Employment and unemployment — Paper 2 · IGCSE Economics (9-1) 0987

4 Economists are uncertain about the future United States (US) macroeconomic performance. For instance, in recent years, US unemployment has fallen while the deficit on the current account of the balance of payments has fluctuated. Whether its current account deficit will rise or fall in the future may be affected by proposed tax cuts. Some economists suggest that the US government should not be concerned about the country’s current account deficit. (a) Define macroeconomics. [2] (b) Explain two consequences to firms of unemployment. [4] (c) Analyse how tax cuts could increase exports. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a current account deficit on its balance of payments harms an economy. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define macroeconomics. 2 The study of the whole economy (2). Example of a macroeconomic topic e.g. unemployment/study of economics on a large scale (1). 4(b) Explain two consequences to firms of unemployment. 4 Logical explanation which might include: Lower demand (1) lower revenue (1). Lower ability to take advantage of economies of scale (1) due to lower output (1). Lower average costs (1) lower wages (1). Less risk of industrial action (1) workers afraid of losing their jobs (1). Greater ease of recruiting workers (1) reducing recruitment costs (1). 4(c) Analyse how tax cuts could increase exports. 6 Coherent analysis which might include: Lower indirect taxes could reduce costs of production (1) could encourage investment (1) use of more advanced technology/more efficient methods of production (1) which could lower prices / make prices more internationally competitive (1). Lower income tax could motivate workers (1) raise productivity (1) lower price of exports (1) raise quality of exports (1). Lower taxes in other countries (1) e.g. a lower tariff will encourage foreigners to purchase more exports (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not a current account deficit on its balance of 8 payments harms an economy. In assessing each answer, use the table below. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both 6–8 sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other but, overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic 3–5 information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions 1–2 and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable 0 content. Why it might: • income/demand is leaving the economy • employment will be lower than it could be • it may put downward pressure on the exchange rate • the country will get into debt • other countries may not be willing to lend to it / invest in the country. Why it might not: • deficit may be low / short term • enables the country to consume more than it produces • imports of raw materials and capital goods will increase output in the future.

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2020

5 Australian firms have been praised for introducing new technology. The actions of some of these firms, however, cause market failure. The Australian government uses subsidies, among other policies, to reduce market failure. Government spending is used both to improve the performance of individual markets and the macroeconomy. The Australian government increased its spending in 2017, in part to reduce unemployment. (a) State two objectives of firms. [2] (b) Explain how a subsidy can correct market failure. [4] (c) Analyse, using a production possibility curve (PPC) diagram, the effect of advances in technology on an economy. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not an increase in government spending will reduce unemployment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) State two objectives of firms. 2 One mark each for two from: survival, social welfare, profit maximisation and growth. 5(b) Explain how a subsidy can correct market failure. 4 Logical explanation which might include: A payment to increase production (1) and lower price (1) can increase consumption of merit goods (1) products with positive externalities (1) which are under-consumed if left to market forces (1) can be paid to private sector firms to produce public goods (1) would not be produced if left to market forces (1). 5(c) Analyse, using a production possibility curve (PPC) diagram, the effect 6 of advances in technology on an economy. Up to 4 marks for the diagram: Axes correctly drawn (1). Initial curve drawn as a curve or a downward sloping line to the axes (1). New curve drawn as a curve or a downward sloping line to the axes (1). Shift to the right indicated by arrow or lettering (1). Up to 2 marks for logical analysis: Advances in technology raise the quality of capital (1) increase productive capacity (1). 5(d) Discuss whether or not an increase in government spending will 8 reduce unemployment. In assessing each answer, use the table below. Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both 6–8 sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other but, overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic 3–5 information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions 1–2 and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable 0 content. Why it might: • may raise total (aggregate) demand, encouraging firms to hire more workers • may be spent on education which may increase people’s skills • may be spent on healthcare which may make people fitter and more employable • may be spent on subsidies to firms which will encourage them to increase output and take on more workers. Why it might not: • if spent on unemployment benefits, it may encourage some people to leave their jobs • if there is full employment, it will just cause inflation • spending on education may be ineffective e.g. develop the wrong skills • higher total (aggregate) demand may encourage firms to use more capital goods rather than labour.

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2020

3 In 2018, the US had its lowest unemployment rate for 18 years. Cyclical unemployment was very low and so was the rate of inflation. The US also experienced a rise in labour productivity. However, it did not do so well in reducing poverty. In 2018, approximately 12% of Americans were living in poverty. (a) Define cyclical unemployment. [2] (b) Explain two ways a firm could increase the productivity of its workers. [4] (c) Analyse the advantages of a low rate of inflation. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s unemployment rate will reduce poverty in that country. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define cyclical unemployment. • Workers without jobs (1) • due to a lack or fall in total (aggregate) demand (1) • more people unemployed than there are job vacancies (1) • in a recession / economic downturn (1). 2 Nothing for a fall in demand for a product. 3(b) Explain two ways a firm could increase the productivity of its workers. Logical explanation which might include: • Raise wages / performance related pay / commissions (1) increase motivation of workers (1). • Provide training (1) increase workers’ skills / efficiency (1). • Division of labour by firm (1) enables greater specialisation (1) • Buy capital goods / invest (1) workers will be working with better equipment (1). • Reduce working hours (1) workers may feel fresher / more alert (1). • Improve working conditions (1) reduce stress (1). • Subsidise workers’ healthcare (1) making them fitter / fewer days lost through illness (1). • Working from home (1) reduce stress from travelling (1). 4 One mark each for each of two ways identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse the advantages of a low rate of inflation. Coherent analysis which might include: • Low inflation means prices are still rising (1) but not a high rate (1). • May stop purchasing power being reduced too much / wages may keep pace with inflation (1). • May increase international price competitiveness (1) as may be below the inflation rate of other countries (1) increasing exports (1) reducing imports (1) improving the current account position (1). • May create greater certainty / stability (1) as costs may not be rising significantly (1) encouraging firms / MNCs to invest (1) increasing output / GDP (1) increasing employment / lowering unemployment (1). • May encourage saving (1) as real value may be maintained (1) provide funds for investment (1). • It may raise profit (1) if demand-pull (1) encouraging firms to expand (1) increasing employment / lowering unemployment (1). • May stop a random redistribution of income (1) protecting savers (1). • Low menu costs (1) reduce pressure on firms’ costs of production (1). 6 ‘Increasing employment / lowering unemployment’ can only be credited once. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s unemployment rate will reduce poverty in that country. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • increase the income of those who gain jobs • absolute poverty may be reduced with more people being able to buy basic necessities • tax revenue may rise • the government could spend more on benefits for the poor • the government could spend more on education, reducing future poverty Why it might not: • jobs may be part-time, low-paid, at national minimum wage • jobs may be seasonal • relative poverty may increase if extra jobs are gained by the well-paid • the unemployment rate may fall but unemployment may rise if there are more people in the labour force • may be more retired people living in poverty • sick and disabled people may not be able to get out of poverty • unemployment is only one of a number of factors affecting poverty • absolute poverty may remain 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2021

1 (a) Calculate Chile’s agricultural output in 2017. [1] (b) Identify two disadvantages of a country specialising. [2] (c) Explain one reason why demand for cherries is price-elastic. [2] (d) Explain how Chile’s population structure differs from Haiti’s population structure. [4] (e) Analyse why China buys most of its cherries from Chile. [4] (f) Analyse why Chilean astronomers are paid more than Chilean farm workers. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not Chilean consumers would benefit from more government intervention in the economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not the Haitian economy would benefit from fewer of its people working in Chile. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Chile’s agricultural output in 2017. $11.76bn / $11 760 000 000 / $11 760m (1). 1 Accept $11.8bn and $12bn. $ is not essential. 1(b) Identify two disadvantages of a country specialising. Two from: • demand may fall / new competitors may appear • supply/output may fall / diseases / natural disasters / bad weather may affect agricultural output / costs may rise • non-renewable resources may run out • structural unemployment may occur • reliance on imports no longer produced by home country / overdependency on other countries 2 One mark each for each of two disadvantages. Rely on a small number of industries is not sufficient. 1(c) Explain one reason why demand for cherries is price-elastic. A luxury product (1) they do not have to be purchased / not essential / not a necessity (1). Has close substitutes (1) example / rise in price will cause some people to switch to rival products (1). 2 In terms of close substitutes, also accept: fall in price will cause some people to switch towards this product and away from rival products. One mark for the reason identified and one mark for the explanation. A candidate who writes a luxury product and has close substitutes and no more has identified two reasons, so just one mark. If a candidate identifies one of the two reasons but does not explain it and then identifies the second reason and explains it, the second reason can be taken and with the explanation, 2 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Explain how Chile’s population structure differs from Haiti’s population structure. Logical explanation which might include: Chile has a higher proportion of its population aged over 65 / Haiti a lower proportion aged over 65 (1). Chile has a lower proportion of the population aged under 15 / Haiti has a higher proportion aged under 15 (1). Chile is likely to have a lower birth rate / Haiti is likely to have a higher birth rate (1). Chile likely to have a lower death rate / Haiti is likely to have a higher death rate (1). Chile’s population pyramid indicates a relatively high level of development/high income country / Haiti’s population pyramid indicates a relatively low level of development/low income country (1). Chile’s population pyramid is less pyramid shaped / more stationary / constrictive / bulges out in the middle / more egg-shaped / Haiti’s is more pyramid shaped / more expansive (1). Lower dependency ratio in Chile / higher dependency ratio in Haiti (1). Higher proportion of population of working age in Chile / lower proportion of population of working age in Haiti (1). Higher population size in Chile / lower population size in Haiti (1). 4 Accept for the first and second points other relevant age ranges e.g. over 60, under 10. Accept longer life expectancy for lower death rate and shorter life expectancy for higher death rate. Note that each country overall has more females than males, so not a difference. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Chile has a higher average age / older population / Haiti has a lower average age population / younger population (1). 1(e) Analyse why China buys most of its cherries from Chile. Coherent analysis which might include: Chile has high production standards (1) cherries are likely to be of a high quality (1). China does not impose tariffs on Chilean cherries (1) may keep their price low (1). 4 Free trade agreement on its own is not sufficient. 1(f) Analyse why Chilean astronomers are paid more than Chilean farm workers. Coherent analysis which might include: Most astronomers have a university degree (1) high cost of training/ long period of training (1) well qualified / well educated / high level of knowledge (1) highly productive / highly skilled / efficient (1) in short supply (1) high demand (1) more inelastic demand (1) more inelastic supply (1). Most work in the public sector (1) government may be more willing / able to pay higher wages (1) public sector workers are more likely to belong to a trade union (1) have stronger bargaining power (1). 5 Also accept an approach based on an analysis of why Chilean farm workers are paid less than Chilean astronomers. This may include reference to immigrant farm workers who may be prepared to accept relatively low wages and Chilean farm workers being replaced by capital equipment / more replaceable than astronomers. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not Chilean consumers would benefit from more government intervention in the economy. Award up to 4 marks for why they might: • evidence of market failure (1) • merit goods may be underproduced (1) as under- consumed (1) • demerit goods may be overproduced (1) as overconsumed (1) • external costs could be reduced (1) external benefits may be increased (1) external costs / external benefits are not taken into account by the private sector (1) • public goods may not be produced (1) no profit incentive to make them (1) as there can be free riders (1) • inequality (1) poor consumers may lose out / there may be poverty (1) resources may not be devoted to producing what the poor need (1) may not be able to afford prices charged (1) • government subsidies (1) can lower prices (1) • government could set maximum prices (1) lower prices of necessities (1) • government could control (private sector) monopoly power (1) prevent abuse of market power (1) • government investment in education (1) could lower prices / raise quality of output (1). Award up to 4 marks for why they might not: • government failure may occur (1) e.g. government may lack information (1). • market forces can provide wide choice of products (1) may be consumer sovereignty (1) 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Not taking lower taxes, lower subsidies or reduced immigration controls as a form of government intervention. Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 ... because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) • profit incentive (1) industries may respond to changes in consumer demand (1) • efficient industries (1) prices may be low (1) quality may be high (1) • government intervention in the form of nationalisation (1) may reduce competition (1). • government taxes / tariffs / regulation / minimum wages (1) may increase costs (1) raise prices (1) • maximum prices could reduce availability of products (1) • government limits on immigration (1) may reduce availability of products / raise prices (1) Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not the Haitian economy would benefit from fewer of its people working in Chile. Award up to 4 marks for why it might: • wages may be low in Chile (1) work involves unskilled labour (1) • employment may be rising in Haiti (1) the country could keep more of its skilled workers (1) • larger labour force / more workers (1) higher total demand (1) increase GDP / increase economic growth / increase productive potential (1) increase living standards (1) increase exports (1) • rise in the numbers employed in Haiti could increase tax revenue (1) may enable more spending on e.g. education (1) • fewer parents may leave behind dependent relatives (1) reduce burden on the government (1) • jobs could be found in other countries (1) Award up to 4 marks for why it might not: • wages may be higher in Chile (1) fewer emigrant workers may send money home (1) living standards may be lower (1) lower spending (1) • less money coming into the country (1) may increase a current account deficit (1) • job opportunities may be higher in Chile (1) unemployment may rise in Haiti (1) • if unemployment rises in Haiti, cost of unemployment benefits may rise (1) opportunity cost / higher taxation (1) • opportunities to gain new skills may be reduced (1) these skills could be brought back into the country (1) 6 For an approach which discusses whether or not the Haitian economy benefits from its people working in Chile, award a maximum of 3 marks. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) • may reduce pressure to invest / spend on capital equipment (1) reduce advances in technology / reduce increases in efficiency / productivity (1) • may increase overcrowding / overpopulation (1) increase external costs / pollution (1) pressure on resources (1).

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2021

2 Nearly one million people in Cairo, the capital city of Egypt, live in crowded, unhealthy housing. One reason why people lack basic necessities, including adequate housing, is unemployment. In 2019, nearly 10% of Cairo’s workers did not have a job. Other citizens of Cairo live in luxury, in houses costing more than $1 million. Many of Cairo’s rich adults grew up in rich families. (a) Identify two basic necessities, other than housing. [2] (b) Explain how frictional unemployment differs from cyclical unemployment. [4] (c) Analyse why the children of the rich tend to become rich adults. [6] (d) Discuss whether a government should provide subsidies to families to spend on housing. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify two basic necessities, other than housing. Two from e.g.: Food, water, clothing, healthcare and education. 2 Accept any relevant basic necessity e.g. heating or electricty. If more than two examples given, only consider the first three. 2(b) Explain how frictional unemployment differs from cyclical unemployment. Logical explanation which might include: Frictional unemployment arises from people being in between jobs (1) may be waiting for a better paid job / may be seasonally unemployed / may have worked on a short-term contract / may lack information about vacancies (1) may exist even when there is full employment / may be self-correcting (1). Cyclical unemployment is caused by a lack of total (aggregate) demand (1) more people unemployed than there are job vacancies (1) may arise from a recession / economic downturn (1) may need government action to reduce it (1). Frictional unemployment would be reduced by a rise in labour mobility (1) cyclical unemployment would not be (1). Frictional unemployment may be short term (1) cyclical unemployment may be long term (1). 4 Up to 2 marks for each type of unemployment. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(c) Analyse why the children of the rich tend to become rich adults. Coherent analysis which might include: The children of the rich tend to receive a good education (1) may not have to take part-time jobs / not have to help in family business when studying / not have to leave school early (1) become well qualified / well educated / gain high level of knowledge (1) become highly skilled / productive / efficient (1) find it is relatively easy to find employment / get a good job (1) well-paid (1). The children of the rich tend to receive good health care (1) good nutrition (1) have good housing (1) unlikely to miss time at school (1) unlikely to miss time at work (1) income will be high (1). The children of the rich tend to have high expectations (1) apply for better jobs (1). The children of the rich may inherit e.g. property (1) may gain income from e.g. inherited property / business / savings (1). Rich parents may have connections with e.g. bosses of major employers (1) more likely to gain high paid work (1). 6 Note the focus here is on the children of the rich so no marks for e.g. the children of the poor may lack education. Reference to highly skilled / productive or efficient may be linked to education, healthcare or nutrition but can only be credited once. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether a government should provide subsidies to families to spend on housing. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might: • will increase the spending power of families who receive it • may increase quantity supplied • may give low-income families access to a basic necessity, reducing poverty • may enable families to spend more on e.g. education • may increase employment / reduce unemployment, creating jobs building housing / increase labour mobility • may increase quality of housing and so improve health Why it might not: • rich can already afford housing • some families may not spend it on housing • may be inflationary, demand increasing for housing and e.g. furniture, carpets • opportunity cost • taxes may be raised to finance subsidy • building more houses may result in environmental damage 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall both sided of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at u sing economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2021

2 There was a significant increase in the money supply in Angola in 2019. The National Bank of Angola was concerned that this would keep inflation above 17% and harm Angola’s producers. The Angolan government had concentrated on reducing unemployment, which had fallen from 10% in 2010 to 7% in 2019. (a) Identify two forms of money. [2] (b) Explain two functions a central bank performs for its government. [4] (c) Analyse why a government may have lower unemployment as its main aim. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not inflation will harm producers. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify two forms of money. Two from: coins (1) bank notes / paper money (1) bank deposits / accounts (1) digital money (1). 2 Do not accept credit cards, debit cards or cheques. If more than two forms are given, consider the first three. Accept cash instead of coins and/or bank notes/paper money for 1 mark. Also accept commodity money, fiat money/legal tender and fiduciary money. Reward but do not expect identification of reserves at the central bank. Also accept examples of items that have been used as money e.g., salt, gold. Accept a currency as alternative to either coins or paper money. 2(b) Explain two functions a central bank performs for its government. Logical explanation which might include: The central bank acts as a banker for the government (1) it accepts tax payments to the government / provides facilities for the government to make payments / manages the national debt / lends to the government (1). It operates the government’s monetary policy (1) e.g. changing interest rates / to influence inflation (1). It holds reserves of foreign currency (1) to influence the foreign exchange rate (1). It manages the government’s debt (1) issuing government securities / paying interest on government securities (1). It issues bank notes (1) influencing the money supply (1). It may regulate commercial banks / banking system (1) to ensure they act responsibly (1). It acts as a lender of last resort (1) lending to commercial banks / to prevent banks going out of business / a financial collapse (1). 4 One mark for each of two functions identified and one mark for each explanation. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(c) Analyse why a government may have lower unemployment as its main aim. Coherent analysis which might include: Unemployment may be at a high level (1) unemployment is an inefficient use of resources / waste of resources (1) not working at full capacity (1). Lower unemployment would increase output / economic growth (1) raise incomes / GDP per head (1) increase living standards (1) reduce poverty / more able to buy basic necessities (1) may reduce the crime rate (1) may increase exports (1). Lower unemployment will increase total demand / increase consumer spending / increase spending (1) increase tax revenue (1) lower government spending on unemployment benefits (1) increase the government’s ability to spend on (e.g. education) / reduce budget deficit / government spending on unemployment benefits involves an opportunity cost (1). Lower unemployment may reduce the chances of workers losing skills (1) being in work keeps workers up to date with e.g. advances in technology (1). 6 Accept an answer from the viewpoint of why unemployment may be harmful e.g., a government may want lower unemployment as unemployment reduces economic growth. Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) Discuss whether or not inflation will harm producers. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it might:  may increase costs of production – cost-push inflation – reducing profit  may reduce international competitiveness  may cause menu costs  may cause shoe leather costs  may make it difficult to plan ahead. Why it might not:  may be demand-pull inflation, increasing firms’ revenue  may be low and stable  may be lower than other countries’ inflation rates, increasing price competitiveness  may enable them to reduce real wages  may increase tax revenue, some of which may be spent on e.g. subsidies  cost of debt may fall / may be cheaper to borrow (in real terms)  some producers may be making products with inelastic demand. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 68 Question Answer Marks Guidance 2(d) 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 35 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 12 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2022

3 In 2019, Russia had an unemployment rate of 4.6%. Russia experienced full employment in the past. Its government wants unemployment to be lower. In 2018, the Russian government cut its spending which may have increased poverty. In both 2018 and 2019, the government did not change its income tax rate. Russia operates a proportional tax rate system. (a) Define full employment. [2] (b) Explain the difference between a proportional income tax system and a progressive income tax system. [4] (c) Analyse why a cut in government spending might increase poverty. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s unemployment rate always benefits workers. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define full employment. 2 One mark for idea of full employment of resources e.g. all workers in employment. The lowest unemployment possible (very low percentage) / job vacancies matching the number unemployed (2). Low unemployment (1). May still be some workers in between jobs / some frictional unemployment (1). Zero unemployment (1). 3(b) Explain the difference between a proportional income 4 Three marks maximum for proportional income tax system tax system and a progressive income tax system. and three marks maximum for progressive income tax system. Logical explanation which might include: Proportional income tax system takes the same percentage / proportion of income (1) from all income groups (1). In a proportional income tax rate system, the tax rate does not change (1) as income changes (1) has no effect on the distribution of income (1). Progressive income tax system takes a larger percentage / smaller percentage (1) of the income of the rich / the poor / places a larger burden on the rich (1) helps redistribute income from the rich to the poor / reduces the gap between rich and poor / may be used to promote equity (1). In a progressive income tax rate system, the tax rate increases (1) as income increases (1). 3(c) Analyse why a cut in government spending might 6 increase poverty. Coherent analysis which might include: A cut in government spending might reduce total demand (1) increasing unemployment (1) reducing incomes (1). Government spending on subsidies to firms might be reduced (1) which may raise prices (1). Government spending on education might be reduced (1) this might cause a decrease in skills (1) reducing wages (1) may lead to vicious cycle of poverty (1). Government spending on healthcare might be reduced (1) lowering productivity and wages (1). Government spending on state / unemployment benefits might be reduced (1) reducing goods and services that can be bought (1). Government spending on state pensions might be reduced (1) the old may not be able to buy basic necessities (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not a fall in a country’s 8 Level Description Marks unemployment rate always benefits workers. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of Why it might be: economic information and clear and • increase choice of jobs logical analysis to evaluate economic • increase wages issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than • raise living standards the other, but overall both sided of the • increase job security argument are considered and • competition for workers may raise working conditions developed. There is thoughtful • more may be spent on training. evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data Why it might not be: appropriate to the question. The • may be result of workers leaving the labour force e.g. discussion may also point out the emigrating possible uncertainties of alternative • may not benefit all workers as some may still be decisions and outcomes. unemployed • may not be high quality jobs 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • may be low-paid jobs use of economic information and clear • may be temporary jobs analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack • may cause inflation reducing real wages. some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2022

1 (a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. [1] (b) Identify two substitutes for coal. [2] (c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal-mining firm. [2] (d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. [4] (f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Australia’s unemployment rate in 2021. 4% Allow 4 without percentage 1(b) Identify two substitutes for coal. Two from:  gas  offshore wind / wind power  solar power / panels 2 1(c) Explain one economy of scale that could benefit a coal- mining firm. Managerial / labour economy (1) employing specialist workers e.g. mining engineers (1). Technical economy (1) employing efficient / technologically advanced equipment e.g. drones (1). External economy of scale (1) example e.g. skilled labour force (1). 2 One mark for the economy of scale identified and one mark for an explanation. 1(d) Explain two influences on the price elasticity of supply of coal. Storage time (1) expensive to store so inelastic supply (1). Construction of new mine / production time (1) takes a long time, so inelastic supply (1). Stocks (1) may make supply elastic (1). 4 One mark each for each of two influences identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show how setting a maximum price below the equilibrium price will affect a market. Demand and supply diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). Price line set below the equilibrium (1). Demand shown as greater than supply (1) e.g. has the two dotted lines downwards (it does not have to be labelled Qs and Qd). 4 Note: Accept unlabelled price line / line drawn only to demand curve. Accept shortage if correctly identified on the diagram. Do not accept demand greater than supply if demand and supply curves are incorrectly drawn Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse whether large coal-producing countries are likely to be net exporters of coal. Coherent analysis which might include: Expected outcome: Large coal-producing countries may have a surplus to sell / may have grown their production in order to sell abroad (1) most of the evidence supports this relationship (1). Supporting evidence: Five of the seven countries consume less coal than they produce (1) calculation e.g. US could have exported 11 million tonnes / Australia could have exported 394 million tonnes or simply the difference (1). Analysis: Countries that produce more coal than they consume may benefit from economies of scale / can export because their prices are low (1). Exceptions: China or India are an exception (1) as they consumed more coal than they produced (1). Analysis: They may have been net importers (1) since had used up stocks of coal / need more energy as a developing country (1) may not be able to export coal if world demand for coal is low / countries may both import and export coal (1). 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal outcome, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not an increase in the size of its coal industry will benefit the Australian economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  may increase GDP / economic growth (1) increasing living standards / raise incomes / reduce poverty (1)  may reduce unemployment (1) structural unemployment (1)  may improve current account position / have a surplus (1) as Australia seems to be a net exporter of coal (1)  may increase tax revenue (1) increasing government’s ability to spend (1)  economies of scale (1) result in lower prices for households and industries (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may increase pollution (1) lowering living standards / cause health issues (1) reduce tourism / negative impact on current account (1)  other forms of power may not be developed (1) example (1)  some workers may leave other jobs (1) these jobs may have better working conditions (1)  coal mining is a relatively dangerous industry (1) so life expectancy may be reduced / creates chronic illnesses / workers unable to work (1).  Global demand for coal may fall (1) impact upon Australia e.g. unsold stock (1).  May rapidly deplete stocks (1) leading to lower exports (1) and less employment (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease … 1 … because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not Australia is likely to have a budget deficit in 2026. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  unemployment is forecast to increase (1) so there may be more government spending on unemployment benefits (1) less income tax revenue (1)  there may be more government spending on retraining unemployed workers (1)  some of the rise in population may result in more government spending (1) e.g. on pensions / healthcare / education (up to 2 marks)  budget deficit in previous years (1) would mean interest would have to be paid on the debt that has built up (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  population and the labour force are forecast to increase (1) so there may be more taxpayers / fewer claiming benefits (1)  tax revenue may rise (1) due to higher profits / higher tax rates (1)  GDP is forecast to increase (1) more people in work (1) which would be likely to increase direct and indirect tax revenue (1)  state support for industries may fall (1) may have been high in 2021 due to Covid-19 (1). 6

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2023

5 In Greece, rich households spend more than the average household. The amount of spending in an economy influences whether its production point is on or inside its production possibility curve (PPC). In 2020, household spending in Greece fell. This affected some firms’ plans to merge. It also increased unemployment. More than half of those unemployed in Greece had been unemployed for more than a year. (a) Identify two reasons why rich households spend more than the average household. [2] (b) Explain the significance of a production point inside a PPC and a production point on its PPC. [4] (c) Analyse why someone who has been unemployed for more than a year may not get another job. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a government should encourage firms to merge. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 5(a) Identify two reasons why rich households spend more than the average household. Two from:  higher incomes  find it easier to borrow  more confidence  more savings / more wealth  high cost of luxury goods and services  maintaining / showing status  rich households may choose to have large families 2 If more than two reasons are given, consider the first three. 5(b) Explain the significance of a production point inside a PPC and a production point on its PPC. Logical explanation which might include: A point inside a PPC means output is lower than potentially achievable (1) there are unemployed resources / there is inefficient use of resources (1). A point on a PPC means output is at its maximum (1) all resources are employed / full employment / there is efficient use of resources (1). A production point shows a combination of goods produced (1) example e.g. X capital goods and Y consumer goods (1). 4 One mark each for each of two significances identified and one mark each for each of two explanations. Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(c) Analyse why someone who has been unemployed for more than a year may not get another job. Coherent analysis which might include: May lose skills (1) qualifications may become out of date (1) may experience ill-health (1) lack of recent job experience (1) high cost of retraining (1) may become less attractive to employers (1). Skills may be outdated (1) industry in decline (1) will need retraining (1). Economy could be in recession (1) with high number of people unemployed and few vacancies (1). May lose confidence / become discouraged / depressed (1) put less effort into finding another job (1). Unemployed workers may be occupationally immobile (1) geographically immobile (1). Unemployment/welfare benefits may be high (1) may be above low wages / maybe sufficient to live on (1). May face discrimination (1) on grounds of e.g. age (1). May retire (1) and leave the labour force (1). 6 Question Answer Marks Guidance 5(d) Discuss whether or not a government should encourage firms to merge. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it should:  may result in economies of scale  lower average costs of production  lower prices for consumers  raise quality of products  increase international competitiveness and improve current account  improved performance may increase profits and corporation tax Why it should not:  may result in diseconomies of scale  may increase monopoly power / reduce competition  raise prices  may reduce innovation  rationalisation may result in some workers losing their jobs  should be left to market forces to decide. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2023

3 Canada’s private sector firms have a number of different objectives. The quantity and quality of land used by these firms, including farms, has increased. There has also been increased investment with the firms buying more capital goods. In 2021, the Canadian government encouraged higher investment and aimed to prevent a rise in unemployment. (a) Identify two objectives of private sector firms. [2] (b) Explain one reason why the quantity of land may increase and one reason why the quality of land may increase. [4] (c) Analyse how an increase in investment may affect unemployment. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a government should try to prevent a rise in unemployment. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Identify two objectives of private sector firms. Two from:  profit (maximisation)  growth / high sales  greater market share / market dominance  survival  improving the environment 2 Reward but do not expect profit satisficing, revenue maximisation, sales maximisation. Allow social welfare. If more than two objectives given, consider the first three. 3(b) Explain one reason why the quantity of land may increase and one reason why the quality of land may increase. Logical explanation which might include: Quantity of land Reclamation (1) creating land from the sea (1). Reduction in overfishing / hunting (1) restoring stocks of fish / wildlife (1). Reduction in flooding (1) avoiding soil erosion (1). Discovery of new natural resources (1) e.g. of oil (1). Quality of land Use of fertilisers (1) raising productivity / efficiency / fertility of land (1). Reduction in pollution (1) preventing damage / diseases (1). Good weather (1) raising productivity efficiency / fertility of land (1). Better equipment / more advanced technology (1) raising productivity efficiency / fertility of land (1). 4 One mark for identifying one reason why the quantity of land may increase and one mark for explaining that reason. One mark for identifying one reason why the quality of land may increase and one mark for explaining that reason. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(c) Analyse how an increase in investment may affect unemployment. Coherent analysis which might include: Spending on capital goods (1) will increase total demand (1) firms may expand their output / new firms may set up / economic growth may occur (1) (may need more workers) to work with the capital equipment / demand for labour may increase / need more workers / increase job opportunities (1) this can reduce cyclical (1) unemployment (1). Investment in education / training/ healthcare / research and development (1) can raise productivity / skills (1) increase mobility (1) reduce structural unemployment (1). Investment in infrastructure (1) increase geographical mobility (1) reduce structural unemployment (1). It could cause unemployment (1) as capital goods may replace workers / production may become more capital- intensive / demand for workers may decrease (1) capital goods can be a substitute for labour (1) cause technological unemployment (1). 6 Credit fall in unemployment / rise in unemployment only once (1). Reference to cyclical / structural / technological (unemployment) can be given an additional mark in each case if linked to a relevant point. Question Answer Marks Guidance 3(d) Discuss whether or not a government should try to prevent a rise in unemployment. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Why it should:  may increase output / economic growth  increase tax revenue  reduce spending on unemployment benefit  reduce living standards / poverty Why it should not:  unemployment may be low  reduction in unemployment may cause inflation  the resulting higher incomes may cause a current account deficit  unemployment can create flexibility  opportunity cost of government policy measures  a government may have other objectives. 8 Level Description Marks 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic information and clear and logical analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. One side of the argument may have more depth than the other, but overall, both sides of the argument are considered and developed. There is thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. 6–8 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3–5 1 There is a simple attempt at using economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 1–2 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no creditable content. 0

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2023

3 In 2020, some firms in Suriname, a South American country, stopped production. This was because the firms could not cover their variable costs, as well as some of their fixed costs. The reduction in the country’s output resulted in a rise in its unemployment rate. The government used supply-side policy measures to reduce unemployment. In 2021, the number of firms in some markets fell again, but this time it was when output was rising. (a) Define, with an example, a fixed cost. [2] (b) Explain two types of unemployment. [4] (c) Analyse how supply-side policy measures could reduce unemployment. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not having fewer firms in a market will benefit consumers. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 3(a) Define, with an example, a fixed cost. 2 Not sufficient to state a cost that does not change. A cost that does not change with output / a cost that has to Accepting electricity / electricity bills and wages. be paid even when output is zero (1) e.g. rent (1). 3(b) Explain two types of unemployment. 4 Allow explanation of two types of frictional unemployment i.e. search, casual or seasonal and two types of structural Logical explanation which might include: unemployment i.e. regional and technological. Also allow • frictional unemployment (1) workers in between jobs voluntary and involuntary. (1) • structural unemployment (1) changes in demand and One mark each for each of two types identified and one supply conditions / skills not matching vacancies / mark each for each of two explanations. lack of labour mobility (1) • cyclical / demand-deficient unemployment (1) lack of total demand / occurs during a recession (1) 3(c) Analyse how supply-side policy measures could reduce 6 Reward the same point e.g. ‘raise productivity’ only once. unemployment. Coherent analysis which might include: Accept lower interest rate if linked to encouraging investment. Education (1) can increase qualifications / literacy rate (1) training (1) can increase skills / productivity / quality of labour (1) raise mobility / increase job opportunities (1) reduce structural unemployment (1). Lower income tax (1) reduce unemployment benefit (1) increases the incentive for the unemployed to find work quickly (1) reduce frictional unemployment (1). Lower corporation tax / tax incentives (1) encourage firms to invest / expand output (1). Privatisation (1) deregulation (1) can increase efficiency (1) reduce firms’ costs (1) enabling firms to afford more workers (1). Reform of trade unions / labour market reforms (1) Deregulation / removing labour regulations (1) making it easier to hire and fire workers (1). Government spending on infrastructure (1) can reduce firms’ costs of production / reduce transport costs (1) encouraging firms to expand (1) increase labour mobility (1). Minimum wage legislation (1) reducing may encourage employer to employ more workers / increasing may encourage the unemployed to search more actively for work (1). Subsidies (1) encouraging firms to expand / prevent firms going out of business (1). Better/more healthcare (1) can increase productivity / reduce working time lost (1). 3(d) Discuss whether or not having fewer firms in a market 8 will benefit consumers. Level Description Marks In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 accurately examines both sides of Why it might: the economic argument, making • firms may be larger, may be able to benefit from use of economic information and economies of scale clear and logical analysis to • economies of scale may include e.g. financial, evaluate economic issues and managerial, technical situations. One side of the • lower costs may result in lower prices argument may have more depth • firms may have more market power - firms may make than the other, but overall, both more profit and may reinvest which can improve quality sides of the argument are • firms may have moved to another market in response to considered and developed. There changes in consumer demand is thoughtful evaluation of • firms that were creating pollution and other external economic concepts, terminology, costs may close down information and/or data appropriate • may reduce the time consumers spend shopping to the question. The discussion around may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative decisions and outcomes. Why it might not: • firms may experience diseconomies of scale 2 A reasoned discussion which 3–5 • diseconomies of scale may include e.g. communication makes use of economic information problems, control problems and poor industrial relations and clear analysis to evaluate • less choice economic issues and situations. • lack of competition / move towards monopoly resulting The answer may lack some depth and development may be one- in lower quality and higher prices sided. There is relevant use of • lower availability. economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 3(d) 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded 0 for no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2023

1 (a) Calculate the price elasticity of demand for coffee. [1] (b) Identify two rewards to factors of production in Nicaragua. [2] (c) Explain one way in which unemployment is measured. [2] (d) Explain two functions of money in Nicaragua. [4] (e) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of the labour force employed in agriculture and GDP per head. [4] (f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a drought could affect the market for coffee. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not small firms benefit Nicaraguan consumers. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not Nicaragua should devote more of its resources to coffee production. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate the price elasticity of demand for coffee. () 0.3 (1) 1(b) Identify two rewards to factors of production in Nicaragua. Wages (1) profits (1) 2 Only accept these answers if within the first three listed. 1(c) Explain one way in which unemployment is measured. Claimant count (1) based on workers claiming unemployment benefits (1). OR Labour force survey (1) asking people if they are out of work and looking for employment (1). 2 One mark for a way identified and one mark for an explanation. 1(d) Explain two functions of money in Nicaragua. Medium of exchange (1) used to buy and sell products / used to trade (1). Store of value (1) used to save / keeps its value over a period of time (1). 4 One mark each for each of two functions identified and one mark for each of two explanations. Only accept these answers if within the first three listed. Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(e) Analyse the relationship between the percentage of the labour force employed in agriculture and GDP per head. Coherent analysis which might include: Relationship: Inverse or negative relationship / move in opposite directions (1). Countries with a high percentage of their labour force employed in agriculture tend to have a low GDP per head (1). Supporting evidence: The four countries with the lowest % of the labour force employed in agriculture had the highest GDP per head (1). Specific reference to one or more countries e.g. Bahamas had the lowest % employed in agriculture and the highest GDP per head (1). Use of GDP per head data to show comparison between country with high employment in agriculture and one with low percentage employment in agriculture (1). Analysis of expected relationship: Wages may be low in agriculture (1) wages / value added tends to be higher in the secondary and / or tertiary sector (1). Exception: Nicaragua / Dominica (1) Nicaragua has the second highest % of labour force employed in agriculture but the lowest GDP per head / Dominica had the highest % of labour force employed in agriculture but the second to lowest GDP (1). Analysis of exception: Explanation of another influence on GDP per head (1). 4 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Note the four are: Bahamas Barbados Costa Rica Saint Lucia Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how a drought could affect the market for coffee. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New supply curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). Written analysis: A drought will lead to a shortage / will increase costs of production (1). OR The lower supply will push up price / reduce quantity (traded) (1). 5 Question Answer Mark Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not small firms benefit Nicaraguan consumers. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why they might, which may include:  know customers’ requirements (1) provide a personal service / see them often (1) may be flexible (1)  may be many small firms / competitive markets (1) prices may be low (1) quality may be high (1) may offer wider choice collectively than a few large firms (1)  may provide products for which there is only a low demand (1) niche market (1)  makes goods more accessible in rural areas (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  may not be able to take advantage of economies of scale (1) examples (1) higher average cost of production (1) higher price (1)  small firms may have lower profits (1) may limit investment / funds available (1) fail to raise quality (1)  may limit choice (1) individual small firms may have a limited range of products (1) cannot provide all that consumers may want (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS  1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease… 1 ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Only reward reference to quality or prices once. 1(h) Discuss whether or not Nicaragua should devote more of its resources to coffee production. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should, which may include:  global demand for coffee is increasing (1) demand for coffee is price inelastic (1) revenue / profits may increase (1) more tax revenue for government (1)  firms grow in size (1) greater specialisation / economies of scale may reduce average costs (1) raise quality (1) increase profits (1) more competitive (1)  exports may increase (1) improve the current account of its balance of payments (1) lead to economic growth/higher standard of living (1)  may lead to more job opportunities (1) less poverty / less government payments to unemployed (1)  already twelfth biggest world producer (1) growth will give them more monopoly power (1) more power to raise price of coffee (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not, which may include:  other countries produce coffee (1) these may be more competitive (1)  output may be affected by changes in weather (1) natural disasters (1) overproduction can exhaust land (1) leading to lower yields in future (1)  opportunity cost (1) resources could be used to produce other products (1) example (1) coffee workers only receive low pay (1)  world market for coffee may fall / demand is unpredictable (1) resulting in surplus capacity / wasted resources (1)  become more dependent on other countries for imports of other (agricultural) products (1)  firms may suffer from diseconomies of scale (1) reduce profits (1). 6 Do not expect, but reward reference to absolute or comparative advantage.

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2024

1 (a) Calculate Tunisia’s balance on the current account of its balance of payments. [1] (b) Identify two qualities of a good tax that the Tunisian government aimed to achieve. [2] (c) Explain one reason why the Tunisian government regulates the price of flour and milk. [2] (d) Explain two ways the Tunisian government tried to reduce frictional unemployment. [4] (e) Analyse the relationship between the change in Tunisia’s average wage and inflation rate. [4] (f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in wage costs would affect the market for shoes. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the Tunisian government should continue to subsidise electricity production. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not a rise in the value of the Tunisian dinar would benefit the Tunisian economy. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: 1(a) Calculate Tunisia’s balance on the current account of its balance of payments. –$2.4bn 1 Accept –2.4bn. Also accept –6.8 or –6.9 billion TND. 1(b) Identify two qualities of a good tax that the Tunisian government aimed to achieve. Efficiency / efficient / the tax should improve market performance / reduce market failure (1). Economical / economy / the tax should raise more in revenue than it costs to collect it (1). 2 If more than 2 qualities are given, consider the first 3. 1(c) Explain one reason why the Tunisian government regulates the price of flour and milk. Reduce poverty (1) flour and milk are basic necessities / essential products / people may be able to buy enough basic necessities / make them affordable / keep price relatively low (1). Or Prevent monopoly firms exploiting their market power (1) stop the firms raising price to a high level (1). 2 One mark for a reason identified and one mark for an explanation. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(d) Explain two ways the Tunisian government tried to reduce frictional unemployment. Logical explanation which might include: Increased the labour market information available to workers and employers (1) so workers would be more aware of job vacancies / skills and qualifications required / employers more aware of those seeking jobs / may enable workers to move more quickly/easily between jobs / reduce search time / increase mobility of workers (1). Did not raise unemployment benefit (in line with inflation) (1) so, the purchasing power of unemployment benefit would fall / increase the incentive to work (1). 4 One mark for each of two ways identified and one mark for each of two explanations. If more than 2 ways are given, consider the first 3. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(e) Analyse the relationship between the change in Tunisia’s average wage and the inflation rate. Relationship (up to 2 marks) Direct relationship / positive relationship (1) as change in the average wage increases so does the inflation rate / if change in average wage / rise in average wage falls so does the inflation rate / both fall and rose together / same trend (1). Evidence (up to 3 marks) 2016 – 2017 / 2018 both the average wage / change in average wage and inflation rate rose (1). Between 2014 – 2018, the average wage rose more rapidly than the inflation rate (1) real wages would have increased between 2014 – 2018 (1). Between 2018 – 2020 / in 2019 – 2020, the inflation rate was higher than the rise in the average wage (1) real wages would have fallen (1). Between 2014 – 2015/2016 / 2018 – 2019/2020 both the change in average wage and inflation rate fell (1). 2018 had the highest rise in the average wage and the highest inflation (1). 2016 had the lowest increase in the inflation rate but not the lowest increase in the average wage / 2020 had the lowest increase in the average wage but not the lowest inflation rate (1). Over the whole period the inflation rate rose while the increase in the average wage fell (1). Explanation (up to 2 marks) A rise in the average wage may increase costs of production / cause cost push inflation / a higher inflation rate will encourage workers to press for a wage rise (1). A rise in the average wage may increase disposable income / consumer expenditure / total demand / cause demand-pull inflation (1). 4 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Note: average wage did not fall. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in wage costs would affect the market for shoes. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New supply curve shifted to the left (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). Written analysis: An increase in wage costs would increase costs of production which may raise price (1). 5 Note: higher price needs to be linked to higher costs of production/higher costs/higher wage costs. Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(g) Discuss whether or not the Tunisian government should continue to subsidise electricity production. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  reduce costs of producing electricity (1) increase supply of electricity (1) lower price of electricity (1) make electricity more affordable / reduce poverty (1)  lower costs of firms that use electricity (1) which may encourage them to expand / attract MNCs / increase output / increase GDP / cause economic growth (1) increase employment / lower unemployment (1)  reduce inflation / firms lower prices (1) make Tunisia’s products more internationally competitive / increase exports / lower imports / improve the current account balance (1)  may reduce pollution / external costs (1) if subsidising green sources of energy (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  electricity firms may rely on the subsidy (1) may not keep costs low / become inefficient (1) may not pass on the subsidy in the form of lower price (1)  opportunity cost (1) government could spend money on e.g. healthcare (1)  may result in a budget deficit / increase in taxes (1)  may cause pollution / external costs (1) if e.g. coal powered / deplete non-renewable resources (1). 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. Generic example Mark Tax revenue may decrease… 1 ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 Tax revenue may increase because incomes may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous argument. 0 Tax revenue may increase because of a different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending on subsidies may stimulate the economy more than spending on education. 1 Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(h) Discuss whether or not a rise in the value of the Tunisian dinar would benefit the Tunisian economy. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include:  may reduce inflation (1) imports would be cheaper (1) enable households to buy more imports / higher purchasing power (1) more choice (1) may lower price of some raw materials and/or capital goods (1) increase competitive pressure on domestic firms (1) lower costs of production (1)  lower total (aggregate) demand (1) which may reduce demand-pull inflation (1)  may be taken as an indicator of a strong economy / increase confidence (1) encourage investment / attract MNCs (1)  if demand for exports is price inelastic, export revenue may rise (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include:  higher export prices / may reduce exports / export revenue (1) lower price of imports (1) may increase imports / import expenditure (1) reduce international competitiveness (1) increase the deficit / reduce surplus on the current account of Tunisia’s balance of payments (1)  lower net exports may reduce GDP / economic growth (1) which may increase unemployment / reduce employment (1)  may discourage MNCs / investment (1) because of higher cost of setting up in the country (1). 6 Note: lower total demand may be credited on either side but only once. Note: the generic advice above in terms of MNCs. One mark for attract or discourage MNCs. Another mark could be gained by explaining why they may be attracted and another mark for explaining why they may be discouraged.

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2024

1 (a) Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force employed in the secondary sector. [1] (b) Identify two components of the current account of Jordan’s balance of payments. [2] (c) Explain the main type of unemployment experienced by Jordan in 2020. [2] (d) Explain two advantages the Jordanian economy may gain from the mergers between its tourism firms. [4] (e) Analyse the relationship between birth rate and average age. [4] (f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an increase in population size will affect the market for clothing. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian government should spend more on renewable energy. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian central bank should have raised the rate of interest in 2021. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the percentage of the Jordanian labour force 1 Accept 19. employed in the secondary sector. 19% (1). 1(b) Identify two components of the current account of 2 If more than two suggested components are given, consider Jordan’s balance of payments. the first three. Trade in services (1) primary income (1). Accept invisibles for trade in services. 1(c) Explain the main type of unemployment experienced by 2 Faill in demand is not sufficient here for fall in total demand Jordan in 2020. as total demand is given in the source material – must be macro. Cyclical unemployment (1) lower total demand / fall in employment in most industries / number of workers greater Accept ‘demand deficient unemployment for cyclical than the number of jobs available (1). unemployment. 1(d) Explain two advantages the Jordanian economy may 4 One mark each for each of two advantages identified and gain from the mergers between its tourism firms. one mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Lower prices may be linked to either ‘raise output’ etc. or Lower prices (1) may raise output/GDP/employment/living ‘raise exports’ etc. standards / may be the result of taking advantage of Similarly higher quality may be linked to ‘raise exports etc.’ economies of scale (1). or ‘raise output etc.’. Higher quality (1) may raise exports / reduce current account deficit / increase international competitiveness / increase tourism revenue / more foreign currency / may be the result of sharing ideas (1). 1(e) Analyse the relationship between birth rate and average 4 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but age. they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, Coherent analysis which might include: and analyse the overall data. Expected relationship (up to 2 marks): Accept analysis based on how differences in the average of Countries with a low birth rate are likely to have a high population may affect the birth rate. average age (1) an inverse relationship / negative relationship / move in opposite directions (1). For supporting evidence and the second ‘exception’ mark, comparisons must be made. No marks for just stating the Supporting evidence (up to 2 marks): birth rate and average age figures. Four countries with the lowest birth rates had the highest average age (1) Monaco had the lowest birth rate and the highest average age (1) Niger with the highest birth rate has the lowest average age (1) e.g. Germany has a lower birth rate and a higher average age than Jordan (1). Analysis of expected relationship (up to 2 marks): A low birth rate would mean that children would form a small proportion of the population / a high birth rate may mean children would form a high proportion of the population / it would increase the proportion of people aged over 65 (1). A high birth rate may indicate low living standards / lower income which may be associated with low life expectancy (1). A high average age may mean that there are fewer people of child-bearing age (1). Exception (up to 2 marks): Venezuela or Maldives (1) Maldives had a lower birth rate than Venezuela but the same average age (1). Analysis of exception (up to 1 mark): The average age of a country’s population is also influenced by the death rate and net migration (1). 1(f) Analyse, using a demand and supply diagram, how an 5 increase in population size will affect the market for clothing. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New demand curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). Written analysis: An increase in population size will increase the number of consumers / increase demand for clothes / price increases (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian government 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command should spend more on renewable energy. word DISCUSS (1g, 1h, 2d, 3d, 4d and 5d) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should, which may include: Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an • need for more energy due to an increase in population argument, but separate development as to how/why the (1) non-renewable sources of energy will run out / outcome may differ is rewarded. reduced dependency on fossil fuels (1) may reduce import bills (1) Generic example mark • would reduce environmental damage (1) reduce external costs (1) lower pollution (1) reduce extent of Tax revenue may decrease… 1 climate change / global warming / promote sustainable development (1) improve health (1). ...because of reason e.g. incomes may be 1 • cheaper in the longer run (1) solar and wind power are lower. free goods (1) lower costs of production (1) reduce household bills (1). Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not, argument. which may include: • expensive to build (1) opportunity cost (1) example (1) Tax revenue may increase because of a 1 • relies on weather (1) supplies may be disrupted / different reason i.e. not the reverse of a insufficient / unreliable (1) previous argument e.g. government spending • cost of renewable energy projects may increase with on subsidies may stimulate the economy more high interest than spending on education. • rates (1) may be funded by borrowing (1) may increase taxes (1) • may cause visual pollution (1) e.g. wind turbines (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not the Jordanian central bank 6 Some points e.g. discouraged spending may be considered should have raised the rate of interest in 2021. from either side but see guidance table on 1f. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should have, which may include: • total demand predicted to increase / may have reduced total demand (1) encouraged saving (1) discouraged spending / borrowing (1) lowered demand-pull (1) inflation (1) reduced imports (1) • may have attracted more funds for the Jordanian government to borrow / use (1) for e.g. renewable energy projects (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should not have, which may include: • cost of government borrowing would have increased / may have difficulty paying off government debt (1) • investment may have been discouraged (1) lowered economic growth (1) reduced growth in employment / caused unemployment (1) • may have increased the exchange rate (1) foreigners depositing money in the country’s banks / attracted hot money flow (1) raised export prices / lowered import prices / decreased exports / increased imports (1) reduced tourism (1) increased the current account deficit (1).

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2024

4 In 2021, there were extensions and contractions in demand for a number of South African products. In that year, a South African court stopped a multinational company (MNC) exploring for oil along South Africa’s coastline. South Africa experienced an increase in output, driven largely by the growth in its tertiary sector. However, its unemployment rate was 35%, a long way from full employment. (a) Define an extension in demand. [2] (b) Explain two external costs that may be caused by exploring for oil. [4] (c) Analyse how growth in a country’s tertiary sector can increase its living standards. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not workers who lose their jobs are likely to stay unemployed for a long time. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Define an extension in demand. 2 May be shown by a movement down a demand curve caused by a fall in price. A movement along a demand curve (1) higher demand (1) caused by a fall (1) in price (1). Not accepting: an increase in demand but accepting: an increase in quantity demanded. 4(b) Explain two external costs that may be caused by 4 One mark each for each of two costs identified and one exploring for oil. mark for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Reduce tourism may be given as an identification or as an explanation of e.g. ‘Damage to the natural environment’ Air pollution / pollution (1) those living nearby may experience a reduction in air quality / contribute to climate change/global warming / reduced health (1). Noise pollution (1) disturbing sleep (1). Water pollution / oil spillage (1) damage health (1). Damage to the natural environment / land / deforestation (1) destroy wildlife habitats / cause global warming / climate change (1). Reduce tourism (1) lower employment (1). Congestion (1) increasing transport costs (1). 4(c) Analyse how growth in a country’s tertiary sector can 6 increase its living standards. Coherent analysis which might include: May have high productivity (1) increase output (1) increase employment / reduce unemployment (1). May pay higher wages (1) allowing workers to consume more goods and services / afford education / afford healthcare / reduce poverty / buy more necessities / buy some luxuries/wants (1). May provide good working conditions (1) less tiring / less physically demanding (1) resulting in good health of workers (1) few accidents (1). May involve expansion of education (1) increasing future employment / workers’ skills (1) earning prospects (1) increase quality of output (1) increase HDI value (1). More transport services (1) could reduce prices / lower congestion / reduce stress (1). Growth of entertainment industry (1) improve leisure time (1). May involve expansion of healthcare (1) increase life expectancy / better health (1). May increase tax revenue (1) enabling the government to spend more on e.g. education (1). Less pollution (1) less environmental damage / less climate change / less global warming (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not workers who lose their jobs are 8 Reward but do not expect reference to hysteresis. likely to stay unemployed for a long time. Level Description Marks In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. 3 A reasoned discussion which 6–8 Why they might: accurately examines both sides of the • may lose skills / unskilled workers may have greater economic argument, making use of difficulty than skilled workers in finding another job economic information and clear and • may become out of date with advances in technology / logical analysis to evaluate economic working practices issues and situations. One side of the • may be expensive for firms to employ as may need argument may have more depth than extra training the other, but overall both sides of the • may lose confidence argument are considered and • may become less attractive to employers developed. There is thoughtful • more likely to stay unemployed if a result of evaluation of economic concepts, cyclical/structural rather than frictional unemployment terminology, information and/or data • may be high unemployment benefits. appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why they might not: possible uncertainties of alternative • may receive government training decisions and outcomes. • may be geographically/occupationally mobile • gap between wages and state benefits may encourage 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 the unemployed to seek work use of economic information and clear • economy may grow, expanding employment analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack opportunities some depth and development may be • may leave the labour force, e.g. retire / emigrate one-sided. There is relevant use of • may be seasonally unemployed. economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2024

1 (a) Calculate the value of Gabon’s oil production as a percentage of Gabon’s GDP. [1] (b) Identify two external benefits of rainforests. [2] (c) Explain what effect an increase in tourism may have on Gabon’s current account of the balance of payments. [2] (d) Explain two reasons why the Gabonese Government wants to reduce reliance on oil. [4] (e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of the discovery of new gold deposits on the market for gold. [4] (f) Analyse the relationship between the literacy rate and the percentage of the labour force employed in agriculture. [5] (g) Discuss whether or not a government should pay private sector firms to give work experience to unemployed young people. [6] (h) Discuss whether or not a growth in the size of firms in Gabon’s textile industry will reduce their average cost of production. [6]

30 marks

Mark scheme: Question Answer Marks Guidance 1(a) Calculate the value of Gabon’s oil production as a 1 Accept 30 without %. percentage of Gabon’s GDP. 30% 1(b) Identify two external benefits of rainforests. 2 If more than two benefits given, consider the first three. Two from: • reduce air pollution / pollution / improves air quality (1) • protect against floods (1) • prevent soil erosion (1). 1(c) Explain what effect an increase in tourism may have on 2 No marks for simply saying current account of the balance of Gabon’s current account of the balance of payments. payments increases. • Increase in exports (1) • increase trade in services (invisible) surplus / reduces deficit (1) • Improves the current account balance surplus / reduces deficit (1). 1(d) Explain two reasons why the Gabonese Government 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one wants to reduce reliance on oil. mark each for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Only these two reasons are acceptable. • Running out of oil / create a shortage (1) revenue from the industry will decline / employment in the industry will decline / GDP will decline /cause recession / conserve for future generations / may need to import oil / price for oil may rise (1). • Oil industry creates water pollution / pollution (1) an external cost / harms health / reduces standard of living / protect the environment / attract tourists (1). 1(e) Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect 4 of the discovery of new gold deposits on the market for gold. Coherent analysis which might include: D&S diagram: Axes correctly labelled – price and quantity or p and q (1). Original demand and supply curves correctly labelled (1). New supply curve shifted to the right (1). Equilibriums – shown by lines P1 and Q1 and P2 and Q2 or equilibrium points marked as E1 and E2 (1). 1(f) Analyse the relationship between the literacy rate and 5 Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but the percentage of the labour force employed in they should address the expected/normal relationship, offer agriculture. supporting evidence of that, highlight any exceptions to that, and analyse the overall data. Coherent analysis which might include: Supporting evidence should involve interpretation, not just Expected relationship: description. Simply stating percentages without analysis of • Generally, an inverse / negative relationship (1) the being high or low gets no marks. higher the literacy rate, the smaller the % of the labour force employed in agriculture (1). Accept as analysis where two countries with different levels of adult literacy and percentage employed in agriculture are Supporting evidence: directly compared. • South Africa had the highest literacy rate and the lowest % of the labour force employed in agriculture (1). • Zambia / Sierra Leone / Mali had the lowest literacy rates and the highest %s of labour force employed in agriculture (1). Analysis of expected relationship: • A high literacy rate may increase the chance of workers gaining jobs in high paid tertiary jobs (1) a low literacy rate may mean workers have to undertake unskilled jobs in agriculture / a high proportion of workers employed in agriculture may mean that high literacy rate is not required (1). Exception: • Gabon (1) Gabon has a high literacy rate but also a high % of the labour force employed in agriculture (1). Analysis of exception: • Some jobs in agriculture are skilled / secondary and tertiary sectors may be small (1). 1(g) Discuss whether or not a government should pay 6 Apply this example to all questions with the command private sector firms to give work experience to word DISCUSS unemployed young people. (1(g), 1(h), 2(d), 3(d), 4(d) and 5(d)) Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should, Each point may be credited only once, on either side of an which may include: argument, but separate development as to how/why the outcome may differ is rewarded. • can enable young workers to develop their skills / raise their productivity (1) increase their confidence / Generic example mark motivation to get a job / get higher paid jobs (1) young people may make mistakes and cost firm money while Tax revenue may decrease 1 being trained (1) • can increase the chances of young people gaining a job because of reason e.g. incomes may be lower. 1 (1) reduce unemployment (1) reduce the cost of unemployment benefits (1) reduce future training costs Tax revenue may increase because incomes 0 (1) increase tax revenue (1) leads to economic growth may be higher i.e. reverse of a previous (1). argument. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it should Tax revenue may increase because of a 1 not, which may include: different reason i.e. not the reverse of a previous argument e.g. government spending • the quality of the work experience may not be good (1) on subsidies may stimulate the economy more the young may be given unskilled jobs (1) poor working than spending on education. conditions / not regulated (1) • opportunity cost [implied] (1) government spending could be used to e.g. improve state education (1) government incurs additional expenditure / raises taxes to pay for it (1) the young may have been employed by the private sector without payment by the government (1) • it may reduce the efficiency of private firms (1) reduce their output (1) firms may be corrupt (1). 1(h) Discuss whether or not a growth in the size of firms in 6 Maximum of 2 marks for just listing different types of Gabon’s textile industry will reduce their average cost economies and diseconomies of scale or just stating of production. economies of scale and diseconomies of scale may be experienced without references to examples. Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might, which may include: Essentially full marks can be gained for identification and explanation of two economies of scale and one diseconomy • labour economies (1) workers can specialise / increase of scale OR one economy of scale and two diseconomies of labour productivity (1) scale. • managerial economies (1) employ specialists (1) • technical economies (1) using advanced capital Note there is no marks awarded for simply stating that equipment (1) average costs may or rise or for drawing a diagram showing • buying / purchasing economies (1) receiving a discount average costs changing as a firm grows in size. as buying in bulk (1) • selling economies (1) reducing transport costs (1) • marketing economies (1) spreads fixed costs over more output (1) • financial economies (1) easier / cheaper to borrow (1) • research and development economies (1) introduce new products / new production methods (1) • risk bearing economies (1) able to suffer fall in demand for one product or supply problems connected to one product (1) • may experience external economies of scale (1) example (1). Award up to 4 marks for logical reasons why it might not, which may include: • difficulty of controlling a large firm (1) may be slower to make decisions (1) 1(h) • communication problems (1) may be more difficult to 6 keep everyone informed (1) • poor industrial relations (1) may be less contact between managers and workers / decreasing productivity (1).

This question in 0987/21 May/June 2025

2 The world’s four largest accountancy firms experienced a decline in demand for their services at the start of 2023. One cause of this lower demand was a decline in mergers in other industries, including the chocolate industry. Three of the accountancy firms reduced the number of new workers they hired and the other accountancy firm announced job losses. The ability of workers to gain new jobs is influenced by their mobility. (a) Identify two advantages a firm may gain from merging with another firm. [2] (b) Explain two disadvantages workers may experience as a result of losing their jobs. [4] (c) Analyse the advantages of an increase in labour mobility. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not the demand for chocolate is likely to be price elastic. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 2(a) Identify two advantages a firm may gain from merging 2 If more than two advantages given, consider the first three. with another firm. Two from: • reduce competition / increase market power / increase market share / may become a monopoly / become a price maker / higher barriers to entry • gain economies of scale / reduce (average) cost / increased efficiency / higher productivity • gain control over outlets • gain control over raw materials • rationalisation • greater profit / revenue • new ideas / access to improved technology • spread risks • more resources / more labour / more capital / more enterprise / more land • higher demand / more sales / larger size of firm • gain consumer data 2(b) Explain two disadvantages workers may experience as 4 One mark each for each of two reasons identified and one a result of losing their jobs. mark each for each of two explanations. Logical explanation which might include: Loss of income (1) resulting in lower living standards / lower If more than two reasons given, consider the first three. quality of life / poverty / inability to buy necessities / lower purchasing power / lower spending / lower consumption / Reward ‘making it more difficult to get another job’ only lower spending on a particular good or services e.g. once. education/healthcare/housing/holidays (1). Loss of skills (1) may need to gain new skills / as miss out on training / make it more difficult to get another job / lower paid job / reduced mobility of labour (1). May be more likely to get into debt (1) harder to repay any past loans (1). Harder to get a loan (1) banks may not expect them to be able to repay loan (1). Loss of fringe benefits (1) example e.g. health insurance / home (1). Less attractive to future employers / bad reputation (1) make it more difficult to get another job (1). Mental health problems / stress / illness / divorce (1) loss of self-esteem / loss of self-confidence / making it more difficult to get another job / reduced life expectancy / due to difficulty/time to find another job (1). May have to sell possessions (1) to gain money / to meet bills (1). Demotivation (1) give up looking for work / become a discouraged worker / become voluntarily unemployed (1). Reduced ability to save (1) reduced ability to cope with unexpected events / to finance e.g. education / healthcare / retirement (1). 2(c) Analyse the advantages of an increase in labour 6 Reward but do not expect reference to reduce labour market mobility. failure. Coherent analysis which might include: • An increase in the ability of workers to change jobs / provide more choice of jobs (1) occupational mobility of labour (1) improve skills / productivity / experience by changing jobs (1). • An increase in the ability of workers to move from one area to another (1) geographical mobility of labour (1) move to a more pleasant area (1). • Can reduce structural / regional / frictional (1) unemployment (1) enable workers to get new jobs more quickly / reduce long term unemployment (1) may enable some workers to find higher paid jobs / gain higher wages / reduce poverty / higher standard of living / better working conditions (1) raise tax revenue / reduce government spending on benefits (1). • It can reduce labour shortages (1) reduce costs / cost- push inflation (1) increase output / increase GDP / cause economic growth (1). • It can enable firms to respond more quickly/more fully to changes in consumer demand / increase flexibility / change in size (1) reduce surpluses and shortages of products (1). 2(d) Discuss whether or not the demand for chocolate is 8 Level Description Marks likely to be price elastic. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic Why it might: information and clear and logical • may have substitutes analysis to evaluate economic issues • may be seen as a luxury and situations. One side of the argument • PED of particular brands will be more elastic than may have more depth than the other, but demand for chocolate as a whole overall both sides of the argument are • the longer the time period, the easier it will be for considered and developed. There is consumers to change their spending patterns. thoughtful evaluation of economic concepts, terminology, information Why it might not: and/or data appropriate to the question. • may be addictive The discussion may also point out the • may be seen as a necessity possible uncertainties of alternative • may take up a small % of income. decisions and outcomes. 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use 3–5 of economic information and clear analysis to evaluate economic issues and situations. The answer may lack some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 2(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no 0 creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2025

4 In 2022, more than a quarter of a million workers, including doctors, left Sri Lanka to work in other countries. This was largely due to economic problems, including an inflation rate of 50% and a concern that unemployment might rise. The Sri Lankan Government increased direct taxation. It also encouraged some public sector workers to work abroad temporarily. People who work abroad often send money home to relatives. (a) Identify two types of unemployment. [2] (b) Explain two ways that money received from relatives working abroad could raise their families’ living standards. [4] (c) Analyse how an increase in direct taxation could increase unemployment. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not a doctor would benefit from working in another country. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Identify two types of unemployment. 2 If more than two types given, consider the first three. Two from: Also accept voluntary unemployment, involuntary Frictional (1) structural (1) cyclical / demand deficient (1) unemployment, seasonal, classical, casual, regional, technological. Accept demand-deficient as an alternative to cyclical. 4(b) Explain two ways that money received from relatives 4 One mark each for each of two ways identified and one working abroad could raise their families’ living mark each for each of two explanations. standards. If more than two ways given, consider the first three. Logical explanation which might include: No marks for why the money received may be large due to Could spend more on food / buy more products / buy more e.g. lower tax rates abroad, high exchange rate. basic necessities have higher purchasing power / more income / could increase overall spending (1) reduce poverty (1). Could spend more on better quality food (1) improve nutrition / improve health (1). Could spend money on education / training (1) increase earning potential / wages (1). Could spend on healthcare (1) raise life expectancy (1). Could spend on housing (1) reduce illness (1). May be able to afford luxuries (1) e.g. may be able to afford a holiday / car (1). Could set up a small business (1) which could earn them an income (1) Could pay off debts / reduce need to borrow / reduce cost of borrowing (1) reduce stress (1). Could save more (1) earn interest / pay for e.g. healthcare/education of children in the future (1) Could work fewer hours / fewer jobs (1) less stress (1). 4(c) Analyse how an increase in direct taxation could 6 increase unemployment. Coherent analysis which might include: • (Increase in) (personal) income tax (1) (increase in) tax on wealth (1) would reduce disposable income / purchasing power / money available / the amount of their wages they can keep (1) reduce consumer spending (1) lower total demand (1) lower demand for workers (1) as demand for workers depends on demand for goods and services / derived demand (1) increase cyclical unemployment (1). • Reduce incentive to work / encourage workers to leave their jobs (1) may now rely on unemployment benefit / as may receive more from unemployment benefit than from a now lower paid job (1) increase frictional/voluntary unemployment (1). • (Increase in) corporation (corporate income) tax (1) will reduce the amount of profit that can be kept / reduce profit (1) firms may reduce output / reduce economic growth / may cause a recession / reduce supply / less incentive to expand (1) reduce investment (1) result in cyclical unemployment (1) may reduce employment to cut costs (to maintain profit) (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not a doctor would benefit from 8 Maximum of 4 marks if discussing working in another city working in another country. rather than country. In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. Level Description Marks Why they might: 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 • may be higher paid, higher living standards examines both sides of the economic • may benefit from lower inflation argument, making use of economic • may benefit from lower taxes information and clear and logical • may be more chances of gaining a job or gaining a analysis to evaluate economic issues promoted post and situations. One side of the argument • may have better working conditions may have more depth than the other, but • may have more fringe benefits overall both sides of the argument are • may gain new skills and experience considered and developed. There is • may be safer environment thoughtful evaluation of economic • may be able to send money home to family concepts, terminology, information • may provide better opportunities for their children. and/or data appropriate to the question. The discussion may also point out the Why they might not: possible uncertainties of alternative • may have longer working hours decisions and outcomes. • may have less holidays 2 A reasoned discussion which makes use 3–5 • may have less job security of economic information and clear • may miss friends / relatives analysis to evaluate economic issues • may face discrimination and situations. The answer may lack • may face language problems/ cultural differences. some depth and development may be one-sided. There is relevant use of economic concepts, terminology, information and data appropriate to the question. 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for no 0 creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 May/June 2025

4 There are several policy measures a central bank or government can use to reduce unemployment. One policy measure a government could use to reduce unemployment is to increase its spending on building houses. The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the US, has two main aims. One is to maintain price stability and the other is to achieve full employment. Some central banks also have economic growth as a target, but none have HDI value as a target. (a) Identify two policy measures a central bank could use to maintain price stability. [2] (b) Explain two benefits to an economy of full employment. [4] (c) Analyse how an increase in government spending on building houses could reduce unemployment. [6] (d) Discuss whether or not an increase in a country’s economic growth rate will increase its HDI value. [8]

20 marks

Mark scheme: 4(a) Identify two policy measures a central bank could use to 2 If more than two measures are given, consider the first maintain price stability. three. Two from: the rate of interest (1) the money supply (1) the exchange rate (1) quantitative easing / tightening (1). 4(b) Explain two benefits to an economy of full employment. 4 One mark each for two benefits identified and one mark each for two explanations. Logical explanation which might include the following. • High output / GDP (1) maximum use of labour resource. • High tax revenue (1) government could spend on e.g. education / healthcare (1). • Low spending on state benefits (1) can keep taxes low / money saved can be spent on other things (1). • Low poverty / increase incomes (1) enable people to purchase basic necessities / which could increase living standards (1). 4(c) Analyse how an increase in government spending on 6 Reward, but do not expect reference to multiplier / multiplier building houses could reduce unemployment. effects. Coherent analysis which might include the following. An increase in government spending on building homes may increase demand for building workers (1) may increase demand for building materials (1) demand for building materials workers / other workers related to building industry (1) labour is a derived demand (1) reduce structural unemployment (1) increase incomes (1) increase consumer expenditure (1) increase total demand (1) reduce cyclical unemployment (1) increase GDP / economic growth (1) may increase quality of homes (1) improve health (1) fewer workers may lose their jobs because of illness (1) increase labour productivity which may increase demand for labour (1) increase supply of houses (1) reduce price of houses (1) improve mobility of labour (1). 4(d) Discuss whether or not an increase in a country’s 8 Level Description Marks economic growth rate will increase its HDI value. 3 A reasoned discussion which accurately 6–8 In assessing each answer, use the table opposite. examines both sides of the economic argument, making use of economic Why it might: information and clear and logical • increase in GDP may increase GDP per head if analysis to evaluate economic issues increase in GDP is greater than any rise in population and situations. One side of the • higher GDP per head may increase spending on good argument may have more depth than nutrition / good housing and as a result increase life the other, but overall, both sides of the expectancy argument are considered and • higher GDP per head may increase tax revenue, developed. There is thoughtful enabling a government to spend on education and evaluation of economic concepts, healthcare terminology, information and/or data • higher GDP per head may enable families to keep their appropriate to the question. The children in education for longer. discussion may also point out the possible uncertainties of alternative Why it might not: decisions and outcomes. • higher GDP per head may result in more spending on demerit goods, lowering life expectancy 2 A reasoned discussion which makes 3–5 • may lead to inflation hindering access to healthcare and use of economic information and clear education and increase inequality in the distribution of analysis to evaluate economic issues income and situations. The answer may lack • may be the result of higher military expenditure which some depth and development may be will not increase HDI one-sided. There is relevant use of • income may become more unevenly distributed, economic concepts, terminology, meaning life expectancy and years of education of the information and data appropriate to the poor may fall question. • more pollution may be created, lowering life expectancy • working hours and stress may increase, lowering life expectancy. 4(d) Level Description Marks 1 There is a simple attempt at using 1–2 economic definitions and terminology. Some reference may be made to economic theory, with occasional understanding. 0 A mark of zero should be awarded for 0 no creditable content.

This question in 0987/22 Oct/Nov 2025