prices (1) • maximum prices could reduce availability of products (1) • government limits on immigration (1) may reduce availability of products / raise prices (1) Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not the Haitian economy would benefit from fewer of its people working in Chile. Award up to 4 marks for why it might: • wages may be low in Chile (1) work involves unskilled labour (1) • employment may be rising in Haiti (1) the country could keep more of its skilled workers (1) • larger labour force / more workers (1) higher total demand (1) increase GDP / increase economic growth / increase productive potential (1) increase living standards (1) increase exports (1) • rise in the numbers employed in Haiti could increase tax revenue (1) may enable more spending on e.g. education (1) • fewer parents may leave behind dependent relatives (1) reduce burden on the government (1) • jobs could be found in other countries (1) Award up to 4 marks for why it might not: • wages may be higher in Chile (1) fewer emigrant workers may send money home (1) living standards may be lower (1) lower spending (1) • less money coming into the country (1) may increase a current account deficit (1) • job opportunities may be higher in Chile (1) unemployment may rise in Haiti (1) • if unemployment rises in Haiti, cost of unemployment benefits may rise (1) opportunity cost / higher taxation (1) • opportunities to gain new skills may be reduced (1) these skills could be brought back into the country (1) 6 For an approach which discusses whether or not the Haitian economy benefits from its people working in Chile, award a maximum of 3 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) • may reduce pressure to invest / spend on capital equipment (1) reduce advances in technology / reduce increases in efficiency / productivity (1) • may increase overcrowding / overpopulation (1) increase external costs / pollution (1) pressure on resources (1).

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2021

3 Consumers in Uruguay are eating more processed foods. Factors of production, including enterprise, have responded to this change. Firms in the processed food industry have become more capital-intensive. All of Uruguay’s industries were affected by the rise in its inflation rate, from 6.2% in 2017 to 7.7% in 2018. (a) Define enterprise. [2] (b) Explain the influence of opportunity cost on consumers’ decisions. [4] (c) Analyse why a firm may become more capital-intensive. [6] (d) Discuss whether inflation harms a country’s industries. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define enterprise. Risk bearing (1) setting up / owning a business (1) key decision making / organisation of the other factors of production (1) profit incentive / profit is the reward (1). 2 3(b) Explain the influence of opportunity cost on consumers’ decisions. Logical explanation which might include: Opportunity cost is the (next) best alternative (1) forgone / sacrificed (1). Consumers have limited income / time (1) have to make choices (1) cannot have everything they want (1) if buy more of one product may have to buy less of another / example of what product may be given up to buy another product (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse why a firm may become more capital- intensive. Coherent analysis which might include: The cost of capital may fall / the price of labour may rise (1) lowering costs of production (1) making the firm more price-competitive (1) may increase profits (1). Advances in technology (1) may improve the quality of capital (1) making it more productive / efficient (1) may increase the quality of products produced (1) raise demand for the products produced (1). Firms may want to reduce human error / more consistent quality / uniform products (1) reduce wastage (1). Firms may want to avoid disruption to production (1) caused by industrial action / strikes / sickness (1) capital equipment does not need to take breaks / can work 24 hours a day (1). There may be a shortage of labour (1) making it difficult to recruit workers (1). A government may reduce taxes on capital goods (1) provide subsidies (1) the rate of interest may be reduced (1) making capital goods more affordable (1). The firm’s output may rise (1) reducing the average fixed cost of capital / benefiting from economies of scale (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether inflation harms a country’s industries. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • may increase costs of production • may reduce competitiveness, lowering sales at home and abroad • may upset industrial relations, workers pressing for wage rises • may make it difficult to plan • may discourage savings which can reduce funds available for investment • corporation tax may be moved into a higher tax bracket • may be menu costs / shoe leather costs Why it might not: • may be demand-pull inflation with demand for the firm’s products increasing • may be low and stable • may enable a firm to reduce the real cost of any debt • may enable the firm to cut the real cost of wages • may be lower than other countries’ inflation rates • may not be foreign substitutes • some industries may have inelastic demand 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sided of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2021

1 (a) Calculate the number of births in Cyprus in 2019. [1] (b) Identify two indicators of living standards. [2] (c) State why the global market for grapes was in disequilibrium in 2019. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why more well-educated workers tend to work past retirement age than less-educated workers. [4] (e) Analyse how a rise in a country’s retirement age is likely to affect its government’s budget. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between inflation rates and current account balances. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not, after 2019, Cyprus’s production possibility curve (PPC) is likely to shift to the right. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not adopting capital-intensive production will benefit consumers. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the number of births in Cyprus in 2019. 12 240 (1) 1 1(b) Identify two indicators of living standards. GDP per head / per capita (1). HDI (1). Life expectancy / healthy people (1). Proportion of people in primary sector (1). Level of education / qualifications (1). 2 Do not reward GDP 1(c) State why the global market for grapes was in disequilibrium in 2019. Bad weather / failure of the grape harvest (1) there was a shortage (1) which means demand exceeded supply (1). 2 1(d) Explain two reasons why more well-educated workers tend to work past retirement age than less-educated workers. Logical explanation which might include: Well-paid / good work benefits (1) which provides an incentive to work for longer / high job satisfaction / enter workforce late (1). Healthy (1) and so more able to work for longer / remain productive (1). Work in jobs which do not require physical strength / less tiring (1) older workers tend to be less strong / allows them to continue working as long as remain fit (1). 4 One mark for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each explanation. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse how a rise in a country’s retirement age is likely to affect its government’s budget. Coherent analysis which might include: A rise in the retirement age / less people retired will reduce the cost of pensions (1) may reduce government spending / government may spend on alternatives e.g., infrastructure, education or health (1). More people in work will increase incomes / businesses expand production (1) raise direct tax revenue (1) spending will increase (1) raise indirect tax revenue (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between inflation rates and current account balances. Coherent analysis which might include: Overview: Generally, an inverse relationship / the lower the inflation rate, the higher the current account surplus or the higher the inflation rate, the higher the current account deficit (1). Supporting evidencemax of 2 marks Mongolia has the highest inflation rate (1) and the largest current account deficit (1) Mongolia / Kenya / Nepal have the highest inflation rates (1) all have a current account deficit (1). Iceland / Slovenia have a low rate of inflation (1) but have a current balance of payments surplus (1) Exception: Cyprus lowest inflation rate (1) but a current account deficit / 3rd highest current account deficit (1). Comments: Most of the table shows the expected relationship. (1) Low inflation rates may make products more price competitive / high inflation rates may make prices less price competitive (1) 5 Do not accept current account balance is high or low. Answers need to refer to size of surplus or deficit. Simply using data without explanation is description rather than analysis. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not, after 2019, Cyprus’s production possibility curve (PPC) is to shift to the right. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: Quantity / quality of resources may have increased (1) retirement age may have increased (1) people living longer (1) so labour force is likely to have increased (1). Investment may have increased (1) due to low interest rates (1) more capital goods would increase productive capacity (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: Quantity and quality of resources may have decreased (1) land quality is decreasing (1) which will reduce the productivity of land (1). Entrepreneurs may emigrate (1) reducing the supply of enterprise / skilled workers (1). Birth rate is falling (1) size of workforce may fall in future (1) Covid19 may have reduced productivity (1). For recognising that any of these reasons could result in PPC shifting to the left / stay unchanged (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Marks Tax revenue may decrease 1 because of reason e.g., incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e., reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e., not the reverse of a previous argument e.g., government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not adopting capital-intensive production will benefit consumers. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: It may reduce costs of production / more efficient / may result in economies of scale (1) lower costs may reduce prices (1). It may avoid disruption to supply (1) as no industrial action / strikes (1). It may be quicker / faster (1) to respond to changes in consumer demand (1) It may raise quality (1) as absence of human error (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: Products may be standardised / lack variety (1) individual wants may not be met (1). Capital equipment may break down / costly to maintain (1) causing delays in production (1). Initial high cost of capital equipment (1) may push up prices (1). 6

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2022

1 (a) Calculate Bhutan’s GDP in 2018. [1] (b) Identify two indicators that are in both the World Happiness Index and the Human Development Index. [2] (c) State why Bhutan’s 2018 government budget is likely to have increased total demand in Bhutan. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why someone may prefer to work in the tertiary sector rather than in the primary sector. [4] (e) Analyse how investment in capital goods and education can increase New Zealand’s productivity. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and net migration. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not enterprise is likely to have increased in New Zealand after 2019. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not a cut in income tax rates will increase living standards. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Bhutan’s GDP in 2018. $2.6 bn / $2600 m / $2 600 000 000 / 2.6  10⁹ (1). 1(b) Identify two indicators that are in both the World Happiness Index and the Human Development Index. Life expectancy (1) GDP per head (1). 2 If more than two indicators are given, consider the first three. 1(c) State why Bhutan’s 2018 government budget is likely to have increased total demand in Bhutan. Government spending was greater than government revenue (1) there was a budget deficit (1) of $70 m (1) the government may have used expansionary fiscal policy (1). 2 1(d) Explain two reasons why someone may prefer to work in the tertiary sector rather than in the primary sector. Logical explanation which might include: Better working conditions / non-wage factors (1) e.g. working inside / not having to work in wet weather / less stress / more job satisfaction / fringe benefits (1). Shorter working hours (1) permitting more leisure time (1). Type of work / less physically demanding / not manual work (1) less risk to health / less tiring / less dangerous / fewer accidents / may lack physical strength (1). Better paid (1) enabling more goods and services to be purchased / higher standard of living / as may require more qualifications / skills/training / value added may greater in the tertiary sector / tertiary sector may be expanding / primary sector contracting / may be higher demand for tertiary workers (1). 4 One mark for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each explanation. Note there is a degree of ‘mix and match’ here. For example, working hours or manual work can be taken as a development of working conditions. Accept an answer that explains the disadvantages of working in the primary sector e.g. may prefer to work in the tertiary sector as working hours are longer in the primary sector. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse how investment in capital goods and education can increase New Zealand’s productivity. Coherent analysis which might include: Higher investment in capital goods will enable workers to work with better equipment (1) more output per worker / worker hour (1). New capital goods may incorporate advances in technology / be of higher quality (1) result in innovation (1) can work for long hours (1). Higher investment in education can enable more children to be educated / children to be educated for longer / improve quality of education / increase knowledge (1) increase workers’ skills / qualifications (1) enable workers to use more advanced technology (1). Investment in capital goods and/or education can enable capital goods/ workers to work at a faster rate (1) be more efficient (1) make fewer mistakes / less wastage (1). 4 Up to 3 marks for analysis on investment in capital goods and up to 3 marks for investment in education. Note only credit increase efficiency once. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and net migration. Coherent analysis which might include: Overview Generally, the countries with higher GDP per head have net immigration / net migration / the countries with lower GDP per head tend to have net emigration / positive/direct relationship (1). Supporting evidence Up to 2 marks for two pieces of supporting evidence e.g.  New Zealand has the highest GDP per head and the highest net immigration / net migration / highest positive migration (1)  Cyprus has the second highest GDP per head and the second highest net immigration / net migration / positive migration (1)  the four countries with the highest GDP per head, all have net immigration / positive net migration (1)  the two countries with lowest GDP per head both have net emigration / negative net migration (1) Exception Exception is Kenya or Mozambique (1) Kenya has higher GDP per head but higher net emigration than Mozambique (1). Comments Higher GDP per head may encourage people to move to the country to increase their living standards / income / people who migrate into the country may be high skilled / lower GDP per head may encourage people to emigrate to increase their living standards/income (1) other influences e.g. immigration controls / size of population / wars / political instability (1). 5 There may be an implied comparison e.g. generally countries with a high GDP per head have net immigration. New Zealand has a GDP per head of approx. $55 000 and net immigration of about 40,00 whereas Kenya has a GDP per head of $2,000 and net emigration of about 50 000 (1 mark). For explanation of exception, do not accept that Kenya has ‘lower net migration’ / Mozambique has ‘higher net migration’ – a misinterpretation of the figure. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not enterprise is likely to have increased in New Zealand after 2019. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: High labour productivity / high-skilled workers (1) may keep costs down (1) and increase profits (1) which will motivate more people to be entrepreneurs (1). Higher investment / better quality capital goods (1) may increase the number of firms / result in expansion of firms (1) and the opportunities to become entrepreneurs (1). Investment in education / better quality education (1) may increase the people with the skills to become entrepreneurs / increase risk taking ability (1). Higher government spending on mental health / child poverty / pollution (1) may increase workers’ skills / increase workers’ health / increase workers’ productivity (1) higher government subsidies (1) reduce firms’ costs of production (1) higher government spending may increase total demand (1). Higher economic growth (1) may have created more opportunities / greater confidence / higher total demand (1). Net immigration may have continued (1) and some immigrants may have been entrepreneurs / may set up new firms (1) more people in the country may raise total demand (1). Cut in income tax rates (1) could increase demand (1) firms’ revenue / profits (1) create greater profit incentive (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease… 1 ...because of reason e.g., incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e., reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e., not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: Uncertainty / lack of confidence (1) reason e.g. there may have been a recession / negative economic growth / unclear what may happen to GDP (1) which could have resulted in the reward to enterprise declining (1) may think there is a greater risk of running / setting up a firm (1). Corporation tax may have increased / tax may have increased (1) which would reduce retained profits / amount of profit that can be kept (1). Government attempts to reduce pollution / poverty / improve mental health (1) may increase firms’ costs of production and reduce profits (1) may have an opportunity cost (1) less spending on something that could increase enterprise (1) e.g. reduction is spending on education (1). Accept tax revenue may have increased for tax may have increased for why it might not Reward recognition that tax revenue may rise without a rise in tax rates or with a fall in tax rates. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not a cut in income tax rates will increase living standards. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: Will increase disposable income (1) increase ability to buy goods and services / increase purchasing power (1) buy basic necessities / reduce absolute poverty (1) may be able to fulfil more wants / buy more luxuries (1). May increase spending (1) increase total demand (1) reduce unemployment / increase employment (1) increase output / increase economic growth (1). May increase saving (1) and so provide a safety net (1). May encourage investment (1) which may lower costs of production (1) reduce prices (1). May be able to buy more merit goods / better quality education/healthcare (1) increase health / life expectancy (1). May increase the incentive to work (1) may earn more in work than on unemployment benefits (1). May enable people to work fewer hours (1) enjoy more leisure time (1). 6 Rise in income is not sufficient – need idea of disposable income. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: Tax revenue may fall (1) may result in a cut in government spending (1) on e.g. education / health care / mental healthcare / child poverty / pollution / unemployment benefit (1) poor may be most reliant on public services (1). It may increase congestion as people buy more cars (1) may lead to pollution (1). It may increase depletion of non-renewable resources as consumption increases (1). It may benefit mostly the rich / poor may not benefit / will not benefit the unemployed (1) and so not everyone may enjoy higher living standards (1). People may spend on demerit goods (1) higher spending which could reduce health / life expectancy (1). Higher spending / demand may increase prices / cause inflation (1) leave purchasing power unchanged / reduce purchasing power (1).

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2022

1 (a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. [1] (b) Identify two substitutes for coal. [2] (c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal-mining firm. [2] (d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. [4] (f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. 4% Allow 4 without percentage 1(b) Identify two substitutes for coal. Two from:  gas  offshore wind / wind power  solar power / panels 2 1(c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal- mining firm. Managerial / labour economy (1) employing specialist workers e.g. mining engineers (1). Technical economy (1) employing efficient / technologically advanced equipment e.g. drones (1). External economy of scale (1) example e.g. skilled labour force (1). 2 One mark for the economy of scale identified and one mark for an explanation. 1(d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. Storage time (1) expensive to store so inelastic supply (1). Construction of new mine / production time (1) takes a long time, so inelastic supply (1). Stocks (1) may make supply elastic (1). 4 One mark each for each of two influences identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Price line set below the equilibrium (1). Demand shown as greater than supply (1) e.g. has the two dotted lines downwards (it does not have to be labelled Qs and Qd). 4 Note: Accept unlabelled price line / line drawn only to demand curve. Accept shortage if correctly identified on the diagram. Do not accept demand greater than supply if demand and supply curves are incorrectly drawn Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected outcome: Large coal-producing countries may have a surplus to sell / may have grown their production in order to sell abroad (1) most of the evidence supports this relationship (1). Supporting evidence: Five of the seven countries consume less coal than they produce (1) calculation e.g. US could have exported 11 million tonnes / Australia could have exported 394 million tonnes or simply the difference (1). Analysis: Countries that produce more coal than they consume may benefit from economies of scale / can export because their prices are low (1). Exceptions: China or India are an exception (1) as they consumed more coal than they produced (1). Analysis: They may have been net importers (1) since had used up stocks of coal / need more energy as a developing country (1) may not be able to export coal if world demand for coal is low / countries may both import and export coal (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal outcome, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  may increase GDP / economic growth (1) increasing living standards / raise incomes / reduce poverty (1)  may reduce unemployment (1) structural unemployment (1)  may improve current account position / have a surplus (1) as Australia seems to be a net exporter of coal (1)  may increase tax revenue (1) increasing government’s ability to spend (1)  economies of scale (1) result in lower prices for households and industries (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may increase pollution (1) lowering living standards / cause health issues (1) reduce tourism / negative impact on current account (1)  other forms of power may not be developed (1) example (1)  some workers may leave other jobs (1) these jobs may have better working conditions (1)  coal mining is a relatively dangerous industry (1) so life expectancy may be reduced / creates chronic illnesses / workers unable to work (1).  Global demand for coal may fall (1) impact upon Australia e.g. unsold stock (1).  May rapidly deplete stocks (1) leading to lower exports (1) and less employment (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 … because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  unemployment is forecast to increase (1) so there may be more government spending on unemployment benefits (1) less income tax revenue (1)  there may be more government spending on retraining unemployed workers (1)  some of the rise in population may result in more government spending (1) e.g. on pensions / healthcare / education (up to 2 marks)  budget deficit in previous years (1) would mean interest would have to be paid on the debt that has built up (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  population and the labour force are forecast to increase (1) so there may be more taxpayers / fewer claiming benefits (1)  tax revenue may rise (1) due to higher profits / higher tax rates (1)  GDP is forecast to increase (1) more people in work (1) which would be likely to increase direct and indirect tax revenue (1)  state support for industries may fall (1) may have been high in 2021 due to Covid-19 (1). 6

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2023

1 (a) Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020. [1] (b) Identify two causes of the decrease in the output of sugar in 2020. [2] (c) Explain how economic growth is measured. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why labour mobility may increase in Guyana in the future. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a decrease in the price of rail transport on the market for car transport. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and internet access. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the discovery of oil is likely to increase living standards in Guyana. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Guyana would benefit from an increase in the size of its population. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the number of people who were living in poverty in Guyana in 2020. 276 500 (1). 1 1(b) Identify two causes of the decrease in the output of sugar in 2020. Bad weather (1) falling (global) demand (1). 2 If more than two causes given, consider the first three. 1(c) Explain how economic growth is measured. Real (1) GDP / national / country’s output / income / expenditure (1). 2 If more than two ways given, consider the first three. Not accepting GDP per head for GDP. 1(d) Explain two reasons why labour mobility may increase in Guyana in the future. Logical explanation which might include: Increased government spending on education / improved education (1) improved skills / productivity / occupational mobility (1). Improved / cheaper rail travel / increased spending on infrastructure / improved infrastructure (1) easier to work further away / increased ability to work in other areas / increased geographical mobility (1). Increased government spending on the internet (1) people learn new skills / gain information about job opportunities / increase occupational mobility (1). May be net immigration (1) migrants may be skilled / may be more willing to move to different areas of the country (1). 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. If more than two reasons given, consider the first three. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a decrease in the price of rail transport on the market for car transport. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Demand curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 4 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse the relationship between GDP per head and internet access. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected relationship: Direct / positive (1) the higher the GDP per head, the higher the internet access (1) Supporting evidence: Up to two marks E.g. Iceland with the highest GDP per head had the highest % of the population with internet access Eritrea with the lowest GDP per head had the least internet access France with the second highest GDP per head has the second highest % of population with internet access Analysis of expected relationship: Higher GDP per head increases household’s ability to pay for internet access / higher internet access may increase productivity/efficiency / increase job opportunities (1) higher GDP per head increases tax revenue, some of which can be spent on the provision of internet access / higher productivity/efficiency could increase wages (1). Exception: Guyana / Morocco (1) Guyana had a higher GDP per head but low internet access (1). Analysis of exception: Internet access is determined by other influences e.g. education levels (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. In terms of supporting evidence: no marks for just description of the figures e.g. Brazil had a GDP per head of $8717 and 72% of the population with internet access / Eritrea had a GDP per head of $643 and 2% of population with internet access. France had a GDP of $40 494 and 83% of the population with internet access etc. In terms of supporting evidence one mark maximum for an indirect comparison e.g. Iceland had a GDP per head of $66 945 and 99% population with internet access whereas in Zambia with a GDP per head of $1,305, only 29% of the population had access to the internet. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not the discovery of oil is likely to increase living standards in Guyana. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  increase exports (1) increase economic growth / higher national output (1) and raise incomes / increase GDP per head (1) increase purchasing power / able to buy more goods and services / able to buy basic necessities (1) could reduce poverty (1)  create jobs / reduce unemployment / increase employment (1) discourage emigration / encourage immigration (1).  raise tax revenue (1) allowing the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1) MNCs may spend on e.g. improving infrastructure / training (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may create pollution (1) create external costs / damage the environment (1) which will harm people’s health / reduce life expectancy (1)  may be poor working conditions in the industry (1) affecting health of workers (1)  the foreign MNC may send much of the profit back to its country (1) it may drive domestic oil firms out of business (1) may deplete the country’s oil reserves (1)  the foreign MNC may employ workers from its own country (1)  global demand for oil may fall /may be overdependence on oil / other countries may impose trade restrictions on oil. (1) 6 3rd bullet point: increase in government spending should be linked to a form of spending that could increase living standards. Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not Guyana would benefit from an increase in the size of its population. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  population is below the optimum level / move to the optimum level (1), could make better use of resources (1)  if rise due to immigration (1) may bring in new ideas / new production methods / new skills / new technology (1)  an increase in the size of the labour force (1) if the number of people of working age increases (1) rise in tax revenue (1) allowing the government to spend more on e.g. education and healthcare (1)  consumer expenditure may increase (1) total (aggregate) demand may increase (1)  output could increase / cause economic growth / increase productive potential (1)  dependency ratio could fall (1) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  larger population could result in pollution / congestion / overcrowding (1) damage the environment / increase external costs (1)  if rise due to fall in death rate or rise in the birth rate / increase in young / old population (1), the dependency ratio will increase (1) some of the extra population may be unemployed (1) 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h)  pressure may be put on e.g. housing / welfare payments (1) increasing need for government expenditure (1)  there may be inflation (1)  population may increase to the extent that there is overpopulation (1) resources may be depleted (more quickly) (1). 6

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2023

4 Healthcare is in the tertiary sector. Healthcare provides both private and external benefits. In 2019, there were five mergers between large US healthcare firms. As well as operating in the US, US healthcare firms operate in a number of host countries, including Singapore. (a) Define tertiary sector using an example apart from healthcare. [2] (b) Explain the difference between a private benefit and an external benefit of healthcare. [4] (c) Analyse why a government may prevent a horizontal merger. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a foreign multinational company (MNC) will continue to produce in a host country for many years. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define tertiary sector using an example apart from healthcare. The sector covering the provision of services (1). Example e.g. banking / car showroom / coffee shop / education (1). 4(b) Explain the difference between a private benefit and an external benefit of healthcare. Logical explanation which might include: A private benefit is enjoyed by the person consuming the product (1) e.g. a person may enjoy better health / longer life expectancy (1). OR A provider of healthcare e.g. hospital (1) and revenue / profits made (1). An external benefit is a benefit enjoyed by a third party / someone not directly involved in the consumption or production of the product (1) e.g. less risk of catching a virus when other people are vaccinated / higher output (1). 4 Question Answer Mark Guidance 4(c) Analyse why a government may prevent a horizontal merger. Coherent analysis which might include: A horizontal merger is a merger between two firms in the same industry and same stage of production (1). A government may prevent a merger if it thinks it will give the new firm monopoly power (1) and result in market failure (1). Less competition may result in higher prices (1) lower quality (1) there may be a substantial loss of jobs (1) through rationalisation (1). A government may be concerned that the new firm may be too large (1) may experience diseconomies of scale (1) example (1) may become less internationally competitive (1) lower exports (1). A government may want to avoid a reduction the number of suppliers (1) resulting in less choice for consumers / less innovation (1). 6 Note: need both same industry and same stage of production to get the mark for horizontal merger. Question Answer Mark Guidance 4(d) Discuss whether or not a foreign multinational company (MNC) will continue to produce in a host country for many years. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  may earn a high revenue / profit due to high demand  may experience low costs due to low wages / low raw material costs in the country  may have access to high quality labour due to good education and training in the country  may be subsidised by the host country’s government. Why it might not:  natural resources it was extracting may run out  tax in the host country may increase  a rise in the host country’s foreign exchange rate may increase the price of its exports  there may be industrial action undertaken by trade unions in the host country  more profitable opportunities may occur in other countries  may be changes in regulations. 8 See Guidance table at the end of the mark scheme.

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2024

4 Tajikistan is one of Asia’s low-income countries. Its currency, the somoni, has the key characteristics of money. More than one million Tajik people work abroad, mostly in Russia. In 2020, the Tajik government was concerned that the country’s economy might experience a recession which could cause a fall in tax revenue. Despite this possibility, some Tajik firms bought new capital equipment. (a) Identify two reasons why tax revenue is likely to fall during a recession. [2] (b) Explain two characteristics of money. [4] (c) Analyse the advantages an economy may gain from having some of its people working in other countries. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not consumers would benefit from firms buying new capital equipment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Identify two reasons why tax revenue is likely to fall during a recession. Two from:  lower spending / lower demand  lower incomes / lower wages / higher unemployment / lower employment  lower profits  lower tax rates  lower imports  fewer tax payers  lower output  lower revenue 2 If more than 2 reasons are given, consider the first 3. 4(b) Explain two characteristics of money. Logical explanation which might include: Generally acceptable (1) people willing to accept it as a payment / reward / in settlement of a debt (1). Portable (1) easy to carry (1). Recognisable (1) easy to see it is the country’s currency (1). Durable (1) will last some time / can be saved (1). Limited in supply (1) so maintains value (1). Divisible (1) there should be units of different value (1). Homogeneous / uniform (1) people not preferring e.g. one note of a certain value other another note of the same value (1). 4 One mark each for each of two characteristics identified and one mark for each of two explanations. If more than 2 characteristics are given, consider the first 3. Accepting ‘breakable’ for ‘divisible’. Explanation marks e.g. maintain value or accept as a payment can be given without identification up to a maximum of 2 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(c) Analyse the advantages an economy may gain from having some of its people working in other countries. Coherent analysis which might include: The workers may send money home to (support) their families staying at home (1) reduce poverty / raise living standards (1). Will improve the current account position of the balance of payments / bring in foreign currency (1) secondary income (1). The workers may receive training (1) gain skills (1) ideas / knowledge / awareness of new technology (1) experience (1) higher productivity / efficiency (1) which they can bring back to the country (1) increase quality of output (1). Start their own firms in the country when they return (1) increase output / economic growth / increase GDP (1). May reduce unemployment (1) if lack of jobs at home (1) and so may reduce government spending on unemployment benefits / may reduce government spending on dependents (1). 6 No marks for general benefits of emigration. Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(d) Discuss whether or not consumers would benefit from firms buying new capital equipment. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why they might:  may embody new technology  more innovation / new products  may increase efficiency / lower costs of production  may lower prices  may reduce mistakes  increase quality of output  may increase output and so availability. Why they might not:  may raise prices in the short run to cover the cost of the purchase  may reduce quality / output in the short run as workers get used to the new capital equipment  firms may switch from producing consumer to capital goods  products may become more standardised. 8 Focus should be on consumers and not workers. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2024

3 The central bank of Madagascar intervenes in the country’s foreign exchange market. However, Madagascar has a largely market economic system. Nearly 70% of Madagascar’s population live in poverty. Most of the country’s industries are labour-intensive. In 2020, Madagascar had an economic growth rate of 6% and a deficit on the current account of its balance of payments of $0.6bn. (a) Define foreign exchange market. [2] (b) Explain two reasons why a firm may adopt labour-intensive production. [4] (c) Analyse how the macroeconomic aims of economic growth and balance of payments stability may conflict. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a high level of poverty is likely to exist in a market economic system. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define foreign exchange market. 2 An arrangement / place (1) where different countries’ currencies are bought/demanded (1) and sold/supplied (1) one currency is exchanged for another currency (1). 3(b) Explain two reasons why a firm may adopt labour- 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one intensive production. mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: • Labour may be low in price / wages may be low (1) which might make labour cheaper than capital / there may be a high supply of labour (1). • Labour may be very productive / efficient (1) which can make employment profitable / result in low costs of production (1). • The government may subsidise the employment of workers (1) to reduce unemployment (1). • The firm may provide personal services (1) with individual attention (1). • Labour may be more creative / adaptable / provide feedback (1) produce high quality products / improve methods of production (1) • Labour may be unskilled / low level of education (1) unable to use high-tech capital equipment (1). 3(c) Analyse how the macroeconomic aims of economic 6 growth and balance of payments stability may conflict. Coherent analysis which might include: Economic growth may increase employment (1) increase wages / incomes / purchasing power (1) this may increase imports (1). Higher consumer spending (1) may encourage firms to switch products to the domestic market (1) reduce exports (1) increase / cause a current account deficit (1). To produce more goods and services, firms may import more raw materials (1) capital goods (1). Economic growth may result in inflation (1) which would make domestic products less price competitive (1). Economic growth may deplete resources (1) increase need for imports (1). Economic growth may be export-led (1) may be achieved by restricting imports (1) result in a current account surplus (1). Migrant workers may send more money home (1). Export-led growth may increase the exchange rate (1) which may increase imports / reduce exports (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not a high level of poverty is likely 8 Level Description Marks to exist in a market economic system. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of Why it might: economic information and clear and • may be unemployment logical analysis to evaluate economic • lack of welfare benefits issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than • likely to be income inequality the other, but overall both sides of the • merit goods including healthcare and education may be argument are considered and under-consumed and so underproduced developed. There is thoughtful • monopolies may develop resulting in higher prices. evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data Why it might not: appropriate to the question. The • competition / profit motive may result in low prices discussion may also point out the • efficiency is encouraged which can result in high wages possible uncertainties of alternative and high employment decisions and outcomes. • greater response to changes in consumer demand, may increase economic growth 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • countries with efficient private sector firms may have use of economic information and clear relative poverty but low absolute poverty. analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2024

3 In 2022, Paraguay’s production possibility curve (PPC) shifted to the right. Paraguay has a mixed economic system. Its government provides merit goods and public goods. The country’s private sector is a major producer of shampoo. The firms in the shampoo industry make use of division of labour. There are several firms in the industry, but the number is declining. There is a possibility that soon there may be just one firm in the industry. (a) Identify what is measured on the axes of a production possibility curve. [2] (b) Explain, with an example of each, the difference between a merit good and a public good. [4] (c) Analyse how division of labour can benefit firms. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not consumers would benefit from only one firm producing shampoo. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify what is measured on the axes of a production 2 Two types of products may be shown on the axes on a PPC possibility curve. diagram for two marks. (Output of) two types of product (2). If more than two items are given, consider the first three. Output (1) one type of product (1) another type of product (1). 3(b) Explain, with an example of each, the difference 4 One mark for an explanation of a merit good and one mark between a merit good and a public good. for an example of a merit good. One mark for an explanation of a public good and one mark Logical explanation which might include: for an example of a public good. A merit good is under-consumed / underproduced / Accept but do not expect reference to non-rejectable / zero consumers do not appreciate its full value / has external cost of producing an extra unit for a public good. benefits / can be produced by the private sector / can be produced by the private sector and the public sector / is a Allow public park. private good / is rival and excludable (1) e.g. education / healthcare / fruit (1). No mark for roads unless qualified by e.g. uncrowded roads A public good would not be produced by the private sector / with many entry and exit points. is (usually) supplied / produced by the government / funded by the government (1) non-excludable / non-rival (1) e.g. street lighting / defence / flood control (1). 3(c) Analyse how division of labour can benefit firms. 6 Coherent analysis which might include: • Workers can specialise (1) in what they are best at producing (1) save time / speed up production (1) reduce waste (1) reduce mistakes (1) increase productivity /skill / efficiency (1) increase output / supply (1) lower (average) cost (1). • Increase quality (1) lower prices (1) raise demand / increase sales (1) increase revenue (1) increase profits (1). • Make it easier to mechanise production (1) reduce labour required (1). • Reduce training / training costs (1) as reduce tasks undertaken / division of labour involves breaking production down into different tasks (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not consumers would benefit from 8 Level Description Marks only one firm producing shampoo. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic Why they might: information and clear and logical • one firm may be able to benefit from economies of scale analysis to evaluate economic issues • lower average cost may lead to lower prices and situations. One side of the argument • firm may spend a large amount on research and may have more depth than the other, but development due to high profits and security overall both sides of the argument are • quality of product may be high considered and developed. There is • less time / less effort choosing shampoo. thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information Why they might not: and/or data appropriate to the question. • lack of competition may drive up prices The discussion may also point out the • lack of choice possible uncertainties of alternative • if quality is poor, cannot switch to substitutes decisions and outcomes. • firm may experience diseconomies of scale. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use 3–5 of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no 0 creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2025

3 In April 2023, a French cosmetics firm merged with an Australian cosmetics firm. It is expected the merger will lower average total cost as the new firm is likely to benefit from greater internal economies of scale. A manager stated that a key aim is to make the firm’s production more sustainable by using raw materials taken from renewable sources. In most countries, the cosmetics firm’s products, including perfume, are taxed at a higher rate than food. (a) Define average total cost. [2] (b) Explain how using renewable raw materials may affect a firm’s profits. [4] (c) Analyse the internal economies of scale that a cosmetics firm could experience. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not perfume should be taxed at a higher rate than food. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define average total cost. 2 Total cost divided by output (2). Cost per unit (1). 3(b) Explain how using renewable raw materials may affect a 4 A simple statement that profits rise or fall with no relevant firm’s profits. explanation is 0 marks. Logical explanation which might include the following. Profits rising and profits falling can both be credited if each is explained. • Using renewable resources may be more expensive (1) increase costs of production (1) reduce profits (1). • Can advertise that renewable resources which create less pollution / improve environmental sustainability are being used (1) increase image of the firm (1) raise demand (1) increase profits (1). • Using renewable resources may be subsidised (1). May become cheaper to use renewable resources in the long run (1). • Resources will not be depleted / firms have a constant supply of raw materials (1) raise profits (1). 3(c) Analyse the internal economies of scale that a 6 Maximum of 3 marks for a list of different types of internal cosmetics firm could experience. economies of scale with no development / explanation. Coherent analysis which might include the following. • Buying / purchasing economies (1) buy ingredients in bulk at a discount (1). • Labour economies (1) workers specialising e.g. designing the packaging (1). • Managerial economies (1) e.g. specialist human resource manager (1). • Technical economies (1) advanced technology could be used to produce perfume (1). • Financial economies (1) the firm finding it cheaper / easier to borrow from banks (1). • Research and development economies (1) develop new perfumes (1). • Selling / marketing economies (1) lower average advertising costs (1). • Risk-bearing economies (1) selling perfume in more markets (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not perfume should be taxed at a 8 Level Description Marks higher rate than food. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic Why it should: information and clear and logical • perfume is a luxury whereas food is a necessity analysis to evaluate economic issues • rich spend more on perfume than the poor and situations. One side of the • taxing food more may increase poverty as poor spend a argument may have more depth than high proportion of their income on food the other, but overall, both sides of the • perfume is less likely than food to be a merit good argument are considered and • a higher price for perfume will not significantly contribute developed. There is thoughtful to inflation, not a significant item in CPI evaluation of economic concepts, • perfume may be imported while food may be supplied terminology, information and/or data by domestic firms. appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why it should not: possible uncertainties of alternative • demand for perfume may be elastic and so may not decisions and outcomes. raise much revenue. In contrast, inelastic demand for food so may raise high tax revenue 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • perfume may be an important domestic industry. Higher use of economic information and clear taxes may result in closure / unemployment analysis to evaluate economic issues • some food is a demerit good e.g. food with a high sugar and situations. The answer may lack content some depth and development may be • taxing demerit food may improve health one-sided. There is relevant use of • taxing food may reduce obesity. economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2025